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加密貨幣新聞文章

由於經濟不確定性的日益增長

2025/02/06 01:34

由於多種因素,包括地緣政治緊張局勢,通貨膨脹問題和中央銀行政策,全球市場的不確定性增加。由於股票面臨湍流和債券收益率提供有限的回報,許多投資者將黃金視為穩定的價值存儲。

由於經濟不確定性的日益增長

Gold price reaches new all-time high above $2,870 as investors flock to safe-haven asset amid uncertainty

由於不確定性,投資者湧向避風付款資產,黃金價格在2,870美元以上的新歷史高度達到2,870美元

Gold price continues to soar, reaching a new all-time high above $2,870 on Monday, as investors increasingly turn to the precious metal as a hedge against market volatility and economic uncertainty.

黃金價格繼續飆升,週一的歷史最高高於2,870美元,因為投資者越來越多地轉向貴金屬,以此作為對沖市場波動和經濟不確定性的對沖。

Despite a strengthening U.S. dollar, which typically weighs on gold prices, the metal's recent rally is largely driven by concerns about long-term economic stability and inflation risks, which seem to be overshadowing traditional market dynamics.

儘管加強了美元,但通常會影響金價,但金屬最近的集會在很大程度上是出於對長期經濟穩定和通貨膨脹風險的擔憂,這似乎掩蓋了傳統的市場動態。

Several factors are contributing to the heightened uncertainty in global markets, including geopolitical tensions, inflation concerns, and central bank policies. With equities facing turbulence and bond yields offering limited returns, many investors are viewing gold as a stable store of value.

幾個因素導致全球市場的不確定性加劇,包括地緣政治緊張局勢,通貨膨脹問題和中央銀行政策。由於股票面臨湍流和債券收益率提供有限的回報,許多投資者將黃金視為穩定的價值存儲。

Historically, gold has served as a safe-haven during times of financial instability, and its latest surge suggests that sentiment remains strong among both institutional and retail investors.

從歷史上看,黃金在金融不穩定時期一直是避風港,其最新激增表明,在機構和零售投資者中,情緒仍然很強。

The price of gold has seen a remarkable ascent from roughly $2,000 to over $2,800 in the last year.

去年,黃金的價格從大約2,000美元到2,800美元以上。

Moreover, the demand for gold-backed exchange-traded funds (ETFs) is also rising, signaling a shift in portfolio strategies. Notably, central banks, particularly in emerging markets, are rapidly accumulating gold reserves, which is further bolstering the metal's price. This surge has pushed the price of a typical gold bar to over $92,000 for the first time ever.

此外,對金牌交易所交易基金(ETF)的需求也在上升,這表明投資組合策略發生了變化。值得注意的是,中央銀行,尤其是在新興市場中,正在迅速積累黃金儲備,這進一步增強了金屬的價格。這次激增將典型的黃金欄的價格提高到了有史以來第一次超過92,000美元。

Interestingly, gold's record-breaking rally is occurring despite a strengthening U.S. dollar. Typically, a stronger dollar exerts downward pressure on gold prices, as it makes the metal more expensive for foreign buyers. However, gold’s recent climb suggests that investor concerns about long-term economic stability and inflationary risks are outweighing traditional market dynamics.

有趣的是,儘管美元增強了美元,但黃金的破紀錄集會仍在發生。通常,一美元的美元對黃金價格施加了向下壓力,因為它使外國買家的金屬更加昂貴。但是,戈德最近的攀登表明,投資者對長期經濟穩定和通貨膨脹風險的擔憂超過了傳統的市場動態。

The Federal Reserve’s monetary policy has played a significant role in this trend. While the central bank has maintained high interest rates to combat inflation, expectations of a potential policy shift have fueled further interest in gold as a hedge against future rate cuts and monetary easing.

美聯儲的貨幣政策在這一趨勢中發揮了重要作用。儘管中央銀行一直保持高利率來打擊通貨膨脹,但對潛在政策轉變的期望促成了黃金的進一步利息,作為對對未來降低利率降低和貨幣降低的對沖。

The US Dollar Index has risen considerably over the past couple of months. Source: TradingView

在過去的幾個月中,美元指數的上升幅度大大增加。資料來源:TradingView

Meanwhile, in other related news, entrepreneur and venture capital investor David Sacks, who was recently named by Donald Trump as the White House AI and crypto czar, mentioned that evaluating the feasibility of a Bitcoin reserve is one of the top priorities of his working group.

同時,在其他相關新聞中,企業家和風險投資投資者戴維·薩克斯(David Sacks)最近被唐納德·特朗普(Donald Trump)命名為白宮AI和Crypto czar,他提到評估比特幣儲備的可行性是其工作組的重中之重之一。

This could introduce another asset class that may challenge gold and other safe-haven assets, and some might argue that Bitcoin’s recent price surge was strongly correlated with investors’ belief that Trump would indeed create a BTC-based reserve.

這可能會引入另一個可能挑戰黃金和其他避風港資產的資產類別,有人可能會爭辯說,比特幣最近的價格飆升與投資者的信念密切相關,即特朗普確實會創建基於BTC的儲備。

NEW: 🇺🇸 President Trump's Crypto Czar David Sacks says Bitcoin is an "excellent store of value" on CNBC. 🚀 pic.twitter.com/0k1qlsZf6j

新的:ðisto•特朗普總統的加密沙皇大衛·薩克斯(David Sacks)說,比特幣是CNBC上的“價值庫”。 ðµ pic.twitter.com/0k1qlszf6j

It’s worth noting that bettors on the Polymarket prediction marketplace have become increasingly pessimistic about Donald Trump creating a Bitcoin reserve within the first 100 days of his presidency, with the odds falling to 16%, down from a high of 60% after the elections.

值得注意的是,多聚市場預測市場上的投注者對唐納德·特朗普(Donald Trump)在總統任期的頭100天內創建比特幣儲備金變得越來越悲觀,賠率下降到16%,低於60%的高點。選舉。

What’s next for gold? The $3,000 milestone could be just around the corner

黃金的下一步是什麼? 3,000美元的里程碑可能在拐角處

With its latest all-time high, the question remains: how much higher can gold go? Analysts suggest that if current economic conditions persist, gold could see further gains. The interplay between central bank policies, geopolitical events, and inflation data will be key factors in determining its trajectory.

憑藉其最新的歷史最高水平,問題仍然存在:黃金可以越高多少?分析人士建議,如果當前的經濟狀況持續存在,黃金可能會進一步收穫。中央銀行政策,地緣政治事件和通貨膨脹數據之間的相互作用將是確定其軌蹟的關鍵因素。

According to our gold price prediction algorithm, the price of gold will first surpass $3,000 at the end of this month and continue to rally in the future. In fact, the price could surpass $3,300 as soon as May, which would be a 17% price increase over the three-month period.

根據我們的黃金價格預測算法,黃金的價格將在本月底首先超過3,000美元,並將在將來繼續進行集會。實際上,五月的價格可能會超過3,300美元,在三個月內,價格上漲了17%。

Given the economic uncertainty as well as political tensions, we could very well see gold continue to dominate. For context, the price of one ounce of gold has increased from $2,057 to $2,870 in the span of the last 12 months, so it's not at all a stretch to expect it to gain half that in the next 3 months.

鑑於經濟不確定性和政治緊張局勢,我們很可能會看到黃金繼續占主導地位。就上下文而言,一盎司黃金的價格已從過去12個月的範圍內從2,057美元上漲至2,870美元,因此,預計在未來3個月內它會增加一半。

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