2020 年大選已勢在必行。以下是可能決定結果的因素。

僅僅因為這次選舉的結果不確定，並不代表實際結果不會具有決定性

The outcome of the 2020 presidential election is still up in the air, with both candidates having a chance to win. A shift of a few percentage points either way could determine the winner, especially in the battleground states.

2020 年總統大選的結果仍懸而未決，兩位候選人都有機會獲勝。無論哪種方式，幾個百分點的變化都可能決定勝利者，尤其是在搖擺州。

If the voter turnout models are incorrect and more women, rural residents, or disaffected young voters participate in the election, it could significantly impact the final results.

如果選民投票率模型不正確，更多女性、農村居民或不滿的年輕選民參與選舉，可能會對最終結果產生重大影響。

Surprises may also arise within key demographic groups. For instance, will Trump succeed in making inroads with young Black and Latino men, as predicted by his campaign? Is Harris attracting a larger proportion of traditionally Republican suburban women, as her team anticipates? Finally, are elderly voters, who typically vote in every election and lean towards the right, shifting their support to the Democratic candidate?

關鍵人群中也可能出現意外狀況。例如，川普能否像他的競選活動所預測的那樣，成功地贏得年輕黑人和拉丁裔男性的青睞？哈里斯是否像她的團隊預期的那樣吸引了更多傳統共和黨郊區女性？最後，通常在每次選舉中投票並傾向於右翼的老年選民是否正在將支持轉向民主黨候選人？

After the election, we may be able to pinpoint a specific reason for the winning candidate's victory. In retrospect, the answer might seem clear. However, anyone claiming to know the precise outcome at this moment is either deceiving you or themselves.

選舉結束後，我們或許能夠找出獲勝候選人獲勝的具體原因。回想起來，答案似乎很清楚。然而，此刻任何聲稱知道確切結果的人要么是在欺騙你，要么是在欺騙自己。