如果 XRP 恢復 2018 年比特幣市值的百分比，XRP 價格有可能達到兩位數

在聯準會對經濟的強硬立場導致大盤回調的背景下，XRP 遭受了巨大打擊。

XRP price has the potential to reach a two-digit figure if XRP recaptures the percentage of Bitcoin market cap it held in 2018 before the SEC lawsuit.

如果 XRP 恢復到 2018 年美國證券交易委員會提起訴訟之前所佔比特幣市值的百分比，那麼 XRP 的價格有可能達到兩位數。

Amid a broader market pullback from the Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance on the economy, XRP has suffered a huge blow. The altcoin’s price collapsed from a top of $2.72 on Dec. 17 to a floor of $1.96 on Dec. 20, marking a massive 28% decline within four days.

在聯準會對經濟的強硬立場導致大盤回調的背景下，XRP 遭受了巨大打擊。該山寨幣的價格從 12 月 17 日的最高點 2.72 美元暴跌至 12 月 20 日的最低點 1.96 美元，四天內大幅下跌 28%。

XRP recovered from the $1.96 low as a result of the robust support at this level, a region that previously acted as resistance. Despite the rebound, XRP price is still 25% down from the $2.72 peak, currently hovering around $2.16 at press time.

由於該水平的強勁支撐，XRP 從 1.96 美元的低點回升，該區域之前是阻力位。儘管出現反彈，但 XRP 價格仍較 2.72 美元高峰下跌 25%，截至發稿時目前徘徊在 2.16 美元左右。

At this price, XRP’s market cap stands at $132 billion, according to data from TradingView. It bears mentioning that XRP hit an all-time high market valuation of $165 billion on Dec. 3, when its price soared to the seven-year high of $2.9. Before now, the peak valuation stood at $128.5 billion in January 2018.

根據 TradingView 的數據，以此價格計算，XRP 的市值為 1,320 億美元。值得一提的是，XRP 於 12 月 3 日創下了 1,650 億美元的歷史新高，當時其價格飆升至 2.9 美元的七年高點。此前，估值高峰出現在 2018 年 1 月，達到 1,285 億美元。

However, despite this cycle’s valuation being greater than the 2017/2018 valuation, it captures a much lower chunk of Bitcoin’s market cap. For context, in January 2018, when XRP’s market cap hit $128.5 billion, Bitcoin had a valuation of $260.05 billion. This indicates that XRP captured 49.4% of BTC’s market cap at the time.

然而，儘管本週期的估值高於 2017/2018 年的估值，但它在比特幣市值中所佔的份額要低得多。就背景而言，2018 年 1 月，當 XRP 的市值達到 1,285 億美元時，比特幣的估值為 2,600.5 億美元。這表明 XRP 佔據了當時 BTC 市值的 49.4%。

This ratio continued to decline considerably as XRP price faced turbulence over the years, while Bitcoin thrived. Further, the SEC lawsuit, which began in December 2020, exacerbated XRP’s underperformance, resulting in the asset missing out on the 2020/2021 bull run.

隨著 XRP 價格多年來面臨動盪，而比特幣卻蓬勃發展，這一比率繼續大幅下降。此外，自 2020 年 12 月開始的 SEC 訴訟加劇了 XRP 的表現不佳，導致該資產錯過了 2020/2021 年牛市。

Amid this sustained underperformance, the ratio of XRP’s market cap to Bitcoin’s valuation has plummeted considerably. For instance, at the start of this year, on Jan. 1, XRP only had 3.9% of Bitcoin’s market cap. Notably, at the time, XRP’s valuation stood at $33 billion, while Bitcoin had a market cap of $838 billion.

在持續表現不佳的情況下，XRP 的市值與比特幣估值的比率大幅下降。例如，今年年初的 1 月 1 日，XRP 僅佔比特幣市值的 3.9%。值得注意的是，當時 XRP 的估值為 330 億美元，而比特幣的市值為 8,380 億美元。

Interestingly, following the November rally, XRP’s market cap has skyrocketed to new heights. Now, with a market valuation of $132 billion, XRP captures about 6.8% of Bitcoin’s market cap, which now sits at $1.93 trillion. This is still way below the 49.4% ratio from 2018.

有趣的是，繼 11 月上漲之後，XRP 的市值已飆升至新高。現在，XRP 的市值為 1,320 億美元，約佔比特幣市值的 6.8%，目前比特幣市值為 1.93 兆美元。這仍遠低於 2018 年 49.4% 的比例。

Nonetheless, market experts believe XRP price will only surge further from here, especially after the ongoing correction ends. If XRP reclaimed the 49.4% Bitcoin market cap ratio, the implications would be massive for prices.

儘管如此，市場專家認為 XRP 價格只會進一步飆升，尤其是在持續調整結束後。如果 XRP 奪回比特幣 49.4% 的市值比例，這對價格的影響將是巨大的。

For context, 49.4% of the current Bitcoin valuation is $953 billion. Should XRP reach a market cap of $953 billion, its price would skyrocket to $16.6, considering the circulating supply of 57.25 billion tokens.

就背景而言，目前比特幣估值的 49.4% 為 9530 億美元。如果 XRP 的市值達到 9,530 億美元，考慮到 572.5 億代幣的流通供應量，其價格將飆升至 16.6 美元。

Such a price would mark a 621% increase from the current XRP price. Interestingly, market expert EGRAG had previously projected this price target for XRP. In October, EGRAG leveraged a Linear Regression principle to set three XRP price targets, including $16.

這樣的價格將比目前 XRP 價格上漲 621%。有趣的是，市場專家 EGRAG 先前曾預測 XRP 的這個價格目標。 10 月份，EGRAG 利用線性迴歸原理設定了三個 XRP 價格目標，其中包括 16 美元。

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