隨著年底比特幣繼續其緩慢的活動，黃金將在 2025 年出現前所未有的上漲

比特幣在 2024 年底迎來了火花，該資產在川普推動的反彈後爆發。毫不奇怪，它今年的表現非常出色，突破了 10 萬美元。

Gold prices enjoyed a remarkable 2024 as the precious metal closed the year around $2,719. Having itself a wonderful year amid several highs, the asset began the year at around $2,014 before surging to hit its highest price in late November.

黃金價格在 2024 年表現出色，全年收盤價約為 2,719 美元。該資產在數個高點中度過了美好的一年，年初價格約為 2,014 美元，然後在 11 月底飆升至最高價格。

Bitcoin, on the other hand, enjoyed a spark towards the latter end of 2024, with the asset bursting out after a Trump-fuelled rally. The asset enjoyed a remarkable run to hit above $100k on November 3. While other assets followed suit, Dogecoin enjoyed a double price increase.

另一方面，比特幣在 2024 年底迎來了火花，該資產在川普推動的反彈後爆發。該資產在 11 月 3 日飆升至 10 萬美元以上。

However, gold prices enjoyed a stellar run throughout the year, especially as investors shifted their funds into the asset while relying less on bond markets and equity. The popular notion is that gold also serves other purposes, giving it an inherent value. For instance, aside from its use as a currency, the asset is also used to mark jewelry and other technological products.

然而，金價全年表現強勁，尤其是當投資者將資金轉移到黃金資產，同時減少對債券市場和股票的依賴。流行的觀點是，黃金還有其他用途，賦予它內在的價值。例如，除了用作貨幣外，該資產還用於標記珠寶和其他技術產品。

According to UK-based gold marketplace Bullion Vault, investors are skeptical about the current global situation getting better next year. With Donald Trump preparing to enter the White House, experts are expecting several conflicts. In addition, the platform says it expects its users to consolidate their positions instead of selling.

據英國黃金市場 Bullion Vault 稱，投資者對當前全球局勢明年是否會好轉持懷疑態度。隨著唐納德·川普準備入主白宮，專家預計會發生一些衝突。此外，該平台表示，希望用戶鞏固頭寸，而不是出售。

The recent survey carried out by the firm among its users shows that they believe the asset could hit $3,070 by 2025. Most of the respondents cited geopolitical tensions and economic issues driving the growth of the yellow metal.

該公司最近對其用戶進行的調查顯示，他們認為到 2025 年該資產可能會達到 3,070 美元。

While most people use the economic situation and geopolitical tensions as their reasons for holding gold, others are pointing to the increase in sovereign debt. Economies across the West are currently witnessing huge deficits as economic growths continue to mount pressure on countries to increase state spending. This trend had previously emerged in 2007/8 with the pandemic causing it to worsen.

雖然大多數人將經濟形勢和地緣政治緊張局勢作為持有黃金的理由，但其他人則將矛頭指向主權債務的增加。由於經濟成長持續為各國增加國家支出帶來壓力，西方經濟體目前正面臨巨額赤字。這種趨勢早在2007/8年就已經出現，但隨著疫情的蔓延，情況進一步惡化。

Meanwhile, Donald Trump may be relying on his new-found Bitcoin love. With most countries pushing to establish their Bitcoin reserve, the United States is looking to lead the pack. President-elect Donald Trump recently confirmed plans for a national Bitcoin reserve after Bitcoin hit above the $100k mark for the first time. In his speech at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), Trump said the United States could do something nice with BTC.

與此同時，唐納德·川普可能正在依賴他新發現的比特幣熱愛。隨著大多數國家都在努力建立比特幣儲備，美國正在尋求領導。在比特幣首次突破 10 萬美元大關後，當選總統唐納德·川普最近確認了建立國家比特幣儲備的計劃。川普在紐約證券交易所（NYSE）的演講中表示，美國可以利用比特幣做一些好事。

He highlighted the need to be ahead of other countries, a notion that the incoming United States President has always echoed. “We’re gonna do something great with crypto because we don’t want China, or anybody else… but others are embracing it, and we want to be ahead,” he said. However, the idea seems not to resonate with everyone as critics have poked holes in the strategy.

他強調需要走在其他國家的前面，即將上任的美國總統也一直認同這個觀點。 「我們要用加密貨幣做一些偉大的事情，因為我們不想要中國或其他任何人……但其他人正在擁抱它，我們希望領先，」他說。然而，這個想法似乎並沒有引起所有人的共鳴，因為批評者指出了該策略的漏洞。

Skeptics are seeing the move as the United States government playing a fool. They see the strategy as an avenue to run up borrowing costs, which could prove dire for the country. It could worsen the already bad inflation numbers, and the dollar would be at the receiving end. A Bitcoin reserve could also open financial institutions up for Bitcoin adoption, allowing customers to use the asset as collateral for loans. If the asset drops, it could prove costly for the financial institution.

懷疑論者認為此舉是美國政府在開玩笑。他們認為這項策略是提高借貸成本的一種途徑，這可能會為該國帶來可怕的後果。這可能會使本已糟糕的通膨數據進一步惡化，而美元將成為受害者。比特幣儲備還可以開放金融機構採用比特幣，允許客戶使用該資產作為貸款抵押品。如果資產下跌，金融機構可能會付出高昂的代價。