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隨著市場參與者的關注,週三的美國通貨膨脹數據將其置於風險資產之下
Technical analysis (TA) patterns are suggesting that bitcoin (BTC) might be bottoming out as traders await new U.S. inflation data to help put a floor under risk assets.
技術分析(TA)模式表明,隨著交易員在等待新的通貨膨脹數據,比特幣(BTC)可能正在觸底,以幫助將地板放置在風險資產下。
The world’s leading cryptocurrency has taken a beating recently, sliding from highs above $100,000 last month to lows of $78,631 on Tuesday. The price downturn can be attributed to several factors.
全球領先的加密貨幣最近進行了一次毆打,從上個月的高處超過100,000美元下滑至週二的低點78,631美元。價格下滑可以歸因於幾個因素。
For instance, risk appetite on Wall Street soured, prompting a sell-off in risk assets like BTC. Moreover, concerns about former U.S. President Donald Trump's tariffs and the possibility of a recession in the U.S. further dampened the mood.
例如,華爾街上的風險食慾酸化,促使BTC等風險資產拋售。此外,對美國前總統唐納德·特朗普的關稅的擔憂以及美國衰退的可能性進一步削弱了情緒。
Additionally, the lack of new BTC purchases under Trump's strategic reserve plan, which was announced in December and sparked a rally in the cryptocurrency, also contributed to the downward momentum.
此外,根據特朗普的戰略儲備計劃,缺乏新的BTC購買,該計劃於12月宣布,並引發了加密貨幣的集會,這也促進了下降勢頭。
However, as prices fell to multi-month lows, the relative strength index (RSI), a widely followed momentum oscillator, did not confirm this decline. The indicator formed a higher low, contradicting the lower low on the price chart, confirming what is known as the bullish RSI divergence.
但是,隨著價格下降到多個月的低點,相對強度指數(RSI)是一個遵循的動量振盪器,並未確認這一下降。該指標形成了較高的低點,與價格表上的低點相矛盾,證實了所謂的看漲RSI差異。
This pattern occurs when the RSI, which measures the magnitude of price movements to determine overbought or oversold conditions, is diverging from the underlying asset's price trends. In this case, it indicates that while the price is going down, the momentum behind the selling is weakening, potentially signaling an upcoming reversal to a bullish trend.
當RSI衡量確定過失或超賣條件的價格變動的RSI與基礎資產的價格趨勢有所不同時,就會發生這種模式。在這種情況下,這表明雖然價格下跌,但銷售背後的動力正在削弱,可能表明即將推出的逆轉向看漲趨勢。
The pattern couldn't have come at a more interesting time than today, as the U.S. consumer price index for February, scheduled for release at 12:30 UTC, is expected to show progress. BTC's bullish divergence of the RSI means the stage is set for a positive response to a potential soft reading.
這種模式在一個比今天更有趣的時刻不可能,因為預計2月份的2月份消費者價格指數預計將顯示出進度。 BTC對RSI的看漲差異意味著該階段是對潛在軟讀數的積極反應。
According to CNBC, the data is expected to show that the headline CPI and the core figure, which excludes food and energy, increased by 0.3% month-on-month in February. That implies an annualized reading of 2.9% for the headline CPI and 3.2% for the core, both 0.1 percentage point lower than in January.
根據CNBC的說法,預計數據將表明,排除食品和能源的標題CPI和核心人物在2月份增加了0.3%。這意味著標題CPI的年化讀數為2.9%,核心的讀數為3.2%,兩者均低於一月份的0.1個百分點。
"Tonight’s CPI print could set the tone for rate expectations, as markets now price in four Fed cuts this year, up from just one in January. Will inflation data validate this shift or bring fresh turbulence?," Singapore-based crypto trading firm QCP Capital said in a Telegram broadcast.
“今晚的CPI印刷品可以定下速度期望的基調,因為今年的市場價格現在為1月份的一個美聯儲削減。通貨膨脹數據會驗證這一轉變或帶來新的湍流嗎?” QCP Capital QCP Capital在電報廣播中說。
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