Fundstrat研究負責人湯姆·李（Tom Lee）最近與CNBC進行了交談，這表明更廣泛的市場可能正在接近底部

FundStrat研究負責人湯姆·李（Tom Lee）最近與CNBC進行了交談，這表明，更廣泛的市場可能會接近底部，這可能是本週的最快。

Tom Lee, Head of Research at Fundstrat, recently spoke with CNBC, suggesting that the broader market may be nearing a bottom, potentially as soon as this week.

FundStrat研究負責人湯姆·李（Tom Lee）最近與CNBC進行了交談，這表明，更廣泛的市場可能會接近底部，這可能是本週的最快。

Lee's outlook comes amid economic uncertainty as President Trump navigates his first 100 days in office. Several factors are contributing to market volatility, including the Department of Government Expenditure (DOGE) program, which imposes austerity measures that reduce public spending, and the tariff policies creating further uncertainty for businesses and investors.

特朗普總統在任職的頭100天導航時，李的前景是出於經濟不確定性而產生的。有幾個因素導致市場波動，包括​​政府支出部（DOGE）計劃，該計劃採取了減少公共支出的緊縮措施，關稅政策對企業和投資者造成了進一步的不確定性。

Bitcoin (BTC) has experienced yet another reversal in price, filling in Friday's CME gap and currently sitting at $83,000—down over 10% this year. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq 100 has also dropped nearly 10%, with another similar decline would trigger a bear market.

比特幣（BTC）經歷了另一種逆轉價格，填補了周五的CME差距，目前為83,000美元，今年超過10％。同時，納斯達克100號也下降了近10％，另一個類似的下降將觸發熊市。

Lee points to Friday’s upcoming job data as a key event that could dictate short-term market direction. If the data is worse than expected, he anticipates an initial wave of panic, but Lee believes it could also prompt the Federal Reserve to accelerate interest rate cuts.

李將即將到來的工作數據指出，這是一個重要的事件，可以決定短期市場的方向。如果數據比預期的要差，他預計最初的恐慌浪潮，但李認為這也可能促使美聯儲加速降低利率。

Currently, the futures market is pricing in 75 basis points of cuts for this year, which would bring the benchmark federal funds rate to a range of 3.50%-3.75% by year-end. So far, the Fed has already implemented 100 basis points worth of cuts in this cycle.

目前，期貨市場的定價為今年的75個基點，這將使基準的聯邦資金利率達到3.50％-3.75％。到目前為止，美聯儲在此週期中已經實施了價值100個基點。

Lee also addressed bitcoin’s struggles, noting that its recent downturn is not driven by negative news but rather by cyclical market forces. He sees a potential short-term price target of $62,000 but still see's bitcoin finishing over $150,000 by end of the year.

Lee還解決了比特幣的鬥爭，並指出其最近的經濟不景氣不是由負面消息所驅動的，而是由周期性的市場力量驅動的。他認為潛在的短期目標價為62,000美元，但仍然看到比特幣在今年年底達到了15萬美元。

Tom Lee, Head of Research at Fundstrat, is known for his bullish market calls and his deep knowledge of the financial markets. He is a regular contributor to the financial press and is frequently interviewed by the media.

Fundsstrat研究負責人湯姆·李（Tom Lee）以其看漲的市場呼籲和對金融市場的深刻了解而聞名。他是財務出版社的定期貢獻者，經常受到媒體的採訪。

Lee's outlook on the market comes as the market has been faced with a triple whammy of bad news. Firstly, the Department of Government Expenditure (DOGE) program, which is part of the government's broader austerity measures, is expected to reduce public spending significantly this year. This will have a negative impact on economic growth and could lead to further job losses.

李在市場上的看法是由於市場面臨的三重壞消息。首先，政府支出部（DOGE）計劃是政府更廣泛的緊縮措施的一部分，預計今年將大大減少公共支出。這將對經濟增長產生負面影響，並可能導致進一步的失業。

Secondly, the Trump administration's tariff policies have been increasing uncertainty for businesses and investors. The administration has imposed tariffs on goods from China, Mexico, and Canada, and it is unclear what the long-term implications of these tariffs will be.

