比特幣交易價格低於 70,000 美元，是時候買入了嗎？

比特幣幾個月來一直保持穩定，儘管市場發生變化，但仍顯示出強勢。繼2024年初上漲48%後，3月創出新高但尚未推出

Bitcoin has remained largely stagnant for months, exhibiting resilience amidst shifting market dynamics. Following a 48% gain in early 2024, the apex crypto hit a new high in March but has yet to fully enter the bull market that many anticipated.

幾個月來，比特幣基本上保持停滯狀態，在市場動態變化的情況下表現出彈性。繼 2024 年初上漲 48% 後，頂級加密貨幣在 3 月創下新高，但尚未完全進入許多人預期的多頭市場。

According to Brave New Coin’s Bitcoin Liquid Index, BTC is still trading below the $70,000 mark, having hit $69,400 this week, begging the question: Is now a good time to buy Bitcoin?

根據 Brave New Coin 的比特幣流動性指數，比特幣的交易價格仍低於 70,000 美元大關，本週已觸及 69,400 美元，這引出了一個問題：現在是購買比特幣的好時機嗎？

One reason for optimism is the Federal Reserve’s recent decision to lower interest rates for the first time in over four years. Lower interest rates tend to push investors toward riskier assets, which could boost the appeal of Bitcoin as crypto investors seek higher returns.

樂觀的一個原因是聯準會最近決定四年多來首次降息。較低的利率往往會促使投資者轉向風險較高的資產，這可能會增強比特幣的吸引力，因為加密貨幣投資者尋求更高的回報。

Another factor is the launch of spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which have gained massive popularity. These funds make it easier to invest in Bitcoin by eliminating the need to directly buy and store it, which could attract more investors and drive up demand.

另一個因素是現貨比特幣交易所交易基金（ETF）的推出，該基金受到了廣泛歡迎。這些基金無需直接購買和儲存比特幣，使投資比特幣變得更加容易，這可以吸引更多投資者並推高需求。

Cumulative net inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs have surpassed $20 billion since their launch earlier this year. It took gold ETFs 5 years to reach this figure. That makes the Bitcoin ETFs the most successful launch of any ETF in history.

自今年稍早推出以來，現貨比特幣 ETF 的累計淨流入已超過 200 億美元。黃金ETF花了5年才達到這個數字。這使得比特幣 ETF 成為史上推出的最成功的 ETF。

"Bitcoin ETFs have crossed $20b in total net flows (the most imp number, most difficult metric to grow in ETF world) for the first time after a huge week of $1.5b,” Eric Balchunas, Senior ETF Analyst for Bloomberg, wrote on X.

彭博社高級ETF 分析師 Eric Balchunas 寫道：「比特幣ETF 的總淨流量在經歷了1.5 億美元的一周後首次突破了20 億美元（ETF 世界中最重要的數量，最難增長的指標）。

“For context, it took gold ETFs about 5 years to reach the same number. Total assets now $65b, also a high water mark."

「就背景而言，黃金 ETF 花了大約 5 年才達到相同的數字。目前總資產為 65b 美元，也是高水位。

Source: X

來源：X

Irrespective of the upcoming White House election results, the regulatory outlook for Bitcoin appears to be improving. A favorable regulatory environment could bolster Bitcoin’s legitimacy, making it more appealing to everyday investors.

無論即將到來的白宮選舉結果如何，比特幣的監管前景似乎都在改善。有利的監管環境可以增強比特幣的合法性，使其對一般投資者更具吸引力。

Bitcoin's Unique Qualities and Long-Term Potential

比特幣的獨特品質和長期潛力

In isolation, the foundational attributes of Bitcoin are compelling. Created 15 years ago, Bitcoin was the first cryptocurrency that enabled two parties to send money electronically without needing an intermediary like a bank. This breakthrough introduced a new level of financial freedom and efficiency, paving the way for the future of digital currencies.

單獨來看，比特幣的基本屬性是引人注目的。比特幣創建於 15 年前，是第一個使兩方能夠以電子方式匯款而無需銀行等中介機構的加密貨幣。這項突破將金融自由度和效率提升到了新的水平，為數位貨幣的未來鋪平了道路。

A standout feature of Bitcoin is its fixed supply cap. There will only ever be a maximum of 21 million Bitcoins in circulation, with approximately 19.8 million currently in existence. This limited supply contrasts traditional fiat currencies, which can be printed in unlimited quantities. The fixed supply cap is a crucial aspect that underscores Bitcoin’s value proposition as a deflationary asset.

