XRP 價格預測：看不到歷史新高

XRP 的價格在過去 90 天內飆升了 282%，這表明 XRP 在山寨幣中表現出色。然而，該代幣目前的勢頭已經減弱。

XRP’s price has surged by 282% over the past 90 days, outperforming Bitcoin (BTC) and most altcoins during this period. This remarkable performance has also coincided with a surge in XRP DEX volume, which reached $61.01 million on December 2.

XRP 的價格在過去 90 天內飆升了 282%，在此期間的表現優於比特幣 (BTC) 和大多數山寨幣。這一出色的表現也與 XRP DEX 交易量的激增同時發生，12 月 2 日交易量達到 6,101 萬美元。

This development has led to speculation that XRP could be poised to lead altcoin season, especially considering its strong performance and role in facilitating fast settlements of different currencies on the XRP Ledger (XRPL).

這一發展引發了人們的猜測，XRP 可能會引領山寨幣季節，特別是考慮到其強勁的表現以及在促進 XRP Ledger (XRPL) 上不同貨幣快速結算方面的作用。

However, the recent downturn in XRP’s price and a shift in altcoin season dynamics could impact the token's ability to reach new highs. Here's a closer look at the factors affecting XRP's price and its potential to reach a new all-time high before 2024 ends.

然而，最近 XRP 價格的下跌和山寨幣季節動態的變化可能會影響該代幣達到新高的能力。以下是影響 XRP 價格的因素及其在 2024 年底前達到新的歷史高點的潛力。

XRP Price Surges 282% in 90 Days, But Recent Pullback Could Hinder New Highs

XRP 價格在 90 天內飆升 282%，但近期回檔可能阻礙新高

The altcoin season is a period when non-Bitcoin cryptocurrencies collectively outperform BTC. To determine whether an altcoin season is occurring, the Altcoin Season Index tracks the percentage of the top 50 non-BTC coins that outperformed Bitcoin over a specific period, usually a quarter or a year. If 75% or more of these coins outperformed BTC, then an altcoin season is confirmed.

山寨幣季節是非比特幣加密貨幣整體表現優於比特幣的時期。為了確定山寨幣季節是否正在發生，山寨幣季節指數追蹤了在特定時期（通常是一個季度或一年）表現優於比特幣的前 50 種非 BTC 代幣的百分比。如果這些代幣中 75% 或更多的表現優於 BTC，則山寨幣季節就確定了。

During Q4 2023, XRP was among the top performers, contributing to a peak in the Altcoin Season Index to 78. This indicated an undeniable altcoin season, especially with multiple altcoins, including XRP, outperforming BTC throughout the quarter.

在2023 年第四季度，XRP 是表現最好的貨幣之一，導致山寨幣季節指數達到78 的峰值。季度的表現優於BTC。

As of late, however, this momentum has shifted with a decline in altcoin prices. This shift has also led to a drop in the Altcoin Season Index to 47, reflecting a move toward neutral sentiment.

然而，最近隨著山寨幣價格的下跌，這種勢頭已經發生了轉變。這一轉變也導致山寨幣季節指數跌至 47，反映市場情緒轉向中性。

Should this momentum continue to fade, then XRP price risks falling below $2, making it less likely for the token to reach a new all-time high before 2024 ends.

如果這種勢頭繼續消退，那麼 XRP 價格可能會跌破 2 美元，使其不太可能在 2024 年底之前達到新的歷史高點。

Another indicator that could support this extended decline is the XRP DEX volume. This metric measures the value of the cryptocurrency traded on the XRPL over a period of time, usually a day.

另一個可能支持這種持續下跌的指標是 XRP DEX 交易量。此指標衡量一段時間內（通常是一天）在 XRPL 上交易的加密貨幣的價值。

When the DEX volume rises, it suggests increasing demand for the token. On the other hand, a dwindling DEX volume indicates decreasing demand.

當 DEX 交易量上升時，表示對該代幣的需求增加。另一方面，DEX 交易量的減少表示需求的減少。

As mentioned above, the XRP DEX volume climbed to $61.01 million on December 2. Today, it is down to $2.66 million, indicating that the value of the token traded dropped by approximately $58 million. If sustained, XRP price might face sustained downward pressure.

如上所述，XRP DEX 交易量在 12 月 2 日攀升至 6,101 萬美元。 如今，其交易量下降至 266 萬美元，這表明交易的代幣價值下降了約 5,800 萬美元。如果持續下去，XRP 價格可能面臨持續下行壓力。

XRP Price Death Cross Signals Potential Downturn

XRP 價格死亡交叉預示著潛在的低迷

On the 4-hour XRP/USD chart, the altcoin has faced a death cross. A death cross occurs when the longer Exponential Moving Average (EMA) slides below the shorter one and is a bearish sign.

在 4 小時 XRP/USD 圖表上，山寨幣面臨死亡交叉。當較長的指數移動平均線 (EMA) 滑向較短的指數移動平均線下方時，就會出現死亡交叉，這是看跌訊號。

The opposite is called a golden cross which involves a crossover of the longer EMA above the shorter one. As seen below, the 50 EMA (yellow) has risen above the 20 EMA (blue) as the price has also dropped below these indicators.

相反的情況稱為黃金交叉，其中較長的 EMA 與較短的 EMA 交叉。如下圖所示，50 EMA（黃色）已升至 20 EMA（藍色）上方，而價格也跌破這些指標。

Should this trend continue, XRP’s value could decline to $1.75. However, if sentiment turns bullish and the EMAs form a golden cross, the trend might reverse. If that happens, the XRP price might rally to $2.90.

如果這種趨勢持續下去，XRP 的價值可能會跌至 1.75 美元。然而，如果情緒轉為看漲並且均線形成金叉，趨勢可能會逆轉。如果發生這種情況，XRP 價格可能會上漲至 2.90 美元。

XRP’s price has faced a death cross on the 4-hour chart, indicating a potential downturn. However, the 50 EMA might act as support, leading to a potential bounce. If this occurs, XRP price could rise to $2.90, setting it up for a new all-time high.

XRP 的價格在 4 小時圖表上面臨死亡交叉，表明潛在的下跌。然而，50 EMA 可能會起到支撐作用，導致潛在的反彈。如果發生這種情況，XRP 價格可能會上漲至 2.90 美元，創下歷史新高。

If not, then the EMA might amplify the bearish pressure, pushing XRP price down to $1.75 before 2024 ends, making a new all-time high unlikely.

如果沒有，那麼 EMA 可能會放大看跌壓力，在 2024 年結束之前將 XRP 價格推低至 1.75 美元，從而不太可能創下新的歷史高點。