資深投資者預測宏觀經濟情勢推動比特幣上漲

資深投資者盧克·格羅門 (Luke Gromen) 預測，由於有利的宏觀經濟環境，未來幾個月比特幣 (BTC) 價值將飆升。格羅門強調美國政府債務近35兆美元，認為聯準會的行動無法阻止通膨，導致投資者尋求比特幣等價值儲存資產的避難。

Luke Gromen Sees Bitcoin Rallying on Macroeconomic Backdrop

盧克·格羅門（Luke Gromen）認為比特幣在宏觀經濟背景下反彈

Veteran investor Luke Gromen anticipates a surge in Bitcoin (BTC) value over the coming months, citing a favorable macroeconomic landscape. In an interview with crypto journalist Natalie Brunell, Gromen emphasized the substantial $35 trillion U.S. government debt.

資深投資者盧克·格羅門 (Luke Gromen) 預計，未來幾個月比特幣 (BTC) 的價值將飆升，理由是宏觀經濟形勢有利。在接受加密貨幣記者 Natalie Brunell 採訪時，Gromen 強調了美國政府債務高達 35 兆美元。

With the national debt at unprecedented levels, Gromen contends that the Federal Reserve (Fed) lacks the tools to curb resurgent inflation. This, in turn, will drive investors toward store-of-value assets such as Bitcoin to safeguard their wealth.

格羅門認為，由於國家債務達到前所未有的水平，聯準會缺乏遏制通膨復甦的工具。反過來，這將促使投資者轉向比特幣等價值儲存資產，以保護他們的財富。

"I'm extremely bullish on Bitcoin for the next six to 12 months, both tactically and strategically," Gromen stated. "Regardless of whether the Fed raises or lowers rates, it makes no difference. In my view, inflation and fiscal deficits will continue to rise."

格羅門表示：“無論從戰術上還是戰略上，我都非常看好未來 6 到 12 個月的比特幣。” “無論聯準會升息還是降息，都沒有什麼區別。在我看來，通膨和財政赤字將繼續上升。”

According to Gromen, the only scenario where this outcome is averted is through a weakening of the U.S. dollar, which would lead to a decline in fiscal deficits. However, he deems this unlikely.

格羅門認為，避免這種結果的唯一情況是美元貶值，這將導致財政赤字下降。不過，他認為不太可能。

"My options are: higher rates [and] more inflation, lower rates [and] more inflation, or lower deficits with a weaker dollar [meaning] more inflation [and] more debasement," Gromen explained. "I believe this sets up very well for Bitcoin, and critically, the fundamentals are there."

「我的選擇是：更高的利率[和]更高的通膨，更低的利率[和]更高的通膨，或在美元疲軟的情況下降低赤字[意味著]更高的通膨[和]更多的貶值，」格羅門解釋道。 “我相信這對比特幣來說非常有利，而且最重要的是，基本面已經存在。”

Despite the underlying fundamentals, Gromen notes that skepticism toward Bitcoin persists, with approximately $6 trillion still parked in money market funds. Many investors still hold the belief that the Fed will successfully quell inflation.

Gromen 指出，儘管存在根本性的基本面，但人們對比特幣的懷疑依然存在，大約 6 兆美元仍存放在貨幣市場基金中。許多投資者仍然相信聯準會將成功抑制通膨。

Gromen dismisses this notion, arguing that even if the Fed raises rates, inflation will persist due to the substantial debt burden and its rising proportion of GDP. "I'm extremely bullish on Bitcoin because I have the fundamentals: if they raise rates, it's inflationary; if they don't raise rates, it's inflationary; if they cut rates, it's inflationary," he said.

格羅門駁斥了這一觀點，認為即使聯準會升息，由於沉重的債務負擔及其佔GDP的比重不斷上升，通膨仍將持續。 「我非常看好比特幣，因為我有基本面：如果他們升息，那就是通貨膨脹；如果他們不加息，那就是通貨膨脹；如果他們降息，那就是通貨膨脹，」他說。

Gromen believes that the Fed's efforts to maintain stability will require a continued weakening of the dollar, which would further benefit Bitcoin. "All of which is good for Bitcoin," he concluded.

格羅門認為，聯準會維持穩定的努力將需要美元持續走弱，這將進一步有利於比特幣。 「所有這些都對比特幣有利，」他總結道。

At the time of writing, Bitcoin traded at $64,637.

截至撰寫本文時，比特幣交易價格為 64,637 美元。