RUNE 價格分析：市場波動中基礎鏈整合到來

THORChain 的原生代幣 RUNE 面臨著巨大的阻力，在更廣泛的市場波動中，過去一周下跌了 30%。該協定即將透過 THORNode v3.1.1 進行基礎鏈集成，正值網路的關鍵時刻。

THORChain’s native token, RUNE, has experienced a significant decline of 30% over the past week, amidst broader market volatility. This price drop comes at a critical juncture as the protocol prepares for its upcoming Base Chain integration through THORNode v3.1.1

在更廣泛的市場波動中，THORChain 的原生代幣 RUNE 在過去一周大幅下跌 30%。此次價格下跌正值關鍵時刻，因為該協議正在為即將透過 THORNode v3.1.1 進行基礎鏈整合做準備

As the protocol advances to its next technical milestone, investors and traders are keeping a close watch on key price levels and market indicators to assess potential trend reversals. Let’s delve into an analysis of the current market conditions and technical indicators to gain insights into RUNE’s price trajectory.

隨著該協議邁向下一個技術里程碑，投資者和交易者正在密切關注關鍵價格水準和市場指標，以評估潛在的趨勢逆轉。讓我們深入分析當前的市場狀況和技術指標，以深入了解 RUNE 的價格軌跡。

Base Chain Integration: A New Chapter After Recent Struggles

基礎鏈整合：近期奮鬥後的新篇章

The recent THORChain v3.1.1 upgrade, while designed to enhance the protocol’s infrastructure, has coincided with a period of price decline. The token has struggled to maintain its previous trading range, dropping 29.5% over the past week. This downward pressure has persisted despite the upgrade’s technical improvements to the network.

最近的 THORChain v3.1.1 升級雖然旨在增強協議的基礎設施，但恰逢價格下跌時期。該代幣一直難以維持先前的交易區間，過去一週下跌了 29.5%。儘管升級對網路進行了技術改進，但這種下行壓力仍然持續存在。

The protocol is now taking its next step forward with the Base Chain integration. THORNode v3.1.1 has successfully added Base to THORChain’s infrastructure, though swaps remain temporarily unavailable. The final piece of this integration puzzle is set for January 11th at 11:30 AM EST, when the router deployment will occur during the next network churn.

該協議現在正在透過基礎鏈整合向前邁出下一步。 THORNode v3.1.1 已成功將 Base 加入到 THORChain 的基礎設施中，但交換暫時無法使用。此整合難題的最後一部分定於美國東部時間 1 月 11 日上午 11:30 進行，屆時路由器部署將在下一次網路混亂期間進行。

Afterwards, this router activation will herald several new capabilities for THORChain users. The update will enable the creation of new ERC20 pools on Base and facilitate BASE.ETH swaps. Currently, the whitelist includes support for USDC and cbBTC tokens on the Base network. For new ERC20 pools to transition from staged to active status, a minimum of 10,000 RUNE is required.

此後，此路由器啟動將為 THORChain 用戶帶來多項新功能。此次更新將支援在 Base 上建立新的 ERC20 池並促進 BASE.ETH 交換。目前，白名單包括對 Base 網路上 USDC 和 cbBTC 代幣的支援。新的 ERC20 池要從暫存狀態過渡到活躍狀態，至少需要 10,000 個 RUNE。

The integration introduces a distinct churning mechanism, where pools and vaults operate on separate intervals. This design choice aims to enhance network stability and liquidity management. The Base Router has already been deployed and awaits registration during the next churn, after which it will begin processing deposits and outbound transactions. This expansion of THORChain’s cross-chain capabilities comes at a crucial time as the protocol seeks to rebuild momentum in the market.

該整合引入了一種獨特的攪拌機制，其中池和金庫按不同的時間間隔運行。這種設計選擇旨在增強網路穩定性和流動性管理。基本路由器已經部署並等待下一次流失期間的註冊，之後它將開始處理存款和出站交易。 THORChain 跨鏈功能的擴展正值該協議尋求重建市場動力的關鍵時刻。

Technical Analysis and Price Outlook

技術分析與價格展望

RUNE’s price action reveals a clear downtrend since late December 2024, with the token declining from around $5.80 to reach its current level of $3.51. This steady descent has formed a bearish channel, with each attempted recovery meeting resistance at lower levels.

RUNE 的價格走勢顯示出自 2024 年 12 月下旬以來明顯的下降趨勢，該代幣從 5.80 美元左右下跌至目前的 3.51 美元水平。這種穩定下降形成了一個看跌通道，每次嘗試復甦都會遇到較低的阻力。

The Bollinger Bands indicate increasing volatility, with the price consistently trading near the lower band. This positioning typically suggests oversold conditions, though in strong downtrends, prices can continue to follow the lower band for extended periods.

布林通道顯示波動性正在增加，價格一直在下軌附近交易。這種定位通常表示超賣狀況，儘管在強勁的下跌趨勢中，價格可能會在較長時間內繼續跟隨較低的區間。

The RSI currently reads 54.65, placing it within neutral territory and indicating balanced momentum despite the recent price decline. This neutral RSI reading suggests that while the price trend remains bearish, selling pressure may be easing. However, the persistent downward momentum in price action warrants caution.

RSI 目前為 54.65，處於中性區域，儘管最近價格下跌，但仍顯示出平衡的勢頭。這一中性 RSI 讀數表明，雖然價格趨勢仍然看跌，但拋售壓力可能正在緩解。然而，價格走勢持續下行的勢頭值得謹慎對待。

Price support levels have formed around $3.28, coinciding with recent local lows. The token faces immediate resistance at $3.62, with stronger resistance zones established at $4.89 and $5.65. The 50-day moving average trending above current prices reinforces the bearish market structure.

價格支撐位形成於 3.28 美元左右，與近期局部低點一致。該代幣面臨 3.62 美元的直接阻力，更強的阻力區域為 4.89 美元和 5.65 美元。 50 日移動平均線趨勢高於目前價格，強化了看跌的市場結構。

RUNE/USD Trading Chart. TradingView

盧恩/美元交易圖表。交易視圖

Trading volumes have remained consistent despite the price decline, indicating sustained market participation. However, the lack of significant buying pressure suggests traders are watching the Base Chain integration as a potential catalyst before making substantial moves.

儘管價格下跌，交易量仍保持穩定，顯示市場參與持續。然而，缺乏重大的購買壓力表明，交易者正在將基礎鏈整合視為潛在的催化劑，然後採取實質行動。

For a sustained recovery, RUNE needs to first break above the immediate resistance at $3.62 and establish it as support. Until then, the technical structure remains bearish, with the upcoming Base Chain integration serving as a key fundamental event that could influence price direction.

為了持續復甦，RUNE 需要先突破 3.62 美元的直接阻力位，並將其確立為支撐位。在此之前，技術結構仍然看跌，即將到來的 Base Chain 整合將成為可能影響價格走向的關鍵基本面事件。