比特幣的一個突出特點是其固定的供應上限。比特幣的流通量最多只有 2,100 萬個，目前約有 1,980 萬個。這種有限的供應量與可以無限量印刷的傳統法定貨幣形成鮮​​明對比。固定供應上限是強調比特幣作為通貨緊縮資產價值主張的關鍵面向。

While past performance is not a guarantee of future results, Bitcoin's historical track record is impressive. According to BlackRock, BTC outperformed every major asset class in seven out of ten years from the start of 2014 through 2023. This strong performance highlights Bitcoin’s potential as a high-yield investment over the long term.

雖然過去的表現並不能保證未來的結果，但比特幣的歷史記錄令人印象深刻。據貝萊德稱，從 2014 年初到 2023 年，十年間有七年，比特幣的表現優於所有主要資產類別。

In 2024 alone, Bitcoin has already seen a significant increase of about 60%, outperforming the broader S&P 500 by a substantial margin. This robust performance this year strengthens the case that Bitcoin remains a viable investment option, even as it trades below the $70,000 threshold.

光是 2024 年，比特幣就已經大幅上漲了約 60%，大幅跑贏了更廣泛的標準普爾 500 指數。今年的強勁表現證明了比特幣仍然是可行的投資選擇，儘管其交易價格低於 70,000 美元。

2024 Presidential Candidates Show Support for BitcoinFor the first time, Bitcoin has become a key issue in a presidential campaign. As the November election approaches, former President Donald Trump has positioned himself as a pro-Bitcoin candidate and is widely seen as someone likely to back Bitcoin if he wins office.

2024 年總統候選人對比特幣表示支持比特幣首次成為總統競選的關鍵議題。隨著 11 月大選的臨近，前總統唐納德·川普將自己定位為支持比特幣的候選人，並被廣泛認為如果他當選，他可能會支持比特幣。

Trump has spoken about supporting the U.S. Bitcoin mining industry, floated the idea of creating a national Bitcoin reserve and hinted at Bitcoin’s role in lowering the nation’s $35 trillion debt. He has also vowed to remove SEC head Gary Gensler, who many view as blocking Bitcoin's growth in the country.

川普曾談到支持美國比特幣礦業，提出了建立國家比特幣儲備的想法，並暗示比特幣在降低美國 35 兆美元債務方面的作用。他還發誓要罷免 SEC 主席加里·詹斯勒 (Gary Gensler)，許多人認為他阻礙了比特幣在該國的成長。

If Trump wins, it could be highly favorable for Bitcoin. However, even if he loses, the political climate is clearly shifting in Bitcoin’s favor.

如果川普獲勝，可能對比特幣非常有利。然而，即使他輸了，政治氣候顯然正朝著有利於比特幣的方向轉變。

At the moment, the U.S. presidential race is still too close to predict, and this uncertainty may explain why many investors are waiting. However, the outcome of this election could have a major impact on Bitcoin's future.

目前，美國總統競選的勝負仍難以預測，這種不確定性或許可以解釋為何許多投資人正在等待。然而，這次選舉的結果可能會對比特幣的未來產生重大影響。

Taking all these factors into account, investing in Bitcoin while it trades below $70,000 seems like a smart move for many investors, as long as you have a long-term time horizon and are prepared for volatility.

考慮到所有這些因素，只要您有長期的投資期限並為波動做好準備，在比特幣交易價格低於 70,000 美元時投資比特幣對於許多投資者來說似乎是明智之舉。

The combination of favorable monetary policy, successful Bitcoin ETFs and 2024 presidential candidates' support for Bitcoin presents a compelling case for investment. Additionally, Bitcoin's historical performance and finite supply provide strong evidence of its potential to deliver significant returns over time.

有利的貨幣政策、成功的比特幣 ETF 以及 2024 年總統候選人對比特幣的支持相結合，為投資提供了令人信服的理由。此外，比特幣的歷史表現和有限的供應有力地證明了其隨著時間的推移帶來顯著回報的潛力。

As the data below shows, on a long enough time horizon, Bitcoin will outpace most other assets.

如下數據所示，在足夠長的時間範圍內，比特幣將超過大多數其他資產。

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