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Cardano區塊鏈背後的創建者查爾斯·霍斯金森（Charles Hoskinson）做出了大膽的預測：到2025年底，比特幣（BTC）可以達到25萬美元

Charles Hoskinson, the creator of the Cardano blockchain, has made a bold prediction: Bitcoin (BTC) could reach $250,000 by the end of 2025, or even 2026.

Cardano區塊鏈的創建者查爾斯·霍斯金森（Charles Hoskinson）做出了大膽的預測：到2025年底，甚至2026年，比特幣（BTC）可以達到25萬美元。

His prediction is based on several pillars. Firstly, Hoskinson anticipates monetary easing from the Federal Reserve. Interest rate cuts would make capital more accessible, leading to a massive influx into risky assets like cryptocurrencies.

他的預測是基於幾支支柱。首先，霍斯金森預計美聯儲將享受貨幣寬鬆。降低利率將使資本更容易獲得，從而大量湧入加入加密貨幣等風險資產。

“The markets will stabilize, adapt to the new norm, and cheap money will flow into crypto,” he recently stated.

他最近說：“市場將穩定，適應新的規範，而便宜的錢將流入加密貨幣。”

Secondly, he is betting on increasing institutional adoption driven by tech giants like Apple, Microsoft, or Amazon. These “Magnificent Seven” could integrate stablecoins or blockchain solutions, strengthening the sector’s legitimacy and appeal.

其次，他押注在蘋果，微軟或亞馬遜等科技巨頭驅動的機構採用上增加機構採用。這些“壯麗的七人”可以整合穩定的解決方案或區塊鏈解決方案，從而增強該行業的合法性和吸引力。

Thirdly, Hoskinson sees global adoption on the rise, with a crypto user base growing by 13% in 2024 to reach 659 million individuals.

第三，霍斯金森（Hoskinson）認為全球採用率正在上升，2024年的加密用戶群增長了13％，達到了6.59億個人。

Lastly, he is counting on regulatory clarity in the United States, particularly through legislation on stablecoins and digital asset structures. These reforms could address uncertainties holding back institutional investors, paving the way for a speculative surge by August or September 2025.

最後，他指望美國的監管清晰度，尤其是通過有關穩定幣和數字資產結構的立法。這些改革可能會解決阻礙機構投資者的不確定性，為投機性激增鋪平了道路，到2025年8月或9月。

However, current data tempers enthusiasm. Network activity dropped by 22% in the first quarter of 2025, with a decline in daily active users from 101,000 to 78,000.

但是，當前的數據脾氣熱情。網絡活動在2025年第一季度下降了22％，每日活躍用戶從101,000下降到78,000。

This weakness reflects a subdued demand, contrasting with the frenzy needed to justify a surge to $250,000. For Hodkinson’s prediction to come true, the network must show clear signs of recovery, with an increase in transactions and new holders.

這種弱點反映了需求柔和的需求，這與使浪潮降至250,000美元所需的狂熱形成了鮮明對比。為了使霍德金森的預測實現，網絡必須顯示出清晰的恢復跡象，交易和新持有人的增加。

Technically, BTC remains stuck below the $100,000 mark, far from its January peak. After a 26% correction from that high, the price is testing resistance around $85,000. A clear breakout, supported by strong buying volume, would be crucial to reignite the bullish momentum. Conversely, a rejection could bring BTC back to the $74,000 support level, extending the consolidation.

從技術上講，BTC仍然在100,000美元的範圍內停留，遠離其1月的山峰。在從該高點進行26％的糾正之後，價格是在85,000美元左右測試阻力。在強勁的購買量的支持下，明確的突破對於重新點燃看漲勢頭至關重要。相反，拒絕可能會將BTC恢復到74,000美元的支持水平，從而擴大合併。

Recently, there has been a focus on macroeconomic trends. U.S. President Biden announced tariffs on solar panels from China, an action that could escalate trade tensions and impact markets.

最近，人們一直關注宏觀經濟趨勢。美國總統拜登（Biden）宣布對中國太陽能電池板的關稅，這一行動可能會升級貿易緊張局勢和影響市場。

However, Hoskinson downplays the impact of tariffs. He believes that these measures, far from triggering a global trade war, will be limited to a U.S.-China showdown, with subsequent negotiations to appease the markets.

但是，霍斯金森淡化了關稅的影響。他認為，這些措施遠​​非引發全球貿易戰爭，將僅限於美中國攤牌，隨後進行談判以安撫市場。

Still, recent volatility, largely driven by these announcements, shows that investors remain skittish. An unexpected escalation could redirect capital from risky assets like BTC.

儘管如此，最近在這些公告的推動下，最近的波動表明投資者仍然很糟糕。出乎意料的升級可能會從BTC等風險資產中將資本重新定向。

Moreover, Bitcoin’s dependence on the overall crypto market sentiment poses a risk. If altcoins like Ethereum or Cardano struggle to keep up, the momentum could wane, limiting the impact of the catalysts mentioned by Hoskinson.

此外，比特幣對整個加密市場情緒的依賴會帶來風險。如果像以太坊或卡爾達諾這樣的山寨幣難以跟上，勢頭可能會消失，限制了霍斯金森提到的催化劑的影響。

Despite these challenges, Bitcoin retains major strengths. Its position as a “digital store of value” remains unmatched, with increasing adoption in institutional portfolios and alternative payment systems. The scarcity embedded in its protocol, recently reinforced by the halving to reduce new BTC issuance, supports long-term bullish pressure.

儘管面臨這些挑戰，但比特幣仍保留了主要優勢。它作為“價值數字存儲”的地位仍然無與倫比，在機構投資組合和替代支付系統中的採用量增加。在其協議中嵌入的稀缺性，最近由於減少新的BTC發行而加強了稀缺性，支持長期看漲壓力。

Furthermore, Hoskinson highlights Bitcoin’s role in a world facing geopolitical instability. As tensions between major powers escalate, decentralized systems like BTC offer an alternative to traditional financial networks, often vulnerable to sanctions or crises.

此外，霍斯金森（Hoskinson）強調了比特幣在面對地緣政治不穩定的世界中的作用。隨著主要大國之間的緊張局勢升級，像BTC這樣的分散系統為傳統金融網絡提供了替代，通常容易受到製裁或危機。

In conclusion, Hoskinson’s prediction of $250,000 Bitcoin by the end of 2025 hinges on several factors converging: accommodating monetary policy, mass adoption, and regulatory clarity. If these conditions materialize, a speculative wave by mid-2025 could propel BTC to such heights.

總之，霍斯金森（Hoskinson）在2025年底之前預測了$ 250,000比特幣，這些比特幣對幾個因素的融合：適應貨幣政策，大規模採用和監管清晰度。如果這些條件實現，則2025年中期的投機波可以將BTC推向這樣的高度。

However, in the short term, network weakness and macroeconomic uncertainties call for caution. Only time will tell if the optimistic vision presented by Hoskinson will unfold in the crypto market.

但是，在短期內，網絡弱點和宏觀經濟不確定性需要謹慎。只有時間才能證明霍斯金森提出的樂觀願景是否會在加密市場中展開。