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Polygon 的 POL 代幣發現自己處於一個充滿挑戰的境地,與更廣泛的加密貨幣市場普遍看漲的情緒背道而馳。
As the broader cryptocurrency market experienced optimism and gains during September, one token that diverged from this trend was MATIC from Polygon. While many tokens rallied amid the favorable market conditions, MATIC encountered selling pressure, leaving holders to contend with unrealized losses. As October begins, the token’s future profitability hinges on its ability to break out of its narrow trading range.
隨著 9 月更廣泛的加密貨幣市場經歷樂觀和上漲,與這一趨勢背道而馳的一個代幣是 Polygon 的 MATIC。儘管許多代幣在有利的市場條件下上漲,但 MATIC 遇到了拋售壓力,導致持有者面臨未實現的損失。十月開始,該代幣未來的獲利能力取決於其能否突破狹窄的交易區間。
September Trading Landscape
9月交易版圖
Throughout September, MATIC traded within a tight range, bound by $0.7 and $0.9. Following a key upgrade on the Polygon network, MATIC experienced a brief surge in buying pressure during the second half of the month. However, this buying momentum was short-lived, as the token encountered strong selling pressure during the last week of the month.
整個 9 月,MATIC 一直在窄幅波動,區間為 0.7 美元和 0.9 美元。在 Polygon 網路進行重大升級後,MATIC 在下半月經歷了短暫的購買壓力激增。然而,這種購買勢頭是短暫的,因為該代幣在本月最後一周遇到了強大的拋售壓力。
According to TradingView data, MATIC’s price dropped from a high of $0.89 on September 28 to $0.79 by the month’s end. As of October 2, the token was trading at $0.76, reflecting a 3.1% decline for the day and a 42% drop from its all-time high of $1.3 reached on March 13.
根據 TradingView 數據,MATIC 的價格從 9 月 28 日的高點 0.89 美元跌至月底的 0.79 美元。截至 10 月 2 日,該代幣的交易價格為 0.76 美元,當日下跌 3.1%,較 3 月 13 日創下的歷史高點 1.3 美元下跌 42%。
Profitability Woes for Holders
持有人的獲利困境
In contrast to Bitcoin and several altcoins that experienced notable gains during September, MATIC’s performance was lackluster. Data from Coinglass indicated that Bitcoin’s price rose by 7.29%, while Ether gained 3.56% during the same period. While some tokens, such as UNI, experienced gains of up to 70%, approximately 85% of MATIC holders are currently sitting on unrealized losses.
與比特幣和幾種山寨幣在 9 月經歷顯著上漲相比,MATIC 的表現卻乏善可陳。 Coinglass 的數據顯示,比特幣價格同期上漲 7.29%,而以太幣價格上漲 3.56%。雖然一些代幣(例如 UNI)的收益高達 70%,但約 85% 的 MATIC 持有者目前面臨未實現的損失。
According to IntoTheBlock, 81% of MATIC holders who have maintained their position for over a year have seen their investments lose 27% of their value. This reality adds another layer of complexity to MATIC’s price action as it enters the fourth quarter.
據 IntoTheBlock 稱,持有頭寸一年以上的 MATIC 持有者中,81% 的投資價值損失了 27%。隨著 MATIC 進入第四季度,這一現實為 MATIC 的價格走勢增添了另一層複雜性。
Recent Ecosystem Developments
最近的生態系統發展
Despite the price struggles, Polygon has continued to make strides in its development. Recently, Polygon Labs activated the Ahmedabad hardfork on the Proof-of-Stake (PoS) mainnet following a two-week testing period on the Amoy testnet. This upgrade represents a substantial step in Polygon’s roadmap and includes three Polygon Improvement Proposals (PIPs)—PIP-30, PIP-36, and PIP-45.
