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比特幣在過去幾週大幅調整後再次逼近 10 萬美元大關,山寨幣交易所交易基金 (ETF) 即將出現
Market expert VirtualBacon has recently shared seven key predictions that could shape the cryptocurrency landscape in 2025. At the heart of these predictions is the assertion that Ethereum (ETH) may outshine Bitcoin (BTC) in terms of performance, even as Bitcoin continues to hold a dominant position in the market.
市場專家 VirtualBacon 最近分享了 7 個可能塑造 2025 年加密貨幣格局的關鍵預測。的主導地位。
The expert believes that the current crypto bull run is only just beginning, as Bitcoin approaches the significant $100,000 mark once again following a sharp correction over the past weeks and with altcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) on the horizon.
這位專家認為,目前的加密貨幣牛市才剛開始,比特幣在過去幾週的大幅調整之後再次逼近 10 萬美元大關,而山寨幣交易所交易基金 (ETF) 即將出現。
Anticipating a longer, slower bull cycle extending potentially into the fourth quarter of 2025, the expert points to the Federal Reserve’s cautious approach to liquidity, which is expected to mitigate the risks of sudden market crashes.
專家預計,更長、更慢的牛市週期可能會延續到 2025 年第四季度,Fed對流動性採取謹慎態度,預計這將減輕市場突然崩盤的風險。
The likelihood of a recession is projected to drop to 33%, signaling a period of relative stability. Bitcoin’s dominance is anticipated to rise, largely driven by institutional demand, with spot ETFs already holding approximately 5% of Bitcoin’s supply.
經濟衰退的可能性預計將下降至 33%,標誌著一段相對穩定的時期。預計比特幣的主導地位將會上升,這主要是由機構需求推動的,現貨 ETF 已經持有比特幣供應量的約 5%。
While altcoins may lag initially, VirtualBacon asserts that this “slower cycle” is seen as a “blessing,” providing ample time for growth and maturation within the market.
雖然山寨幣最初可能會落後,但 VirtualBacon 斷言,這種“較慢的周期”被視為“祝福”,為市場的成長和成熟提供了充足的時間。
One of the most consequential factors influencing the crypto market in 2025 is anticipated massive liquidity injections. The US debt crisis is likely to compel the Federal Reserve to implement quantitative easing, thereby expanding its balance sheet and flooding markets with cash.
影響 2025 年加密貨幣市場的最重要因素之一是預期的大規模流動性注入。美國債務危機可能迫使聯準會實施量化寬鬆,從而擴大其資產負債表,並向市場注入大量現金。
Additionally, a revaluation of gold—potentially adjusting from $42 per ounce to around $2,000—could create even more liquidity in the system. Such conditions typically lead to inflation, which is historically associated with rising asset prices, suggesting that cryptocurrencies may thrive in this environment.
此外,黃金的重估——可能從每盎司 42 美元調整至 2,000 美元左右——可能會在系統中創造更多的流動性。這種情況通常會導致通貨膨脹,而通貨膨脹在歷史上與資產價格上漲有關,這表明加密貨幣可能會在這種環境下蓬勃發展。
However, despite these optimistic predictions, VirtualBacon casts doubt on the likelihood of the US Bitcoin Reserve Act passing in 2025. The proposal for the US Treasury to acquire one million Bitcoin over five years faces significant hurdles, particularly in securing taxpayer support for such a massive expenditure.
然而,儘管有這些樂觀的預測,VirtualBacon 對2025 年美國比特幣儲備法案通過的可能性表示懷疑。大規模的比特幣方面。
On the regulatory front, the expert anticipates that pro-crypto legislation may favor altcoins, particularly through the proposed Fit for the 21st Century Act.
在監管方面,專家預計支持加密貨幣的立法可能有利於山寨幣,特別是透過擬議的《適應 21 世紀法案》。
This legislation could provide a clearer regulatory framework for cryptocurrencies, designating decentralized tokens like Layer-1 blockchains as commodities under the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), while less decentralized assets would fall under the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).
這項立法可以為加密貨幣提供更清晰的監管框架,將Layer-1 區塊鏈等去中心化代幣指定為商品期貨交易委員會(CFTC) 管轄下的商品,而去中心化程度較低的資產將歸入證券交易委員會(SEC) 管轄。
With Paul Atkins, a pro-crypto advocate, potentially leading the SEC, major cryptocurrencies may flourish, although smaller startups could face challenges navigating the new landscape, according to the expert.
這位專家表示,隨著加密貨幣倡導者保羅·阿特金斯(Paul Atkins)可能領導美國證券交易委員會(SEC),主要的加密貨幣可能會蓬勃發展,儘管規模較小的新創公司可能會面臨駕馭新格局的挑戰。
The prediction of altcoin ETFs gaining traction is another exciting prospect for 2025. VirtualBacon expects ETFs for cryptocurrencies such as Litecoin, HBAR, XRP, and Solana to emerge, driven by their unique statuses and pending legal resolutions.
山寨幣ETF 獲得關注的預測是2025 年另一個令人興奮的前景。 。
As Ethereum ETFs already draw institutional interest, a similar pattern could unfold for these altcoins, further accelerating institutional adoption in the crypto market.
由於以太坊 ETF 已經吸引了機構的興趣,這些山寨幣可能會出現類似的模式,進一步加速機構在加密貨幣市場的採用。
Perhaps the most captivating prediction is that Ethereum could outperform Bitcoin, potentially doubling Bitcoin’s returns in 2025.
也許最吸引人的預測是,以太坊的表現可能會超越比特幣,到 2025 年,比特幣的回報率可能會翻倍。
With institutional investors showing a preference for ETH over BTC in recent months, along with historical performance trends favoring Ethereum in the first half of the year, the stage is set for significant growth in the Ethereum ecosystem.
近幾個月來,機構投資者對 ETH 的偏好超過了 BTC,加上上半年歷史表現趨勢有利於以太坊,以太坊生態系統的顯著增長已經做好了準備。
VirtualBacon estimates end-of-year prices of approximately $200,000 for Bitcoin and $14,000 for Ethereum, presenting ambitious yet “potentially attainable targets” given the expected influx of liquidity and institutional support.
VirtualBacon 估計比特幣年底價格約為 20 萬美元,以太坊價格約為 14,000 美元,考慮到預期的流動性湧入和機構支持,提出了雄心勃勃但「可能實現的目標」。
As of this writing, BTC is trading at $95,840, recording gains of over 4% in the 24-hour time frame. Similarly, ETH is trading at $3,200, recording even higher gains of nearly 6% in the same time frame.
截至撰寫本文時,BTC 交易價格為 95,840 美元,24 小時內漲幅超過 4%。同樣,ETH 的交易價格為 3,200 美元,同期漲幅甚至更高,接近 6%。
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