XRP 和 XLM 即將暴跌，價格走勢有相似之處

上週日，《今日美國》報道稱，流行的加密貨幣 XRP 的價格即將暴跌。這將是2018年以來最嚴重的車禍

Last Sunday, U.Today reported that the price of the popular cryptocurrency XRP is about to take a nosedive. It will be the worst crash since 2018, when it lost 85% in three months. This time does not seem as dangerous for XRP, but there might be more damage than initially thought, as Stellar (XLM) token is on the same path for its price.

上週日，《今日美國》報道稱，流行的加密貨幣 XRP 的價格即將暴跌。這將是自 2018 年以來最嚴重的崩盤，當時該股在三個月內下跌了 85%。這次對 XRP 來說似乎不那麼危險，但損失可能比最初想像的要大，因為 Stellar (XLM) 代幣的價格也處於同樣的水平。

Both Stellar and XRP have always been seen as challengers in the cross-border payments space. They have similar roots; Stellar was cofounded by Jed McCaleb, who also founded Ripple. They are often competing for a share of the blockchain payments ecosystem, and as a result, XLM has been acting like a beta version of XRP in terms of price action.

Stellar 和 XRP 一直被視為跨境支付領域的挑戰者。他們有相似的根源； Stellar 由 Jed McCaleb 共同創立，他也是 Ripple 的創辦人。他們經常爭奪區塊鏈支付生態系統的份額，因此，XLM 在價格行為方面一直表現得像 XRP 的測試版本。

According to Bollinger Bands, after a big surge in the last few weeks, the price of XRP hit a ceiling at the upper band, and now it is more likely to drop back to the median.

根據布林通道的數據，在過去幾週的大幅上漲之後，XRP 的價格觸及了上軌線的上限，現在更有可能回落至中位線。

For XLM, it is a similar story. The upper band high was reached and even broken at $0.6374, while the median, represented by the 20-day moving average, is stretching at $0.21. A similar thing happened in 2021. Back then, the price of XLM reached a high at $0.797 and then dropped by 48.73% in just one week.

對 XLM 來說，也是類似的情況。上軌高點達到甚至突破了 0.6374 美元，而以 20 日移動平均線為代表的中位數則延伸至 0.21 美元。類似的事情發生在 2021 年。

The Stellar token has already seen a 40% drop over the last three weeks, and its price is now at $0.386. Could we be heading for another 45% dip? If we look at what happened in 2021, the answer is maybe. But nothing is set in stone, and the price performance of XLM will still very much rely on broader market tendencies and not historical experience.

Stellar 代幣在過去三週內已下跌 40%，目前售價為 0.386 美元。我們是否會再次下跌 45%？如果我們看看 2021 年發生的事情，答案是可能的。但一切都不是一成不變的，XLM 的價格表現仍將在很大程度上取決於更廣泛的市場趨勢，而不是歷史經驗。