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根據分析平台 CryptoQuant 最近的分析,山寨幣市場的走勢與比特幣一致。這種正相關性顯示山寨幣正在模仿比特幣價格的走勢,這因素增強了投資人對加密貨幣市場的信心。
Recent analysis by the analytics platform CryptoQuant has shown that the altcoin market is moving in line with Bitcoin. This positive correlation indicates that altcoins are closely following the movements of Bitcoin price, a factor that has contributed to boosting the confidence of investors in the crypto market.
分析平台 CryptoQuant 最近的分析表明,山寨幣市場的走勢與比特幣一致。這種正相關性顯示山寨幣密切關注比特幣價格的走勢,這有助於增強投資者對加密貨幣市場的信心。
According to CryptoQuant's data, this pattern is not a short-lived occurrence but a substantial indicator of investors' sentiment. In the past, the performance of alts relative to Bitcoin has served as an indication of the state of the market. This positive correlation, which is the current trend, typically occurs when the market is stable with both Bitcoin and altcoins moving in sync.
根據 CryptoQuant 的數據,這種模式並不是短暫的,而是投資者情緒的重要指標。過去,替代品相對於比特幣的表現一直是市場狀況的指標。這種正相關性(即當前趨勢)通常發生在市場穩定且比特幣和山寨幣同步波動時。
“Altcoins are still showing positive correlation, showing that despite individual variations, they are following Bitcoin's movement. This behavior strengthens the narrative that, for now, the market is moving in unison with… pic.twitter.com/VqR00xbVFE
「山寨幣仍然表現出正相關性,這表明儘管存在個體差異,但它們正在追隨比特幣的走勢。這種行為強化了這樣一種說法,即目前市場正在與…保持一致 pic.twitter.com/VqR00xbVFE
However, the platform also notes that this positive correlation becomes a red flag if it shifts into a negative correlation. This often occurs when altcoins begin to rally past Bitcoin's performance. It has been previously observed before a bearish trend in the price of Bitcoin, which serves as a call for investors to tread carefully.
然而,該平台也指出,如果這種正相關性轉變為負相關性,就會變成危險訊號。當山寨幣開始反彈超過比特幣的表現時,通常會發生這種情況。先前就觀察到比特幣價格出現看跌趨勢,這呼籲投資人謹慎行事。
This is when the other coins begin to trade against Bitcoin and it is a sign that the market has entered another phase of volatility.
這是其他代幣開始與比特幣進行交易的時候,這是市場進入另一個波動階段的跡象。
Altcoin Trends in 2024
2024 年山寨幣趨勢
The platform also shared details of how the same pattern was observed in 2024. In January, June, and July, the majority of altcoins outperformed Bitcoin, which was followed by a market dump that primarily affected Bitcoin. Such occurrences should hold significance for anyone interested in using altcoin correlation analysis to predict the future trends of the market.
該平台還分享了 2024 年如何觀察到相同模式的詳細資訊。對於任何有興趣使用山寨幣相關性分析來預測市場未來趨勢的人來說,此類事件應該具有重要意義。
At the present, the strongest relationships are observed with altcoins like Bancor (BNT), Axie Infinity (AXS), Chainlink (LINK), Algorand (ALGO), and Cardano (ADA). Their prices are closely aligned with Bitcoin, suggesting that they are following the market’s top dog rather closely. This means that these altcoins will most likely continue to mimic Bitcoin’s trend in the near future.
目前,與 Bancor (BNT)、Axie Infinity (AXS)、Chainlink (LINK)、Algorand (ALGO) 和 Cardano (ADA) 等山寨幣的關係最強。它們的價格與比特幣密切相關,這表明它們正在密切關注市場的主導者。這意味著這些山寨幣很可能在不久的將來繼續模仿比特幣的趨勢。
On the other hand, the correlation of Dash (DASH) Curve DAO Token (CRV), dYdX (DYDX), Binance Coin (BNB), and MyNeighborAlice (ALICE) is the least with Bitcoin. These assets seem to be behaving more so in isolation and this may just be the beginning of divergence in the market.
另一方面,達世幣(DASH)Curve DAO Token(CRV)、dYdX(DYDX)、幣安幣(BNB)和MyNeighborAlice(ALICE)與比特幣的相關性最小。這些資產的表現似乎更加孤立,這可能只是市場分歧的開始。
The present positive correlation between altcoins and Bitcoin indicates short-term stability. A change in this relation could imply that an increase in market risk is imminent, which is why investors should remain cautious in this volatile market.
目前山寨幣和比特幣之間的正相關性顯示短期穩定性。這種關係的變化可能意味著市場風險即將增加,因此投資者在這個動盪的市場中應保持謹慎。
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