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在需求不斷增長的情況下,Sui Network (SUI) 以令人印象深刻的速度和價格表現提升了加密貨幣市場排名
The Sui Network (SUI) token has seen impressive price performance and rising demand in the cryptocurrency market. However, this rapid ascent has also triggered several technical indicators that may be signaling a potential selling opportunity.
Sui Network(SUI)代幣的價格表現令人印象深刻,加密貨幣市場的需求不斷增長。然而,這種快速上漲也引發了多項技術指標,這些指標可能預示著潛在的拋售機會。
According to Finbold’s analysis of data from CoinGlass’s RSI heatmap on October 13, SUI is the only cryptocurrency that is displaying an overbought status on a weekly timeframe.
根據 Finbold 10 月 13 日對 CoinGlass RSI 熱圖數據的分析,SUI 是唯一在每週時間範圍內顯示超買狀態的加密貨幣。
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum oscillator that measures the magnitude of recent price changes to evaluate whether an asset is overbought or oversold. An RSI value above 70 is typically considered overbought.
相對強弱指數(RSI)是一種動量震盪指標,用於衡量近期價格變化的幅度,以評估資產是否超買或超賣。 RSI 值高於 70 通常被視為超買。
Specifically, SUI’s RSI marks 73.43, 74.7, 71.65, 73.84, and 72.68 at the 1-hour, 4-hour, 12-hour, 24-hour, and 1-week time frames, respectively.
具體來說,SUI 的 RSI 在 1 小時、4 小時、12 小時、24 小時和 1 週時間範圍內分別為 73.43、74.7、71.65、73.84 和 72.68。
This overbought status across multiple time frames suggests that SUI’s price may be due for a correction, especially considering the diminishing returns on the RSI over the last seven days.
這種跨越多個時間範圍的超買狀態表明,SUI 的價格可能會進行調整,特別是考慮到過去 7 天 RSI 的收益遞減。
Furthermore, a closer examination of SUI’s daily price chart, as indicated by TradingView’s crypto index, reveals a similar indication of an overbought SUI.
此外,仔細檢查 SUI 的每日價格圖表(如 TradingView 的加密貨幣指數所示),會發現類似的 SUI 超買跡象。
The daily RSI marks 72.07 in this index at $2.21, retracing after reaching a $2.29 all-time high.
該指數的每日 RSI 為 72.07,為 2.21 美元,在達到 2.29 美元的歷史高點後回落。
Notably, the chart also displays a bearish divergence starting on September 24, which could suggest a reversal from this rally. The bearish divergence appears with SUI’s price making three subsequent higher highs while the RSI makes three subsequent lower highs.
值得注意的是,該圖表還顯示自 9 月 24 日開始的看跌背離,這可能表明本次反彈出現逆轉。看跌背離出現,SUI 價格連續創出三個更高的高點,而 RSI 連續創出三個更低的高點。
We also spotted this pattern in the weekly and 4-hour chart against the dollar.
我們也在兌美元的周線圖和 4 小時圖上發現了這個模式。
Overbought SUI price analysis and bearish divergence
超買 SUI 價格分析和看跌背離
Interestingly, a reversal here is expected according to multiple other indicators and analysts. Finbold, for example, reported a Sui price prediction by the reputable trader, pejman_zwin, on TradingView, using the Elliott Wave theory.
有趣的是,根據多個其他指標和分析師的預測,預計會出現逆轉。例如,Finbold 在 TradingView 上報導了著名交易員 pejman_zwin 使用艾略特波浪理論進行的 Sui 價格預測。
“Currently, SUI is moving near the Resistance lines and the Potential Reversal Zone. According to the theory of Elliot waves, SUI seems to be completing the main wave 3. (It is completing the microwave 5 of the main wave 3). I expect SUI to rise another +20% or so and then start to correct. SUI correction can be -20% to -40%.”
「目前,SUI 正在阻力線和潛在反轉區附近移動。根據艾略特波浪理論,SUI似乎正在完成主波3。我預計 SUI 將再上漲 20% 左右,然後開始調整。 SUI 修正可以是 -20% 到 -40%。
– pejman_zwin
– pejman_zwin
The forecasted 20% rise is already completed, previously targeting $2.30 per token. Now, if the analysis plays out as expected, SUI could be heading to a -20% to -40% correction wave four.
預計 20% 的上漲已經完成,先前的目標是每個代幣 2.30 美元。現在,如果分析結果符合預期,SUI 可能會進入 -20% 至 -40% 的第四波修正波。
Sui Network fundamental analysis
穗網基本面分析
Meanwhile, the Sui Network gained the spotlight due to its solid technology stack and distinguished user experience. Many cryptocurrency investors and users have deemed SUI the Solana (SOL) killer, resulting in a capital inflow to the project.
同時,穗網路憑藉著紮實的技術堆疊和卓越的使用者體驗而受到關注。許多加密貨幣投資者和用戶將 SUI 視為 Solana (SOL) 殺手,導致資金流入該專案。
Recently, Circle deployed its dollar stablecoin USDC natively on the Sui Network, bringing relevant liquidity to the ecosystem. A day later, Grayscale announced the Grayscale SUI trust, opening doors for institutional exposure to the token.
近期,Circle 在 Sui Network 上原生部署了美元穩定幣 USDC,為生態系統帶來了相關的流動性。一天后,Grayscale 宣布成立 Grayscale SUI 信託,為該機構投資該代幣打開了大門。
SUI tokenomics raises concerns
SUI 代幣經濟學引發擔憂
On the other hand, SUI’s tokenomics raises concerns, given a highly weighted distribution to private investors and Mysten Labs.
另一方面,鑑於私人投資者和 Mysten Labs 的分配權重較高,SUI 的代幣經濟學引起了人們的擔憂。
With less than 30% of all already distributed tokens in circulation, Sui has a high fully diluted value (FDV), most of which is being staked while still locked, increasing the asymmetry against retail traders and investors.
Sui 的流通代幣佔所有已分配代幣的比例不到30%,其完全稀釋價值(FDV) 很高,其中大部分在鎖定狀態下被質押,增加了針對散戶交易者和投資者的不對稱性。
Finbold reported October’s $100 million monthly unlock of SUI tokens, illustrating the expected selling pressure at such profit levels. Series A and B investors received the largest unlocked share, totaling 61%.
Finbold 報告稱,10 月 SUI 代幣每月解鎖額為 1 億美元,說明了在這樣的利潤水平下預期的拋售壓力。 A 輪和 B 輪投資者獲得了最大的解鎖份額,總計 61%。
In conclusion, while Sui’s technology, user experience, and adoption news sets the path for a bullish long term, its tokenomics and an overbought status, together with a spotted bearish divergences foreshadow an impeding correction and short-term weakening for SUI’s price.
總而言之,雖然 Sui 的技術、用戶體驗和採用消息為長期看漲奠定了基礎,但其代幣經濟學和超買狀態,以及發現的看跌背離預示著 SUI 價格的回調和短期疲軟。
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