儘管價格困難,Polygon 仍在繼續取得長足發展。最近,Polygon Labs 在廈門測試網路上進行了為期兩週的測試後,在權益證明 (PoS) 主網上啟動了艾哈邁達巴德硬分叉。此升級代表了 Polygon 路線圖的重要一步,包括三個 Polygon 改善提案 (PIP):PIP-30、PIP-36 和 PIP-45。
These proposals aim to enhance the user experience for decentralized application (dApp) developers and users on the PoS chain. Notably, PIP-30 increased the maximum code size for dApps, allowing for more complex contract deployments. PIP-36 addressed issues with stuck bridge transactions, improving the overall efficiency of the network.
這些提案旨在增強 PoS 鏈上去中心化應用程式 (dApp) 開發者和使用者的使用者體驗。值得注意的是,PIP-30 增加了 dApp 的最大程式碼大小,允許更複雜的合約部署。 PIP-36 解決了橋接交易卡住的問題,提高了網路的整體效率。
Technical Analysis of MATIC
MATIC 技術分析
Analyzing the MATIC/USDT pair on the 4-hour chart, the technical indicators suggest continued selling pressure. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) briefly bounced from the oversold zone but remains low, sitting at 29.87 at the time of writing.
分析 4 小時圖上的 MATIC/USDT 貨幣對,技術指標顯示拋售壓力持續存在。相對強弱指數 (RSI) 短暫從超賣區域反彈,但仍處於低位,截至撰寫本文時為 29.87。
Moreover, key moving averages signal weakening momentum. The 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) recently fell below the 100-day SMA on September 28, having crossed below the 50-day SMA just a day earlier. Such crossovers typically indicate bearish trends, suggesting that MATIC’s price may struggle to recover in the short term.
此外,關鍵移動平均線預示著勢頭減弱。 200 日簡單移動平均線 (SMA) 最近在 9 月 28 日跌破 100 日移動平均線,一天前還跌破了 50 日移動平均線。這種交叉通常表明看跌趨勢,表明 MATIC 的價格可能難以在短期內恢復。
Historically, similar crossover formations have preceded price drops. For instance, following a previous bearish crossover on August 24, MATIC’s price fell from $1.02 to $0.79 by August 31.
從歷史上看,類似的交叉形成先於價格下跌。例如,在 8 月 24 日的看跌交叉之後,MATIC 的價格到 8 月 31 日從 1.02 美元跌至 0.79 美元。
Looking Ahead
展望未來
As we move into October, MATIC token holders are keeping a watchful eye on whether the price can sustain itself above the $0.75 support level. The combination of unfavorable market conditions and technical indicators creates an uncertain outlook. However, if the token can regain momentum, it may provide some relief to the large number of holders currently facing losses.
隨著進入 10 月,MATIC 代幣持有者正在密切關注價格是否能夠維持在 0.75 美元的支撐位之上。不利的市場條件和技術指標結合造成了前景的不確定性。然而,如果代幣能夠重新獲得動力,可能會為目前面臨損失的大量持有者提供一些緩解。
Investors are advised to keep a close eye on market developments and technical trends, as these factors will play a crucial role in determining the future profitability of their investments in MATIC. For those looking to assess their current holdings, the MATIC Profit Calculator can provide insights into individual portfolio performance.
建議投資者密切關注市場發展和技術趨勢,因為這些因素將在決定其投資 MATIC 的未來獲利能力方面發揮至關重要的作用。對於那些希望評估其目前持有量的人來說,MATIC 利潤計算器可以提供有關個人投資組合績效的見解。
In conclusion, while September brought challenges for Polygon’s MATIC token, the upcoming weeks may determine the token’s fate and investor confidence. As the crypto market continues to unfold, the performance of MATIC will be closely monitored by both traders and long-term holders.
總而言之,雖然 9 月為 Polygon 的 MATIC 代幣帶來了挑戰,但未來幾週可能決定該代幣的命運和投資者信心。隨著加密貨幣市場的不斷發展,交易者和長期持有者都將密切關注 MATIC 的表現。
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