Polkadot（DOT）價格可能很快退出三年合併：這就是為什麼

Polkadot（DOT）的價格動作已經使加密貨幣排名下降了，從2021年的前十硬幣轉移到第22大最大的硬幣。

Polkadot (CRYPTO: DOT) has underperformed its closest peers like Solana (CRYPTO: SOL), Binance Coin (CRYPTO: BNB), and Tron (CRYPTO: TRX) in the past three years.

Polkadot（Crypto：DOT）在過去三年中表現不佳，例如Solana（Crypto：Sol），Binance Coin（Crypto：BNB）和Tron（Crypto：TRX）等最接近的同行。

While Solana, BNB, and TRX have surged astronomically, Polkadot has remained in a three-year consolidation between $3.85 and $11.7.

儘管Solana，BNB和TRX在天文學上激增，但Polkadot仍保持了三年的合併在3.85美元至11.7美元之間。

The price action has seen DOT drop in crypto rankings, moving from a top ten coin in 2021 to the 22nd biggest one. It has been overtaken by newer cryptocurrencies like Hyperliquid (CRYPTO: HYPE), Sui (CRYPTO: SUI), and Toncoin (CRYPTO: TON).

價格動作使加密貨幣排名的點下降了，從2021年的前十硬幣轉移到第22大硬幣。諸如Hypypliquid（Crypto：Hype），Sui（Crypto：Sui）和Toncoin（加密：TON）等新的加密貨幣已經取代了它。

However, there are three key reasons why the DOT price may exit the three-year consolidation soon just like Ripple (CRYPTO: XRP) did.

但是，只有像Ripple（Crypto：XRP）一樣，DOT價格可能會退出三年合併的主要原因有三個關鍵原因。

1. Spot Polkadot ETF approval potential

1。斑點波爾卡多ETF批准潛力

One potential reason why the Polkadot price may soon surge is that the Securities and Exchange Commission may soon approve a spot DOT ETF.

Polkadot價格可能很快飆升的潛在原因之一是證券交易委員會可能很快批准了一個點DOT ETF。

21Shares filed for that fund earlier this month.

21shares本月初向該基金申請。

The SEC has hinted that it will be a more friendly agency to the cryptocurrency industry under Donald Trump. One way it could demonstrate this is to allow spot ETFs faster, which will expose them to Wall Street investors.

美國證券交易委員會（SEC）暗示，這將是唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）領導下的加密貨幣行業更友好的機構。它可以證明這一點的一種方法是更快地允許現場ETF，這將使他們暴露於華爾街投資者。

Most cryptocurrencies, like XRP and Litecoin (CRYPTO: LTC), which have higher odds of ETF approval, have surged in the past few weeks. Polkadot could join the rally as it remains near its all-time low.

在過去的幾周中，大多數加密貨幣（例如XRP和Litecoin（Crypto：LTC））都在批准了更高的機率。波爾卡多（Polkadot）可能會加入集會，因為它保持其歷史最低水平。

2. Polkadot JAM upgrade

2。polkadot果醬升級

The other reason why the Polkadot price could surge is the migration to the Joint-Accumulate Machine or JAM, which is part of the Polkadot 2.0. JAM hopes to combine the existing strengths of Polkadot and those of Ethereum (CRYPTO: ETH), and then replace the Relay Chain in the future.

Polkadot價格可能會激增的另一個原因是遷移到聯合蓄電的機器或JAM，這是Polkadot 2.0的一部分。 Jam希望將Polkadot的現有優勢和以太坊（Crypto：ETH）的優勢結合在一起，然後在將來取代繼電器鏈。

JAM also hopes to solve the challenges that have affected Polkadot in the past. The notable ones are the high costs of making a parachain, the fact that these parachains are isolated and that joining parachain auctions is limited and expensive.

Jam還希望解決過去影響Polkadot的挑戰。著名的是製造帕拉切因的高昂成本，這些降落傘是孤立的，並且加入Parachain拍賣是有限且昂貴的。

Pokadot 2.0 will allow developers to build applications directly without going through the parachain process. These developers will also take advantage of the existing Polkadot features like high bandwidth, its resilience as measures by the Nakamoto coefficient, and its speed.

Pokadot 2.0將允許開發人員直接構建應用程序，而無需進行Parachain流程。這些開發人員還將利用現有的Polkadot功能，例如高帶寬，其彈性作為Nakamoto係數的措施及其速度。

Polkadot can handle over 140,000 transactions per second, much higher than Solana’s 3,000.

Polkadot每秒可以處理超過140,000件交易，比Solana的3,000多個交易。

3. Strong technicals

3。強大的技術

Polkadot also has strong technicals that may push its price higher over time. The chart above shows that DOT has remained between the support at $3.85 and resistance at $11.71 in the last three years. It recently retested the lowest side of this channel.

Polkadot還擁有強大的技術，隨著時間的流逝，其價格可能會提高。上圖顯示，DOT在過去三年中的支撐位保持在3.85美元之間，阻力為11.71美元。最近，它重新測試了此頻道的最低側。

This consolidation mirrors what happened to XRP, a token that has surged lately. It is also a sign of accumulation, the initial stage of the Wyckoff Theory. Accumulation is usually followed by the markup phase, which is characterized by higher demand than supply.

這種合併反映了XRP發生的事情，XRP最近發生了轟動。它也是累積的跡象，是Wyckoff理論的初始階段。累積通常是標記階段，其特徵是需求高於供應。

A strong breakout above the upper side of the channel will signal more gains ahead, with the initial target being at $23.5, the 38.2% retracement level that is about 365% above the current level.

在通道的上側上方的強烈突破將表明前方的收益更多，初始目標為23.5美元，38.2％的回回水平比當前水平高約365％。