今天推動比特幣（BTC）上漲超過2.4％至88,000美元的激增可能是短暫的。

儘管突然來了，並沒有被廣泛期待 - 尤其是在復活節週日和一個漫長的周末，這一激增導致加密貨幣市場參與者的情緒明顯轉變。

The surge that pushed Bitcoin (BTC) up more than 2.4% to $88,000 today may be short-lived. Although it came suddenly and was not widely expected — especially with Easter Sunday and a long weekend — the surge caused a palpable shift in sentiment among crypto market participants.

今天推動比特幣（BTC）上漲超過2.4％至88,000美元的激增可能是短暫的。儘管突然來了，並沒有被廣泛期待 - 尤其是在復活節週日和一個漫長的周末，這一激增導致加密貨幣市場參與者的情緒明顯轉變。

From uncertainty, fear and doubt to greed, the mood changed quickly, with some experts now calling this the last chance to buy Bitcoin before it reaches $100,000 or even the $200,000 BTC predicted by Robert Kiyosaki.

從不確定性，恐懼和懷疑到貪婪，心情迅速發生了變化，現在一些專家稱這是購買比特幣的最後機會，然後再達到100,000美元，甚至是羅伯特·基約薩基（Robert Kiyosaki）預測的200,000美元BTC。

But the harsh reality may be that the sudden rally is about to end here. There are many reasons to support this prediction, but three in particular stand out.

但是苛刻的現實可能是突然的集會即將在這裡結束。支持這一預測的原因有很多，但三個尤其是脫穎而出。

The first is that after today's surge, the price of Bitcoin hit the 200-day moving average on the daily chart. Previously, Bitcoin broke through this important line in March, tested it in early April, saw a rejection and has now returned to it — and once again failed to break above it.

首先是，在今天的激增之後，比特幣的價格達到了每日圖表的200天移動平均值。以前，比特幣在三月份闖入了這一重要線，在4月初對其進行了測試，看到了拒絕並現在又回到了它 - 再次未能超越它。

The second reason is also technical and involves the Bollinger Bands. It just so happened that the upper band of this popular indicator coincided exactly with the same point where the 200-day moving average lies — also on the daily time frame. What’s more, after the spike, Bitcoin hit the upper band, which can signal an "overbought" situation for the leading cryptocurrency.

第二個原因也是技術，涉及布林樂隊。碰巧的是，這個受歡迎的指標的上限與200天移動平均線所在的同一點（也是在日常的時間範圍內）的同一點。更重要的是，在尖峰之後，比特幣擊中了上層樂隊，這可能標誌著領先的加密貨幣的“過失”情況。

Finally, the third reason is that on the weekly chart, Bitcoin's RSI indicator has hit a trendline resistance that continues to hold after a previous bearish divergence on the chart. A closer look reveals a similarity to the situation in September 2024.

最後，第三個原因是，在每週圖表上，比特幣的RSI指標達到了趨勢線阻力，在圖表上以前的看跌差異之後，該趨勢阻力持續存在。仔細觀察表明，與2024年9月的情況相似。

But back then, BTC managed to break above that resistance — while now, it has only touched it.

但是那時，BTC設法超越了這種阻力 - 現在，它只是觸摸了它。

Add to this the headlines screaming "all-time high" for gold, the narrative that Bitcoin is about to follow in the precious metal’s footsteps and Michael Saylor buying $555 million worth of BTC.

除此之外，頭條新聞尖叫著“有史以來高高”的黃金，這是比特幣將要遵循的珍貴金屬的腳步的敘述，而邁克爾·塞勒（Michael Saylor）則購買了價值5.55億美元的BTC。

Optimism is definitely in the air — but so are the perfect conditions for yet another cruel sell-off that finesses overexcited market participants.

樂觀肯定是在空中的，但是又是一個殘酷拋售的完美條件，這使市場參與者過度興奮。