以太坊（ETH）下跌13.8％至$ 2,000支持水平

在上週，以太坊（ETH）下降了13.8％，目前以2,000美元的支持水平進行交易。儘管數字資產的每週相對強度指數（RSI）在三年內達到了最低點，但分析師警告說，進一步的缺點可能仍在領先。

The cryptocurrency market is currently facing pressure from various factors, including US President Donald Trump’s trade tariffs on Canada and Mexico, which took effect earlier today.

加密貨幣市場目前正面臨各種因素的壓力，包括美國總統唐納德·特朗普對加拿大和墨西哥的貿易關稅，該關稅今天早些時候生效。

According to the latest data from Kalshi, there is a 39% probability of a recession occurring in 2025.

根據Kalshi的最新數據，2025年發生衰退的可能性為39％。

The broader crypto market has also seen some weakness, with the total market cap declining from $3.7 trillion on December 14 to $2.8 trillion at the time of writing. Major cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin (BTC) and ETH have been hit hard, dropping 7.1% and 8.9% in the past 24 hours, respectively.

更廣泛的加密市場也遇到了一些弱點，總市值從12月14日的3.7萬億美元下降到寫作時的2.8萬億美元。比特幣（BTC）和ETH等重大加密貨幣遭受了巨大打擊，在過去的24小時內分別下降了7.1％和8.9％。

Unlike BTC, which had an amazing 2024 with multiple new all-time highs (ATH), ETH has struggled since reaching its peak of $4,878 in November 2021. In the past year, ETH is down 41.6%, while BTC has risen by 26%.

與BTC的2024年有多個新的歷史高峰（ATH）不同，ETH自2021年11月的高峰至4,878美元以來一直在掙扎。在過去的一年中，ETH下跌了41.6％，而BTC則增長了26％。

The latest crypto market pullback has added to ETH’s challenges, bringing it down to the psychologically significant $2,000 level. As crypto analyst Jesse Olson noted, the intense selling pressure has pushed ETH’s weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI) to 35.87, its lowest reading since May 2022.

最新的加密貨幣市場撤退增加了ETH的挑戰，使其達到了具有心理意義的2,000美元。正如加密分析師傑西·奧爾森（Jesse Olson）指出的那樣，強烈的銷售壓力使ETH的每週相對強度指數（RSI）提高到35.87，這是自2022年5月以來的最低讀數。

“The lower low in May 2022 wasn’t the bottom either, as BTC went on to drop another 60% from there. If ETH follows a similar trajectory, we can expect to see another 60% drop from $2,000, which would take us to around $800.”

“ 2022年5月的低點也不是底部，因為BTC繼續從那裡下降60％。如果ETH遵循類似的軌跡，我們可以期望看到60％的60％從2,000美元下降，這將使我們降至800美元左右。”

However, fellow crypto analyst Merlijn The Trader warns that it’s not quite time to panic yet. According to him, ETH is approaching a crucial “make or break” level on the RSI.

但是，加密分析師Merlijn交易員警告說，現在還不到恐慌了。據他介紹，ETH在RSI上正在接近至關重要的“製造或破裂”水平。

If it breaks below this level, which is lower than the March 2020 lows, then we can expect "serious" further downside in the coming months, potentially to new all-time lows. But if it manages to hold above this level and begins to rise again, then we might finally see the beginning of a new bull market.

如果它突破此水平，該水平低於2020年3月的低點，那麼我們可以期望在未來幾個月內進一步“嚴重”，這可能是新的歷史最低點。但是，如果它設法超過此水平並開始再次上升，那麼我們最終可能會看到新的牛市的開始。

Despite the macroeconomic uncertainty due to Trump’s trade tariffs, some analysts remain optimistic that ETH is nearing its bottom and could soon resume its uptrend.

儘管由於特朗普的貿易關稅造成了宏觀經濟的不確定性，但一些分析師仍然對ETH接近其最底層的態度保持樂觀，並且很快可能會恢復其上升趨勢。

In an X post, one crypto analyst noted that Ethereum is currently retesting the 21-Day EMA on the 3-Month chart, an event that has never seen an instance of a candle closing below this level.

一位加密分析師在X帖子中指出，以太坊目前正在3個月表上重新測試21天的EMA，這一事件從未見過蠟燭的實例，該蠟燭的實例低於此級別。

According to the analyst, either history will repeat itself or the cryptocurrency is getting very close to hitting its bottom. The analyst concludes by advising traders to be “VERY CAREFUL” with any panic selling.

根據分析師的說法，要么歷史記錄都會重演，要么加密貨幣即將陷入底部。分析師總結說，建議交易者對任何恐慌銷售都“非常謹慎”。

There might still be hope for the second-largest cryptocurrency, as recent analysis found that ETH exchange balances have dropped to a 9-year low, strengthening the digital asset’s supply scarcity narrative.

第二大加密貨幣可能仍然有希望，因為最近的分析發現，ETH Exchange餘額已下降到9年的低點，從而增強了數字資產的供應稀缺敘事。

At press time, ETH trades at $2,126, down 8.9% in the past 24 hours.

發稿時，ETH的交易價格為2,126美元，在過去24小時內下跌8.9％。