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根据分析平台 CryptoQuant 最近的分析,山寨币市场的走势与比特币一致。这种正相关性表明山寨币正在模仿比特币价格的走势,这一因素增强了投资者对加密货币市场的信心。
Recent analysis by the analytics platform CryptoQuant has shown that the altcoin market is moving in line with Bitcoin. This positive correlation indicates that altcoins are closely following the movements of Bitcoin price, a factor that has contributed to boosting the confidence of investors in the crypto market.
分析平台 CryptoQuant 最近的分析表明,山寨币市场的走势与比特币一致。这种正相关性表明山寨币密切关注比特币价格的走势,这有助于增强投资者对加密货币市场的信心。
According to CryptoQuant's data, this pattern is not a short-lived occurrence but a substantial indicator of investors' sentiment. In the past, the performance of alts relative to Bitcoin has served as an indication of the state of the market. This positive correlation, which is the current trend, typically occurs when the market is stable with both Bitcoin and altcoins moving in sync.
根据 CryptoQuant 的数据,这种模式并不是短暂的,而是投资者情绪的重要指标。过去,替代品相对于比特币的表现一直是市场状况的一个指标。这种正相关性(即当前趋势)通常发生在市场稳定且比特币和山寨币同步波动时。
“Altcoins are still showing positive correlation, showing that despite individual variations, they are following Bitcoin's movement. This behavior strengthens the narrative that, for now, the market is moving in unison with… pic.twitter.com/VqR00xbVFE
“山寨币仍然表现出正相关性,这表明尽管存在个体差异,但它们正在追随比特币的走势。这种行为强化了这样一种说法,即目前市场正在与……保持一致 pic.twitter.com/VqR00xbVFE
However, the platform also notes that this positive correlation becomes a red flag if it shifts into a negative correlation. This often occurs when altcoins begin to rally past Bitcoin's performance. It has been previously observed before a bearish trend in the price of Bitcoin, which serves as a call for investors to tread carefully.
然而,该平台还指出,如果这种正相关性转变为负相关性,就会变成危险信号。当山寨币开始反弹超过比特币的表现时,通常会发生这种情况。之前就观察到比特币价格出现看跌趋势,这呼吁投资者谨慎行事。
This is when the other coins begin to trade against Bitcoin and it is a sign that the market has entered another phase of volatility.
这是其他代币开始与比特币进行交易的时候,这是市场进入另一个波动阶段的迹象。
Altcoin Trends in 2024
2024 年山寨币趋势
The platform also shared details of how the same pattern was observed in 2024. In January, June, and July, the majority of altcoins outperformed Bitcoin, which was followed by a market dump that primarily affected Bitcoin. Such occurrences should hold significance for anyone interested in using altcoin correlation analysis to predict the future trends of the market.
该平台还分享了 2024 年如何观察到相同模式的详细信息。1 月、6 月和 7 月,大多数山寨币的表现优于比特币,随后出现了主要影响比特币的市场下跌。对于任何有兴趣使用山寨币相关性分析来预测市场未来趋势的人来说,此类事件应该具有重要意义。
At the present, the strongest relationships are observed with altcoins like Bancor (BNT), Axie Infinity (AXS), Chainlink (LINK), Algorand (ALGO), and Cardano (ADA). Their prices are closely aligned with Bitcoin, suggesting that they are following the market’s top dog rather closely. This means that these altcoins will most likely continue to mimic Bitcoin’s trend in the near future.
目前,与 Bancor (BNT)、Axie Infinity (AXS)、Chainlink (LINK)、Algorand (ALGO) 和 Cardano (ADA) 等山寨币的关系最强。它们的价格与比特币密切相关,这表明它们正在密切关注市场的主导者。这意味着这些山寨币很可能在不久的将来继续模仿比特币的趋势。
On the other hand, the correlation of Dash (DASH) Curve DAO Token (CRV), dYdX (DYDX), Binance Coin (BNB), and MyNeighborAlice (ALICE) is the least with Bitcoin. These assets seem to be behaving more so in isolation and this may just be the beginning of divergence in the market.
另一方面,达世币(DASH)Curve DAO Token(CRV)、dYdX(DYDX)、币安币(BNB)和MyNeighborAlice(ALICE)与比特币的相关性最小。这些资产的表现似乎更加孤立,这可能只是市场分歧的开始。
The present positive correlation between altcoins and Bitcoin indicates short-term stability. A change in this relation could imply that an increase in market risk is imminent, which is why investors should remain cautious in this volatile market.
目前山寨币和比特币之间的正相关性表明短期稳定性。这种关系的变化可能意味着市场风险即将增加,因此投资者在这个动荡的市场中应保持谨慎。
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