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儘管長期樂觀,但deribit上的期權數據顯示出看跌偏斜,隨著交易者加載股票
Analysts believe that XRP could be next in line for a U.S. spot ETF approval.
分析師認為,XRP可能是美國現場ETF批准的下一個。
Options data on Deribit shows bearish skew, as traders load up on puts.
deribit上的選項數據顯示了看跌偏斜,因為交易者加載了看跌。
After a judge ruled in favor of Ripple in its case with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), analysts at Seven Seven Seven has set price targets for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP if the cryptocurrency market continues to rally this year and if the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) finally approves Bitcoin ETFs.
在法官在與證券交易委員會(SEC)的案件中裁定支持Ripple之後,如果加密貨幣市場今年繼續集會,並且如果美國證券交易委員會(SEC)(SEC)最終批准比特幣ETFS,則七七分的分析師已將比特幣,以太坊和XRP的分析師設定為比特幣市場的目標目標。
Despite rumors that the SEC could approve a spot Bitcoin ETF by the end of the summer, the agency has yet to approve any applications for such products.
儘管有傳言稱SEC可以在夏季結束時批准比特幣ETF,但該機構尚未批准此類產品的任何申請。
Meanwhile, options traders are more interested in putting trades that could profit from a move lower in XRP.
同時,期權交易者更感興趣地將可以從XRP降低的行動中獲利的交易更感興趣。
On Deribit, one of the largest crypto options exchanges, traders have been buying more put options than call options across several timeframes. This is known as negative options skew.
在Deribit上,最大的加密貨幣選項交易所之一,交易者購買的PUT選項比在幾個時間範圍內的呼叫選項要多。這被稱為否定選項偏斜。
The fact that puts are in higher demand than calls signals that traders are still more nervous than confident about XRP’s near-term performance, even with ETF rumors swirling and the long-term narrative sounding bullish.
與呼叫信號相比,Puts的需求更高,即交易者對XRP的近期表現更加緊張,即使ETF謠言旋轉和長期敘事聽起來看好。
The cryptocurrency recently dropped out of an ascending wedge, a technical pattern that usually indicates a weakening uptrend. As a result, some analysts believe that XRP could test lows around $1.6 again, unless something bullish happens to shift the tide.
加密貨幣最近退出了上升楔形,這種技術模式通常表明上升趨勢趨勢。結果,一些分析人士認為,除非看漲碰巧改變潮流,否則XRP可以再次測試低約1.6美元。
However, one positive for XRP is its strong order book depth. Unlike tokens such as Solana, which can get affected by large trades, XRP can handle them without triggering significant price swings—a level of stability that regulators may favor when evaluating ETF readiness.
但是,XRP的一個陽性是其強大的訂單深度。與諸如Solana這樣的代幣(可能會受到大型交易影響)的代幣,XRP可以處理它們而不會觸發大幅度的價格波動 - 在評估ETF準備就緒時,監管機構可能會喜歡的穩定性水平。
This liquidity advantage is one reason why XRP remains in ETF discussions. Plus, Ripple, the company behind XRP, continues to promote it as a global payments solution—a real-world use case that many altcoins still lack.
這種流動性優勢是XRP仍在ETF討論中的原因之一。另外,XRP背後的公司Ripple繼續將其作為全球支付解決方案進行推廣,這是許多AltCoins仍然缺乏的現實用例。
While ETF optimism gives XRP fans something to look forward to, it seems that short-term traders are playing it safe. Until the market sees clearer signs of upward momentum or regulatory progress, the price may stay under pressure.
儘管ETF的樂觀情緒使XRP粉絲可以期待一些東西,但短期交易者似乎正在安全地發揮作用。在市場看到更清晰的勢頭或監管進度的跡象之前,價格可能會保持壓力。
On the other side, crypto analyst EGRAG CRYPTO says this week could be crucial for XRP’s trend. In his latest analysis, he highlights that XRP's weekly candle is above the key $2.10 level and the 21-week EMA, which is a positive technical indicator.
另一方面,加密分析師Egrag Crypto表示,本周可能對XRP的趨勢至關重要。在他的最新分析中,他強調說,XRP的每週蠟燭高於2.10美元的關鍵蠟燭,而21週的EMA是一個積極的技術指標。
But the real turning point, according to EGRAG, will be if XRP manages to close the week with a candle fully above the $2.25 mark. If that happens, it would officially confirm a bullish trend reversal and suggest that the April 7 low was the bottom from which the uptrend started.
但是,根據Egrag的說法,真正的轉折點是,如果XRP設法以完全高於$ 2.25的蠟燭來關閉一周。如果發生這種情況,它將正式確認看漲的趨勢逆轉,並表明4月7日的低點是上升趨勢開始的底部。
EGRAG views $2.25 as more than just resistance; he calls it the "lock-in" point for the uptrend. If this week's candle closes above $2.25, it indicates that the buyers are in control and aiming to push the price higher.
Egrag認為$ 2.25不僅僅是阻力;他稱其為上升趨勢的“鎖定”點。如果本週的蠟燭收盤超過2.25美元,則表明買家正在控制並旨在將價格提高。
However, if the sellers manage to push the price below $2.10, which is the 21-week EMA, then it could signal a continuation of the bear market.
但是,如果賣方設法將價格推高低於2.10美元,即21週的EMA,那麼它可能表明熊市的延續。
This week's candle close will decide which direction XRP takes next. For now, XRP is in a holding pattern, with short-term traders showing more fear and long-term traders feeling hopeful.
本週的蠟燭關閉將決定XRP下一個方向。目前,XRP處於持有模式,短期交易者表現出更多的恐懼和長期交易者感到有希望。
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