Vaneck預測，比特幣將在管理美國的國債上漲方面發揮關鍵作用

這項研究基於參議員辛西婭·盧米斯（Cynthia Lummis）提出的比特幣法案，表明，戰略性比特幣儲備可能會在2049年之前部分平衡該國的債務。

VanEck has proposed a novel concept that could revolutionize the discourse surrounding national debt management. The study proposes that Bitcoin could play a pivotal role in offsetting a portion of the United States' rising national debt. This concept, while intriguing, raises several questions regarding its feasibility.

Vaneck提出了一個新穎的概念，可以改變圍繞國家債務管理的話語。該研究提出，比特幣可以在抵消美國國家債務上升的一部分中發揮關鍵作用。這個概念雖然有趣，但卻引發了有關其可行性的幾個問題。

The study examines a scenario where the US government acquires a substantial amount of Bitcoin, up to 1 million BTC, over a five-year period. If this strategy were to materialize, VanEck's analysis suggests that such a reserve could potentially help offset nearly $21 trillion in national debt by 2049.

該研究研究了一種場景，美國政府在五年內獲得了大量比特幣，最高100萬BTC。如果該策略要實現，Vaneck的分析表明，這樣的儲備有可能有助於到2049年抵消近21萬億美元的國家債務。

In the context of debt growth, which is anticipated to be around 5% annually, this contribution would amount to approximately 18% of the total expected debt at that time.

在預計每年約5％的債務增長的背景下，這一貢獻約為當時預期債務總債務的18％。

However, this positive outlook is contingent on the sustained appreciation of Bitcoin's price. VanEck's model projects that BTC will experience a 25% compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) on average over the next two decades.

但是，這種積極的前景取決於對比特幣價格的持續欣賞。 Vaneck的模型預測，BTC將在未來二十年中平均經歷25％的複合年增長率（CAGR）。

Starting with an estimated acquisition price of $100,000 per unit in 225, the crypto would need to experience continuous price increases over the next two decades to achieve the desired impact on national debt.

從估計的225估計收購價為每單位100,000美元開始，加密貨幣將需要在未來二十年內經歷連續價格上漲，以實現對國家債務的預期影響。

The study highlights the importance of considering the rate of debt growth, which is expected to be 5% annually. Any effort to offset the predicted $100 trillion national debt by 2049 will require identifying assets with substantial appreciation potential.

該研究強調了考慮債務增長率的重要性，預計每年將為5％。到2049年，任何抵消預計100萬億美元的國債的努力都將需要確定具有巨大讚賞潛力的資產。

While presenting both a challenge and an opportunity, Bitcoin's volatility in this context is undeniable. An ambitious target of 25% CAGR is proposed, considering the crypto's past price movements, regulatory uncertainties, and varying industry acceptance patterns.

在提出挑戰和機會的同時，在這種情況下，比特幣的波動是不可否認的。考慮到加密貨幣過去的價格變動，監管不確定性以及不同行業接受模式，提出了一個雄心勃勃的CAGR目標。

Should the crypto's expansion slow down, the reserve might not meet expectations, ultimately reducing its effectiveness in addressing national debt.

如果加密貨幣的擴張放緩，則儲備金可能無法滿足期望，最終降低了其在解決國家債務方面的有效性。

VanEck's perspective aligns with a broader discourse regarding the role of the leading digital currency in national economies. Countries like El Salvador have already integrated the top coin into their financial plans, albeit on a smaller scale.

Vaneck的觀點與有關領先數字貨幣在國民經濟中的作用的更廣泛論述相吻合。薩爾瓦多（El Salvador）等國家已經將頂級硬幣納入其財務計劃，儘管規模較小。

If the US were to adopt a similar strategy, it would signify an unprecedented shift in monetary policy, considering the scale of the US economy and its global influence.

如果美國要採取類似的戰略，則考慮到美國經濟規模及其全球影響力的規模，這將表示貨幣政策的前所未有的轉變。

The practicality of amassing such a large Bitcoin reserve raises further questions. Would the government purchase the crypto asset gradually or in bulk? How would it safeguard and govern such an asset? These practical considerations add complexity to VanEck's vision.

積累如此大的比特幣儲備的實用性提出了進一步的問題。政府會逐漸或批量購買加密資產嗎？它將如何保護和管理這樣的資產？這些實際的考慮因素增加了Vaneck的願景。

Despite these challenges, VanEck's research presents an intriguing possibility. The potential of BTC as a long-term wealth reserve is still a topic of debate among economists and policymakers.

儘管面臨這些挑戰，但Vaneck的研究卻是一種有趣的可能性。 BTC作為長期財富儲備的潛力仍然是經濟學家和政策制定者之間辯論的話題。

If the crypto's value continues to increase substantially over the long term, perhaps it could be feasible to eventually employ the digital asset to mitigate a portion of national debt, offering a unique solution to a pressing economic challenge.

如果從長遠來看，加密貨幣的價值繼續大幅提高，那麼最終使用數字資產來減輕部分國家債務，為緊迫的經濟挑戰提供了獨特的解決方案，這可能是可行的。

For now, the feasibility of this strategy remains uncertain. The US government has yet to indicate any concrete plans to acquire the alpha crypto on a large scale. But with national debt rising and Bitcoin's influence growing, discussions around this unconventional solution are far from over.

目前，此策略的可行性仍然不確定。美國政府尚未指出任何具體計劃，以大規模獲取Alpha Crypto。但是，隨著國債的上升和比特幣的影響力的增長，有關這種非常規解決方案的討論還遠遠沒有結束。