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加密貨幣新聞文章

Lyn Alden是宏觀經濟學的著名專家,最近將持續的比特幣校正與2024年3月看到的類似傾角進行了比較

2025/03/31 23:00

在她的生活採訪中!你的條款! YouTube頻道,Alden解釋了市場價值對實現價值(MVRV)比率的重要性。該度量標準將比特幣的上限與上次交易硬幣的平均價格進行了比較。

Lyn Alden是宏觀經濟學的著名專家,最近將持續的比特幣校正與2024年3月看到的類似傾角進行了比較

Lyn Alden, a recognized expert in macroeconomics, has compared the ongoing Bitcoin correction to a similar dip seen in March 2024, highlighting a key on-chain metric that could provide insights into Bitcoin's future price movement.

公認的宏觀經濟學專家林恩·奧爾登(Lyn Alden)將持續的比特幣校正與2024年3月的類似傾角進行了比較,強調了一個關鍵的鍊鍊度指標,該指標可以提供對比特幣未來價格運輸的見解。

During her interview on The Your Life! Your Terms! YouTube channel, Alden discussed the market value to realized value (MVRV) ratio, which measures Bitcoin's market capitalization in relation to the average price at which coins were last transacted. This metric is used to determine whether Bitcoin is currently overvalued or undervalued.

在她的生活採訪中!你的條款! YouTube頻道,Alden討論了實現價值(MVRV)比率的市場價值,該價值(MVRV)衡量了比特幣的市值與上次交易的平均價格有關。該指標用於確定比特幣當前是否被高估或被低估。

In the initial stages of a bull market, Bitcoin's market capitalization tends to rise quickly, while the average cost basis for coins remains lower due to early miners and adopters holding onto their coins. This disparity contributes to a higher MVRV ratio. As the ratio increases, it can indicate that long-term holders are becoming more inclined to sell their coins, potentially setting the stage for a longer-term market downturn.

在牛市的最初階段,比特幣的市值往往會迅速上升,而由於早期的礦工和採用者持有硬幣,硬幣的平均成本基礎仍然較低。這種差異有助於更高的MVRV比率。隨著比率的增加,可以表明長期持有人越來越傾向於出售硬幣,有可能為長期市場的低迷奠定階段。

However, Alden believes that Bitcoin is still performing within the typical ranges observed in a bull market. She highlighted that the recent MVRV ratio peaks, particularly during Bitcoin's surge to $73,000 and subsequent rally to $108,000, were significant but not extreme enough to signal the end of the bull run. These peaks and troughs are part of the normal market cycle.

但是,奧爾登認為,比特幣仍在牛市觀察到的典型範圍內。她強調說,最近的MVRV比率達到了峰值,尤其是在比特幣的增長到73,000美元,隨後的集會至108,000美元,但不夠極端,以至於表明牛的結束。這些峰和槽是正常市場週期的一部分。

Bitcoin price set to climb to $115,000, analyst reveals expectations

分析師透露了比特幣價格將攀升至115,000美元。

While the MVRV metric may suggest some overvaluation at times, Alden believes the market is not yet signaling a multi-year top. She is closely following Bitcoin's price action and believes that the cryptocurrency is more likely to continue moving upward than to experience a major pullback from here.

儘管MVRV指標有時可能會提出一些高估,但奧爾登認為市場尚未標誌著多年的頂級。她密切關注比特幣的價格行動,並認為加密貨幣更有可能繼續向上移動,而不是從這裡體驗重大回調。

"I think we're more likely to see Bitcoin continue to set higher highs than to slice back down double digits from here," Alden stated in the interview.

奧爾登在採訪中說:“我認為我們更有可能看到比特幣繼續設置高的高點,而不是從這里切下兩位數。”

Her perspective is that Bitcoin still has the potential to reach new highs before any significant bearish trend can take hold.

她的觀點是,比特幣仍然有可能達到新的高點,然後才能實現任何重要的看跌趨勢。

This analysis aligns with the common understanding of blockchain and cryptocurrency in the broader narrative of Web3 technologies. As the saying goes, “the time to buy an asset is when it is cheaper, and the time to sell an asset is when it is dearer.”