其次，特朗普政府的關稅政策一直在增加企業和投資者的不確定性。政府對中國，墨西哥和加拿大的商品徵收關稅，目前尚不清楚這些關稅的長期影響。

Finally, the market has also been sensitive to any changes in the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. The Fed is expected to begin raising interest rates later this year, and any indication that the rate hike cycle could be delayed or stalled could lead to to a selloff in the market.

最後，市場對美聯儲貨幣政策的任何變化也很敏感。預計美聯儲將於今年晚些時候開始提高利率，任何跡像都表明，加息週期可能會延遲或停滯，可能導致市場上的拋售。

Despite these challenges, Lee believes that the market is nearing a bottom and could rally sharply from current levels. He points to several factors that support his bullish view.

儘管面臨這些挑戰，李認為市場正在接近底部，並且可能從目前的水平上急劇地升起。他指出了支持他看漲觀點的幾個因素。

First, the market has already priced in a significant amount of bad news. The S&P 500 index is down about 10% from its all-time high, and the Nasdaq 100 index is down nearly 15%. This downturn has been driven by concerns over the trade war, the government shutdown, and the slowdown in the Chinese economy.

首先，市場已經以大量的壞消息定價。標準普爾500指數比其歷史最高高的指數下降了約10％，納斯達克100指數下降了近15％。對貿易戰爭，政府關閉以及中國經濟放緩的擔憂，這種低迷的推動了。

However, Lee believes that these concerns are largely priced into the market and that the market could begin to rally once these worries begin to abate.

但是，Lee認為，這些擔憂基本上是在市場上定價的，一旦這些擔憂開始減輕，市場就會開始集會。

Second, Lee anticipates that the upcoming job data on Friday could be a key event to watch for in the short term. If the data comes in worse than expected, it could trigger an initial wave of panic as traders react negatively to bleak economic indicators.

其次，Lee預計即將到來的工作數據可能是短期內要注意的關鍵事件。如果數據比預期的要糟，則可能會引發最初的恐慌浪潮，因為交易者對經濟黯淡的指標做出負面反應。

But on the flip side, weaker than expected jobs numbers could also prompt the Federal Reserve to accelerate interest rate cuts in an effort to salvage the floundering economy. Currently, the futures market is pricing in 75 basis points of cuts for this year, which would bring the benchmark federal funds rate to a range of 3.50%-3.75% by year-end. So far, the Fed has already implemented 100 basis points worth of cuts in this cycle.

但是，另一方面，比預期的工作數字弱也可能促使美聯儲加速降低利率，以挽救掙扎的經濟。目前，期貨市場的定價為今年的75個基點，這將使基準的聯邦資金利率達到3.50％-3.75％。到目前為止，美聯儲在此週期中已經實施了價值100個基點。

Third, Lee sees bitcoin (BTC) continuing to struggle as it fills in Friday’s CME gap and trades down over 10% for the year to reach $83,000. In another similar move, the Nasdaq 100 is approaching another 10% decline, with another similar drop pushing it into bear market territory.

第三，李認為比特幣（BTC）繼續掙扎，因為它填補了周五的CME差距，並在一年中下跌了10％以上，達到了83,000美元。在另一項類似的舉動中，納斯達克100又接近10％的下降，另一個類似的下降將其推向了熊市市場。

Bitcoin is now down 10% from Friday's close, having filled the gap from Friday's CME expiry. It is now testing the key $80,000 support level. A move below this level could open the way for further losses to the next level of support at $70,000

比特幣現在比周五結束了10％，這已經填補了周五CME到期的空白。現在正在測試關鍵$ 80,000的支持水平。低於此級別的舉動可能為進一步的損失邁向下一個支撐水平，為70,000美元