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以太坊的價格行動一直受到看跌的情緒,而加密貨幣在短短三週內就降低了其價值的38%以上。
Ethereum (ETH) price bottomed at around $1,754 on Friday, marking its third consecutive losing week. As trade volumes shrink and technical indicators point to oversold conditions, historical patterns suggest that a substantial rebound could be in the making.
週五,以太坊(ETH)的價格降低了約1,754美元,標誌著其連續第三次輸掉一周。由於貿易量的收縮和技術指標指出了過多的條件,因此歷史模式表明可能會有很大的反彈。
Ethereum (ETH) Price Bottoms As Bearish Grip Loosens
以太坊(ETH)價格最低點,因為看跌抓地力鬆動
Bearish market conditions have dominated Ethereum’s price action, with the cryptocurrency plummeting more than 38% in just three weeks. As evident in the chart above, ETH’s decline began from last month’s peak at $2,857, finally reaching a low of $1,754 last week. Despite a slight 3% rebound, the cryptocurrency is still facing downward pressure, as evidenced by the continued decline in the Relative Strength Index (RSI) from overbought to oversold territory.
看跌的市場狀況已經佔據了以太坊的價格行動,而加密貨幣在短短三週內暴跌了38%以上。從上圖中很明顯,ETH的下降始於上個月的峰值,價格為2,857美元,最終在上周達到1,754美元。儘管有3%的反彈,但加密貨幣仍面臨著向下壓力,這證明了相對強度指數(RSI)從過度購買到超賣領土的持續下降。
Moreover, another 3% drop was recorded at 07:00 UTC on Friday, setting the stage for a potential rebound. However, this prolonged downtrend has also created a unique opportunity, as it closely resembles previous cycles, where deep corrections were followed by significant recoveries.
此外,週五07:00 UTC記錄了另外3%的下降,這為潛在的反彈奠定了基礎。但是,這種延長的下降趨勢也創造了一個獨特的機會,因為它與以前的周期非常相似,在此之後進行了深刻的校正。
Throughout its history, Ethereum has demonstrated a strong tendency to rebound after multi-week losing streaks. The last time ETH saw three consecutive weekly declines of this magnitude was in July 2024, which was quickly followed by a 93% surge over the next three months.
在整個歷史上,以太坊表現出強烈的傾向,在多周的損失之後反彈。 Eth上次在2024年7月連續每周連續三次下降,這很快在接下來的三個月中迅速增長了93%。
Now, as the cryptocurrency navigates oversold territory, the volume indicators suggest a potential shift. With decreasing sell-side pressure, the stage could be set for an upcoming relief rally.
現在,當加密貨幣導航超賣區域時,音量指標表明潛在的轉變。隨著賣方壓力的減輕,可以為即將舉行的救濟集會設定階段。
If ETH follows its previous pattern, a rebound toward the $3,400 level could materialize in the coming months. However, traders should watch for confirmation signals, such as a breakout above the Keltner Channel or a bullish crossover in the MACD indicator. Failure to regain momentum could extend the current bearish trend.
如果ETH遵循其先前的模式,那麼在未來幾個月內,向3,400美元的水平反彈可能會實現。但是,交易者應注意確認信號,例如高於Keltner頻道上方的突破或MACD指標中的看漲跨界。不重新獲得動量可能會擴大當前的看跌趨勢。
3 Bearish Risks to Keep in Mind
3個看跌風險以牢記
Ethereum’s price recently bottomed at $1,754, marking its third consecutive week of decline—an occurrence not seen since July 2024. While this signals a classic oversold market condition, several major events in the coming week could slow down ETH’s rebound prospects.
以太坊的價格最近以1,754美元的價格觸底,標誌著其連續第三週下降的標誌 - 這是自2024年7月以來未曾發生的。儘管這表明了經典的超售市場狀況,但即將一周的一些重大事件可能會減慢ETH的籃板前景。
Pectra Upgrade Developments: Ethereum developers have launched a new testnet, Hoodi, to rigorously test the upcoming Pectra upgrade before its mainnet deployment. While this move aims to enhance network stability and could bode well for long-term prospects, any uncertainty surrounding the upgrade’s immediate impact could keep a lid on investor enthusiasm.
Pectra升級開發:以太坊開發人員已推出了一個新的測試網,用於嚴格測試即將到來的pectra在主網部署之前的升級。儘管此舉旨在增強網絡穩定性,並且可以很好地塑造長期前景,但圍繞升級直接影響的任何不確定性都可以使投資者的熱情保持蓋帽。
Furthermore, the announcement of the Pectra upgrade triggered significant staking withdrawals, with around $500 million reportedly pulled out by investors. If this trend of investor caution persists, it could dull short-term rebound prospects and limit upside momentum.
此外,Pectra升級的宣布引發了大量的戒斷,據報導,投資者撤出了約5億美元。如果這種投資者謹慎的趨勢仍然存在,它可能會使短期反彈的前景降低並限制上升空間的動力。
Doubts Around Strategic Crypto Reserve Proposals: Former President Trump’s proposal to include Ethereum and other altcoins in a strategic Crypto Reserve has sparked debate. JP Morgan recently expressed skepticism about Trump securing congressional approval to allocate treasury funds for acquiring Ripple (XRP), Ethereum (ETH), and other altcoins.
對戰略加密保護區提案的懷疑:前總統特朗普提出的提議將以太坊和其他替代幣納入戰略加密保護區的提議引發了辯論。摩根大通最近對特朗普獲得國會批准,以分配國庫資金以獲取波紋(XRP),以太坊(ETH)和其他Altcoins的持懷疑態度。
Investors will be closely monitoring fresh developments on this front, as uncertainty could introduce more volatility and affect the cryptocurrency’s price action.
投資者將密切監視這方面的新事態發展,因為不確定性可能會引入更多的波動性並影響加密貨幣的價格行動。
Ethereum Market Outlook for the Week
一周的以太坊市場前景
Despite oversold conditions that could attract heavy inflows, especially if the upcoming U.S. Fed rate decision leans dovish, any overhang from the aforementioned bearish catalysts could stiffen bullish momentum.
儘管有可能吸引大量流入的條件,尤其是如果即將到來的美國美聯儲率決策變得柔和,那麼上述的看跌催化劑的任何懸垂都會使看漲的勢頭變得僵硬。
This explains why ETH price has underperformed relative to rival Layer-1 assets like Ripple (XRP) and Litecoin (LTC) over the weekend. If these dynamics persist, traders can expect ETH to continue lagging behind the broader market, even in a bullish environment.
這就解釋了ETH價格相對於競爭對手1的資產(例如Ripple(XRP)和Litecoin(LTC))的表現如何。如果這些動態持續存在,交易者可以期望ETH即使在看漲的環境中,ETH也會繼續落後於更廣闊的市場。
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