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以太坊 (ETH) 價格在 2,700 美元水準遭到強烈拒絕後,從 10 月 20 日到 10 月 23 日下跌了 9.6%。這項措施抹去了前10天的漲幅
Ether ( ETH ) prices fell 9.6% over two days last week as a recent rally stalled at the $2,700 resistance level. This move erased the gains of the previous 10 days, and as Ether now stabilizes near $2,500, its 30-day performance remains negative, down by 6%.
以太幣 (ETH) 價格上週兩天下跌 9.6%,近期漲勢在 2,700 美元阻力位停滯。這項舉措抹去了前 10 天的漲幅,並且隨著以太幣目前穩定在 2500 美元附近,其 30 天表現仍然為負,下跌了 6%。
The chance of ETH reclaiming the $2,800 support is diminishing and onchain data suggests that high transaction fees are pushing activity away from the Ethereum network, ultimately reducing demand for native staking.
ETH 奪回 2,800 美元支撐位的機會正在減少,鏈上數據表明,高額交易費用正在將活動從以太坊網路中擠出,最終減少對原生質押的需求。
Total crypto capitalization (blue) vs. Ether/USD (green). Source: TradingViewPart of Ether’s recent decline can be attributed to the 5% drop in total cryptocurrency market capitalization over the two days ending on Oct. 23. However, the broader index is still up 1.9% over the past 30 days, indicating that ETH has underperformed the market by 8% during this period. This underperformance helps explain the lack of optimism among Ether investors.
加密貨幣總資本(藍色)與以太幣/美元(綠色)。資料來源:TradingView 以太幣近期下跌的部分原因可歸因於截至 10 月 23 日的兩天內加密貨幣總市值下降 5%。期間,其表現落後於市場8%。這種表現不佳有助於解釋以太坊投資者缺乏樂觀情緒。
Ethereum network congestion and the lack of a clear solutionWhile Ethereum's average transaction fees of $4 over the past two weeks may suggest robust onchain activity, they also strengthen the appeal of competing blockchains offering lower-cost services. This issue is less significant for large investors or whales involved in arbitrage, but it severely limits some smaller use cases.
以太坊網路擁塞和缺乏明確的解決方案雖然過去兩週以太坊的平均交易費用為 4 美元,這可能表明鏈上活動強勁,但它們也增強了提供低成本服務的競爭區塊鏈的吸引力。這個問題對於大型投資者或參與套利的鯨魚來說不太重要,但它嚴重限制了一些較小的用例。
According to DefiLlama, the Solana network recorded $13.4 billion in volume on decentralized exchanges over the past seven days, which is 67% higher than Ethereum’s activity during the same period. This gap has widened considerably, as the two networks had comparable volumes on DEXes before October.
據 DefiLlama 稱,過去 7 天,Solana 網路去中心化交易所的交易量達到 134 億美元,比同期以太坊的交易量高出 67%。由於這兩個網絡在 10 月之前在 DEX 上的交易量相當,因此這一差距已大大擴大。
Blockchains ranked by 7-day DEX volumes, USD. Source: DefiLlamaMore importantly, DEX volumes on Ethereum dropped by 13% in the seven days ending on Oct.23, despite the broader market gaining momentum. Both Uniswap and Curve Finance saw activity on the Ethereum network decline by 18% during this period. In contrast, Solana’s Raydium posted a 42% volume increase, while Lifinity’s activity surged by 77% compared to the previous week.
區塊鏈以 7 天 DEX 交易量排名(美元)。資料來源:DefiLlama 更重要的是,儘管大盤勢頭強勁,但截至 10 月 23 日的 7 天內,以太坊上的 DEX 交易量下降了 13%。在此期間,Uniswap 和 Curve Finance 的以太坊網路活動均下降了 18%。相比之下,Solana 的 Raydium 交易量較前一周增長了 42%,而 Lifinity 的活躍度則激增 77%。
In terms of total value locked, another metric that investors follow closely, Ethereum's performance has been lackluster. TVL on Ethereum reached 18.2 million ETH, down by 5% compared to one month ago.
在投資者密切關注的另一個指標鎖定總價值方面,以太坊的表現一直乏善可陳。以太坊上的 TVL 達到 1820 萬枚 ETH,較一個月前下降 5%。
Ethereum total value locked (TVL), ETH. Source: DefiLlama A reduced number of deposits is generally viewed as a negative for ETH’s supply and demand dynamics. This is particularly relevant when validators are withdrawing Ether from staking, which is exactly what we're seeing. According to Staking Rewards data, the Ethereum network saw a net decrease of 191,000 ETH staked over the 30 days ending on Oct. 23, valued at $492 million at current prices.
以太坊總鎖定價值(TVL),ETH。資料來源:DefiLlama 存款數量的減少通常被視為對 ETH 的供需動態產生負面影響。當驗證者從質押中撤回以太幣時,這一點尤其重要,這正是我們所看到的。根據 Stake Rewards 數據,截至 10 月 23 日的 30 天內,以太坊網路質押淨減少了 191,000 ETH,以當前價格計算價值 4.92 億美元。
Related: Saylor's comments on big bank BTC custody are ‘batshit insane’ — ButerinFrom an onchain perspective, Ethereum is losing ground to competing networks. Solana’s TVL increased by 12% in SOL terms, while deposits on the BNB Chain remained stable over the past 30 days. Another factor contributing to investors' disappointment with Ether’s price outlook is the uncertainty surrounding the upcoming Prague-Electra upgrade.
相關:塞勒對大銀行 BTC 託管的評論是「瘋狂的」——Buterin 從鏈上的角度來看,以太坊正在輸給競爭網絡。以 SOL 計算,Solana 的 TVL 成長了 12%,而 BNB 鏈上的存款在過去 30 天內保持穩定。導致投資者對以太幣價格前景感到失望的另一個因素是即將到來的布拉格-伊萊克特拉升級的不確定性。
Initially expected in the first quarter of 2025, the Prague-Electra upgrade focuses on scalability improvements, including the introduction of Verkle trees to reduce node storage and EIP-7251 to enhance validator efficiency. However, concerns persist about potential delays and whether these changes will sufficiently address the network’s congestion issues, which remain a key factor in Ether’s long-term growth prospects.
最初預計在 2025 年第一季進行,Prague-Electra 升級的重點是可擴展性的改進,包括引入 Verkle 樹以減少節點儲存和 EIP-7251 以提高驗證器效率。然而,人們仍然擔心潛在的延遲以及這些變化是否足以解決網路擁塞問題,這仍然是以太坊長期成長前景的關鍵因素。
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