Solana（Sol），比特幣（BTC）和Shiba INU（SHIB） - 市場分析

索拉納（Solana）剛剛看到了三年來最大的價格下跌，比最近的高點下降了45％。由於銷售壓力很大，資產

Solana (SOL) has seen its biggest price drop in three years, falling 45% from its most recent high. The asset — which was among the best performers during the previous bull cycle — is now causing investors to worry about its short-term future due to intense selling pressure.

Solana（Sol）三年來的價格下跌最大，比最近的高點下降了45％。該資產（在上一個公牛週期中表現最好的人之一）現在導致投資者擔心由於巨大的銷售壓力，其短期未來。

A strong bearish trend is indicated by SOL's decline below the pivotal 200-day moving average, which is clearly broken by key support levels on the most recent price chart. This action implies that buying interest has been greatly outweighed by selling pressure, which has probably been made worse by general market worries and the recent drop in investor risk appetite. The price is now testing levels around $170 after falling below $190, a crucial support zone in the past. According to the Relative Strength Index (RSI), the asset has moved into oversold territory, which may portend a relief bounce.

SOL的下降低於關鍵的200天移動平均線，這表明了強烈的看跌趨勢，這在最新價格表中顯然被關鍵支持水平打破了。這一行動表明，銷售壓力大大超過了購買利息，這可能會因一般市場的擔憂和最近的投資者風險食慾下降而變得更糟。現在，價格正在測試水平約為170美元，這是過去一個至關重要的支撐區。根據相對強度指數（RSI），資產已進入超賣領土，這可能預示著救濟的反彈。

With the 200-day moving average breached and important psychological levels like $200 not held, there is now more selling pressure. The $160-$170 support range is an important area to keep an eye on. It is possible to anticipate additional drops to $150 or less if Solana is unable to maintain this zone. Alternatively, bullish momentum would need to reclaim the 200-day moving average and recover above $190.

由於200天移動的平均水平違反了諸如200美元不舉行的重要心理水平，現在賣出了更多的銷售壓力。 $ 160- $ 170的支持範圍是關注的重要領域。如果Solana無法維護此區域，則可以預計額外的跌至150美元或更少。另外，看漲的勢頭將需要收回200天的移動平均水平，並恢復超過190美元。

Bitcoin price movements are being closely watched as the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is showing signs of strength, which could put a damper on Bitcoin's upside potential. Historically, there has been an inverse relationship between Bitcoin and the dollar index when the dollar appreciates Bitcoin and other risky assets typically decline. Since DXY is still trading above 106, it is unclear where Bitcoin will go in the future.

由於美元指數（DXY）顯示出強度的跡象，比特幣價格變動正在密切關注，這可能會使比特幣的上升潛力受到阻礙。從歷史上看，當美元欣賞比特幣和其他風險資產通常下降時，比特幣與美元指數之間存在反比關係。由於DXY的交易仍在106以上，因此未來比特幣將來會去哪裡。

Bitcoin is currently struggling to break out of its consolidation range, trading at about $95,700. With resistance close to $100,000 and support forming at $93,500, the asset has been moving sideways. If Bitcoin is unable to maintain this level of support, a drop toward $90,000 may be imminent.

比特幣目前正在努力擺脫其合併範圍，交易約為95,700美元。由於電阻接近100,000美元，並以93,500美元的價格形成支持，因此資產一直在側向移動。如果比特幣無法維持這一水平的支持，則可能即將下降到90,000美元。

In relation to a basket of foreign currencies, the dollar has recently recovered from its moving averages. This points to a potential shift in liquidity away from Bitcoin and other digital assets due to the dollar's renewed strength. Bitcoin may find it difficult to maintain any bullish recovery if the DXY keeps up its upward trajectory. Bitcoin may move toward the 200-day moving average, which is close to $85,000, if it breaks below $93,500, which could lead to a more severe correction.

關於一籃子外幣，美元最近從其移動平均值中恢復了。這表明，由於美元的重新實力，流動性可能從比特幣和其他數字資產轉移。如果DXY保持向上的軌跡，比特幣可能很難保持任何看漲的恢復。如果比特幣的移動平均線可能會在2000美元以下，則可能會駛向93,500美元以下的$ 85,000，這可能會導致更嚴重的更正。

If Bitcoin is able to maintain its current range and the dollar declines, a break above $100,000 could rekindle bullish sentiment. However, traders continue to exercise caution due to the persistence of macroeconomic uncertainty. The next course of action for Bitcoin will mostly depend on how the U.S. dollar performs over the next few weeks.

如果比特幣能夠保持其當前範圍和美元下降，那麼100,000美元以上的休息可能會重新獲得看漲的情緒。但是，由於宏觀經濟不確定性的持續存在，交易者繼續謹慎行事。比特幣的下一步行動將主要取決於美元在接下來的幾週內的表現。

If the dollar's strength continues, there may be more pressure on Bitcoin sellers. But if macroeconomic conditions change to favor riskier assets, Bitcoin may gain the momentum it needs to overcome significant resistance levels.

如果美元的實力繼續，對比特幣賣家的壓力可能會有更大的壓力。但是，如果宏觀經濟狀況變化以偏愛風險較高的資產，則比特幣可能會獲得克服明顯的抵抗水平所需的勢頭。

Shiba Inu has been hovering around its recent lows, sparking speculation regarding a possible recovery. SHIB may still be able to reverse its downward trend even though the market is not showing much upward momentum if it forms a double-bottom pattern around $0.00001485.

Shiba Inu一直在其最近的低谷中徘徊，引發了人們對可能恢復的猜測。即使市場在$ 0.00001485左右形成雙底模式，SHIB仍可以扭轉其向下趨勢。

The asset has been unable to overcome significant resistance levels such as the 26 EMA despite consistent selling pressure. In the event that SHIB is able to maintain its current support zone and draw in fresh buying interest, a technical rebound could occur. Even though double-bottom formations have historically been a powerful reversal signal, the current market's uncertainty and low trading volume make such a move unlikely in the near future.

儘管銷售壓力持續，資產仍無法克服顯著的阻力水平，例如26 EMA。如果Shib能夠維持其當前的支持區並吸引新的購買興趣，則可能會發生技術反彈。即使歷史上雙重底層形成是一個強大的逆轉信號，但當前市場的不確定性和較低的交易量使得在不久的將來不太可能採取這種舉動。

For a bullish scenario to materialize, SHIB must regain strength above $0.00001713 in order for a bullish scenario to materialize and possibly move it toward the next resistance level at $0.000020. Even though the current state of the market indicates that there is little chance of a quick breakout, a rally to $0.000022 could occur if buying pressure increases.

為了實現看漲的情況，Shib必須重新獲得高於$ 0.00001713的強度，以使單位的場景實現並可能將其轉移到下一個阻力水平為0.000020美元。即使當前的市場狀況表明很少有快速突破的機會，但如果購買壓力增加，則可能會發生$ 0.000022的集會。

On the downside, more drops might occur if the $0.00001485 support is not maintained. The double-bottom setup would be void if there were a break below this level, which might push SHIB down to $0.00001300 or even lower.

不利的一面是，如果不維持$ 0.00001485的支撐，可能會發生更多的跌落。如果在此水平以下的突破，雙底設置將是無效的，這可能會將什布降至$ 0.00001300甚至更低。