Solana 在市場低迷中暴跌，引發區塊鏈擔憂和利率緊張

Solana (SOL) 今天暴跌 9.25%，在大盤下跌的情況下觸及兩週低點 168 美元。對聯準會利率調整的懷疑以及 Solana 區塊鏈交易失敗的報告導致了 SOL 價格下跌。儘管數據存在爭議，但交易失敗已經影響了 SOL 的性能，導致其表現落後於加密市場。 SOL 與其 memecoin 項目之間的相關性仍然很強，Bonk (BONK) 和 Dogwifhat (WIF) 也經歷了重大調整。

Solana Plunges Amidst Market Downturn, Sparking Concerns Over Blockchain Failures and Interest Rate Jitters

Solana 在市場低迷中暴跌，引發對區塊鏈故障和利率波動的擔憂

Solana's (SOL) value plummeted by a significant 9.25% on April 5, reaching its lowest point in two weeks at $168. This substantial decline mirrored a broader negative trend in the cryptocurrency market, which experienced an overall decrease of 3.8%.

Solana（SOL）的價值在 4 月 5 日大幅下跌 9.25%，達到兩週來的最低點 168 美元。這一大幅下跌反映了加密貨幣市場更廣泛的負面趨勢，整體下跌了 3.8%。

Factors Contributing to SOL's Price Drop

導致SOL價格下跌的因素

Several key factors have contributed to SOL's price drop. One prominent issue stems from skepticism surrounding the Federal Reserve's potential interest rate adjustments. Recent economic data has raised concerns that the central bank may delay interest rate cuts until September, fostering an atmosphere of uncertainty in financial markets.

有幾個關鍵因素導致 SOL 價格下跌。一個突出的問題源自於對聯準會潛在利率調整的懷疑。近期經濟數據引發人們對央行可能將降息延後至9月的擔憂，助長金融市場的不確定氣氛。

Another factor weighing on SOL's price is the emergence of reports highlighting transaction failures on the Solana blockchain. Data from Dune Analytics revealed a concerning surge in memecoin transaction failures on April 4, with over 75% of non-vote transactions failing. This high failure rate has raised questions about the reliability and scalability of the Solana network.

影響 SOL 價格的另一個因素是強調 Solana 區塊鏈交易失敗的報告的出現。 Dune Analytics 的數據顯示，4 月 4 日，memecoin 交易失敗數量激增，其中超過 75% 的非投票交易失敗。如此高的故障率引發了人們對 Solana 網路的可靠性和可擴展性的質疑。

Conflicting Narratives on Transaction Failures

關於交易失敗的相互矛盾的敘述

However, Mert Mumtaz, CEO of Helius, has contested the interpretation of these transaction failure data. He asserts that the majority of failed transactions are attributable to "bot spam," rather than systemic issues with the blockchain. This conflicting narrative has created uncertainty among investors and contributed to SOL's underperformance compared to the broader crypto market.

然而，Helius 執行長 Mert Mumtaz 對這些交易失敗數據的解釋提出了質疑。他聲稱，大多數失敗的交易可歸因於“機器人垃圾郵件”，而不是區塊鏈的系統性問題。這種相互矛盾的敘述給投資者帶來了不確定性，並導致 SOL 與更廣泛的加密貨幣市場相比表現不佳。

Correlation with Memecoins

與 Memecoin 的相關性

Additionally, SOL's price decline coincides with significant corrections in its top memecoins, such as Bonk (BONK) and Dogwifhat (WIF). These memecoins experienced drops of approximately 13.2% and 9%, respectively, within the past 24 hours. The newly-launched memecoin Cat in a Dogs World (MEW) witnessed a drastic 30% crash during the same period.

此外，SOL 的價格下跌與 Bonk (BONK) 和 Dogwifhat (WIF) 等頂級 memecoin 的大幅調整同時發生。這些 memecoin 在過去 24 小時內分別下跌了約 13.2% 和 9%。新推出的 memecoin 貓狗世界 (MEW) 同期暴跌 30%。

Solana's strong correlation with its memecoin projects has become increasingly evident. On April 5, its daily correlation coefficient with BONK reached 0.83, while its correlation with WIF stood at 0.53. This indicates that the performance of these memecoins significantly influences SOL's market dynamics.

Solana 與其 memecoin 專案的緊密相關性變得越來越明顯。 4月5日，其與BONK的日相關係數達0.83，與WIF的相關係數為0.53。這表明這些模因幣的表現顯著影響 SOL 的市場動態。

Technical Analysis and Future Outlook

技術分析及未來展望

From a technical analysis perspective, Solana's price decline on April 5 aligns with its existing ascending triangle pattern, which is typically considered bullish. This pattern suggests a potential bounce-back towards $200 by the end of April. A breakout could potentially propel SOL's price even higher, to around $240.

從技術分析的角度來看，Solana 4 月 5 日的價格下跌與其現有的上升三角形模式一致，通常被認為是看漲的。這種模式表明到 4 月底可能反彈至 200 美元。突破可能會推動 SOL 的價格進一步上漲，達到 240 美元左右。

However, a drop below the triangle's lower trendline could invalidate this bullish setup, potentially leading to a decline towards SOL's 50-day exponential moving average near $160 by the end of the month.

然而，跌破三角形的下趨勢線可能會使這種看漲設定失效，並可能導致 SOL 在月底跌向 160 美元附近的 50 天指數移動平均線。

In conclusion, Solana's price has faced significant headwinds on April 5, reflecting a combination of macroeconomic concerns, blockchain transaction failures, and the performance of its associated memecoins. While technical analysis suggests potential for recovery, the overall market sentiment and ongoing issues with transaction reliability will continue to shape SOL's future price trajectory.

總之，Solana 的價格在 4 月 5 日面臨重大阻力，反映出宏觀經濟擔憂、區塊鏈交易失敗及其相關迷因幣表現的綜合影響。雖然技術分析顯示有復甦的潛力，但整體市場情緒和持續存在的交易可靠性問題將繼續影響 SOL 未來的價格軌跡。