2024 年 Toncoin (TON) 價格預測：質押 TVL 比率會進一步下降嗎？

Toncoin [TON]對此週期的前景非常看好。事實上，最近的 AMBCrypto 報告概述了本次上漲的看漲目標高達 19.5 美元。

Cryptocurrency price movements are often influenced by a multitude of factors, and Toncoin (TON) is no exception. A recent analysis by CryptoQuant has highlighted an interesting correlation between the varying staking ratio and price trends of TON.

加密貨幣的價格走勢往往受到多種因素的影響，Toncoin (TON) 也不例外。 CryptoQuant 最近的一項分析強調了不同質押率與 TON 價格趨勢之間的有趣相關性。

According to the analysis, periods of rising prices for TON have coincided with a decrease in the amount of the token locked in staking. This observation could be a valuable insight for traders seeking to anticipate future price movements.

根據分析，TON 價格上漲的時期與質押鎖定代幣數量的減少同時發生。對於尋求預測未來價格走勢的交易者來說，這項觀察可能是一個有價值的見解。

The analysis noted that during March 2024, the staking TVL ratio, represented by the purple line in the chart below, dropped significantly while the price trended higher. This occurred as investors sensed a positive shift in the altcoin market.

分析指出，2024 年 3 月期間，質押 TVL 比率（如下圖紫色線所示）大幅下降，而價格則呈現走高趨勢。這是因為投資人感受到山寨幣市場的正向轉變。

To capitalize on this, they withdrew their staked TON from exchanges to use on trading platforms. This movement, in turn, generated further demand for the token, ultimately boosting its price.

為了利用這一點，他們從交易所撤回了質押的 TON 以在交易平台上使用。這一舉動反過來又產生了對該代幣的進一步需求，最終推高了其價格。

Chart displaying the correlation between price and staking ratio for TON. Source: CryptoQuant Insights

顯示 TON 價格與質押比率之間相關性的圖表。資料來源：CryptoQuant Insights

In periods of rising prices, locked tokens become less efficiently utilized, especially during high-volatility phases. This could explain the rapid decline in the staking TVL ratio last summer.

在價格上漲時期，鎖定代幣的利用效率會降低，尤其是在高波動階段。這可以解釋去年夏天質押 TVL 比率迅速下降的原因。

Moreover, the analysis observed that TON appeared to be pivoting away from a downtrend in price. As this continues, it could lead to another drop in the staking TVL ratio. This sustained decrease might, in turn, help support an uptrend in the coming weeks.

此外，分析發現 TON 似乎正在擺脫價格下跌趨勢。隨著這種情況持續下去，可能會導致質押 TVL 比率再次下降。這種持續下降反過來可能有助於支持未來幾週的上升趨勢。

Highlighting another aspect, an analysis of the daily active addresses and network growth, both metrics have trended higher over the past two weeks, coinciding with TON’s price rally from $5 to $6.

另一個方面是對每日活躍地址和網路成長的分析，這兩個指標在過去兩週都呈上升趨勢，與 TON 的價格從 5 美元上漲到 6 美元相一致。

The daily active addresses, represented by the blue line in the chart below, show a rising number of unique addresses engaged in transactions. This aligns with the increasing network growth, depicted by the green line.

下圖中藍線代表的每日活躍地址顯示，參與交易的唯一地址數量不斷增加。這與不斷增長的網路成長相一致，如綠線所示。

Chart displaying the daily active addresses and network growth for TON. Source: Santiment

顯示 TON 每日活躍地址和網路成長的圖表。資料來源：Santiment

Together, these observations suggest high demand for Toncoin, which could be driving up its price. However, further analysis is always recommended to gain a comprehensive understanding of the factors influencing any cryptocurrency’s price movements.

總之，這些觀察結果表明對 Toncoin 的需求很高，這可能會推高其價格。然而，始終建議進行進一步分析，以全面了解影響任何加密貨幣價格變動的因素。