該分析與Web3技術更廣泛的敘述中對區塊鍊和加密貨幣的共同理解一致。俗話說:“購買資產的時間是在便宜的時候,而出售資產的時候是在更珍貴的時候。”

However, with Bitcoin's price already pulling back from its 2024 highs, it appears that some buyers may be getting a bit impatient.

但是,隨著比特幣的價格已經從2024年的高點開始,似乎有些買家可能會變得有些不耐煩。

In other news, a Bitcoin analyst has set a new price target of $115,000 for Bitcoin, which is about a 30% increase from current levels. The analyst, who is known as "Bitcoin" on the X platform, previously set a price target of $100,000 for Bitcoin, which was reached in March 2024.

在其他新聞中,一位比特幣分析師為比特幣設定了115,000美元的新目標目標,比目前的水平增長了約30%。這位分析師在X平台上被稱為“比特幣”,此前將比特幣的價格目標定為100,000美元,該目標是在2024年3月達到的。

The analyst believes that Bitcoin will continue to rise in the coming months as part of a larger bull market cycle. The analyst also noted that Bitcoin is currently trading at a discount to his valuation.

分析師認為,作為更大的牛市週期的一部分,比特幣將在未來幾個月繼續上升。該分析師還指出,比特幣目前正在以其估值折扣價進行交易。

"Still think BTC is setting up for a move to the $115k handle in the coming months; part of a larger pivot higher in the bull market," the analyst said.

這位分析師說:“仍然認為BTC在接下來的幾個月中正準備搬到115,000美元的手柄;在牛市中,更大的樞軸的一部分。”

"We're also currently setting up for a test of the realized price, which is pricing BTC at a small discount to my valuation."

“我們目前還設置了對實現價格的測試,這是對我的估值以少量折扣的價格定價。”

The analyst is using a modified version of the MVRV (market value to realized value) ratio, which compares Bitcoin's market capitalization to the average price at which coins were last transacted.

分析師正在使用MVRV(市場價值與已實現價值)比率的修改版本,該版本將比特幣的市值與最後交易的硬幣的平均價格進行了比較。

According to the analyst, when the MVRV ratio is above 2, it suggests that Bitcoin is overvalued and could be due for a correction. However, when the ratio is below 1, it suggests that Bitcoin is undervalued and has more room to run.

根據分析師的說法,當MVRV比率高於2時,它表明比特幣被高估了,可以進行校正。但是,當比率低於1時,這表明比特幣被低估了,並且有更多的運行空間。

The MVRV ratio is a useful tool for traders who are trying to identify short-term price trends. However, Alden believes that it is important to look at the broader market context when making investment decisions.

對於試圖識別短期價格趨勢的交易者來說,MVRV比率是一個有用的工具。但是,奧爾登認為,在做出投資決策時,重要的是要查看更廣泛的市場環境。

"I think it's important to look at the broader market context when making investment decisions," Alden said.

奧爾登說:“我認為在做出投資決策時要查看更廣泛的市場環境很重要。”

"We're still setting up for a test of the realized price, which is pricing BTC at a small discount to my valuation."

“我們仍在設置測試實現價格的測試,這是對我的估值以少量折扣的價格定價。”

The analyst is also following the FTX bankruptcy closely and believes that it could have a significant impact on the cryptocurrency market in the coming months.

分析師還密切關注FTX破產,並認為它可能會在未來幾個月對加密貨幣市場產生重大影響。

"I'm also following the FTX bankruptcy closely and believe that it could have a significant impact on the cryptocurrency market in the coming months," the analyst said.

這位分析師說:“我還密切關注FTX破產,並認為這可能會對未來幾個月的加密貨幣市場產生重大影響。”

"It's something that investors should be aware of and factor into their own investment decisions."

“這是投資者應該意識到並考慮自己的投資決策的東西。”

Overall, the analyst is bullish on Bitcoin's long-term prospects and believes that the cryptocurrency has the potential to reach new all-time highs in the coming year.

總體而言,分析師是對比特幣的長期前景的看漲,並認為加密貨幣有可能在來年達到新的歷史高潮。

"I think Bitcoin has the potential to reach new all-time highs in the coming

“我認為比特幣有可能在未來

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