市場分析師引用過去比特幣減半的歷史數據，確定下一次 XRP 多頭市場的潛在時間表

這項預測來自兩位市場分析師 PharaohX 和 The Block Bull，他們都分析了比特幣減半後 XRP 的價格走勢。

As the dust settles on the recent Bitcoin halving, market analysts are turning their attention to what the next eight months could hold for XRP.

隨著最近比特幣減半的塵埃落定，市場分析師將注意力轉向 XRP 未來八個月的走勢。

Two analysts, PharaohX and The Block Bull, have independently analyzed XRP’s past price movements following Bitcoin halvings and arrived at similar conclusions. Their analyses suggest that XRP could begin its next bullish move around December 2024 to January 2025.

PharaohX 和 The Block Bull 兩位分析師獨立分析了比特幣減半後 XRP 過去的價格走勢，並得出了類似的結論。他們的分析表明，XRP 可能會在 2024 年 12 月至 2025 年 1 月左右開始下一次看漲走勢。

PharaohX observed a pattern emerging from the last two major Bitcoin halvings. He noted that XRP tends to begin its upward movement eight months after each halving, a trend that has held steady in both 2016 and 2020.

PharaohX 觀察到了最近兩次主要的比特幣減半中出現的模式。他指出，XRP 往往在每次減半後八個月開始上漲，這一趨勢在 2016 年和 2020 年都保持穩定。

For instance, after the 2016 Bitcoin halving in July, XRP’s bull run began in March 2017, during which it surged from $0.005 to the all-time high above $3. According to PharaohX, XRP witnessed an impressive 68,000% increase within this period.

例如，2016 年 7 月比特幣減半後，XRP 的多頭市場開始於 2017 年 3 月，期間從 0.005 美元飆升至 3 美元以上的歷史高點。據 PharaohX 稱，XRP 在此期間上漲了 68,000%，令人印象深刻。

The next halving occurred in May 2020, and similarly, XRP’s bullish move began around January 2021. Although XRP’s gains were smaller during this cycle—around 900%—the milder growth was largely due to the uncertainty surrounding the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) lawsuit at the time.

下一次減半發生在2020 年5 月，同樣，XRP 的看漲走勢開始於2021 年1 月左右。交易委員會(SEC) 的不確定性）當時的訴訟。

With the April 2024 Bitcoin halving now behind us, PharaohX suggests that XRP is likely to initiate its next rally by late December 2024 or early January 2025. This would follow the same pattern as the last two previous cycles.

隨著 2024 年 4 月比特幣減半的過去，PharaohX 表示 XRP 可能會在 2024 年 12 月下旬或 2025 年 1 月初開始下一次反彈。

"This current market cycle has similarities to the 2017 bull run. While it may not be realistic to expect XRP to replicate its 68,000% gain from 2017, I am confident that the altcoin could experience a massive increase," PharaohX stated.

PharaohX 表示：“當前的市場週期與 2017 年的牛市有相似之處。雖然期望 XRP 複製 2017 年 68,000% 的漲幅可能不太現實，但我相信山寨幣可能會經歷大幅上漲。”

He even presented a hypothetical scenario where a similar percentage increase from the $0.28 low could push XRP to $190. Such a rally would bring XRP’s market cap to $10.8 trillion.

他甚至提出了一個假設情景，即從 0.28 美元低點起類似的百分比上漲可能會將 XRP 推至 190 美元。這樣的反彈將使 XRP 的市值達到 10.8 兆美元。

"A push to $190 is possible, but not guaranteed. However, the court’s declaration that XRP is not a security has removed a major barrier, enabling potential growth in institutional interest, especially with the anticipated introduction of XRP exchange-traded funds (ETFs),“ PharaohX added.

「有可能升至 190 美元，但不能保證。然而，法院宣布 XRP 不是證券已經消除了一個主要障礙，使機構興趣有可能增長，特別是在預期推出 XRP 交易所交易基金 (ETF) 的情況下， 」 PharaohX 補充道。

On the other hand, The Block Bull, in his analysis, used a weekly chart to identify the optimal entry point for XRP after each Bitcoin halving.

另一方面，The Block Bull 在他的分析中使用每週圖表來確定每次比特幣減半後 XRP 的最佳切入點。

His analysis showed that if we count 33 weeks after a Bitcoin halving, it tends to be an ideal entry point, coinciding with previous cycle bottoms.

他的分析表明，如果我們計算比特幣減半後的 33 週，這往往是一個理想的切入點，與先前的週期底部一致。

On his chart, he marked this optimal entry point, and interestingly, it lines up with the bottom of XRP in the last two Bitcoin halving cycles.

在他的圖表上，他標記了這個最佳切入點，有趣的是，它與過去兩個比特幣減半週期中 XRP 的底部一致。

According to The Block Bull, this optimal entry point comes around December 9 to 16 this year, a month after the US election. This is in line with PharaohX’s projection for XRP’s next upward movement to begin around December 2024.

據 The Block Bull 稱，這個最佳切入點出現在今年 12 月 9 日至 16 日左右，即美國大選一個月後。這與 PharaohX 對 XRP 將於 2024 年 12 月左右開始的下一次上漲的預測一致。

At the time of writing, XRP trades for $0.5181, down 0.65% in the last 24 hours.

截至撰寫本文時，XRP 交易價格為 0.5181 美元，在過去 24 小時內下跌 0.65%。