由於量子計算而導致的比特幣死亡

普遍引用的主要威脅之一是量子計算的興起。 Castle Island Ventures的普通合夥人Nic Carter簡潔地回應

One of the commonly cited major threats is the rise of quantum computing.

普遍引用的主要威脅之一是量子計算的興起。

General Partner at Castle Island Ventures, Nic Carter, concisely responded to Lyn Alden, founder of Lyn Alden Investment, question about the biggest structural risk for Bitcoin in the next 5-10 years: “quantum computing.”

Nic Carter Castle Island Ventures的普通合夥人對Lyn Alden Investment的創始人Lyn Alden做出了回應，這是對未來5 - 10年中比特幣最大的結構性風險的問題：“量子計算”。

I increasingly agree.That was the catalyst for my thread/question, tbh.

我越來越同意。這是我的線程/問題的催化劑，TBH。

In fact, future quantum computers could break the encryption algorithms securing Bitcoin, like Elliptic Curve Digital Signature Algorithm (ECDSA) that protects Bitcoin wallets. If an attacker manages to get control of a sufficiently powerful quantum computer, it could falsify digital signatures, enabling the theft of BTC from any wallet with an exposed public key.

實際上，未來的量子計算機可能會破壞確保比特幣的加密算法，例如保護比特幣錢包的橢圓曲線數字簽名算法（ECDSA）。如果攻擊者設法控制了足夠強大的量子計算機，則可以偽造數字簽名，從而使BTC從任何錢包中盜竊使用公開的公鑰。

According to River’s research, a quantum computer with 1 million qubits would be needed to falsify a Bitcoin address. And Microsoft claims that its new Majorana chip is putting us on the path towards this crucial milestone.

根據River的研究，將需要使用100萬噸的量子計算機來偽造比特幣地址。微軟聲稱，其新的Majorana芯片正在使我們走上這一關鍵里程碑的道路。

This raises an urgent question: how long does BTC have to become quantum-resistant?

這提出了一個緊迫的問題：BTC必須抗量子多久？

The Battle Between Bitcoin’s Decentralization and Regulation

比特幣的權力下放和監管之間的戰鬥

Some investors believe that the increasing involvement of governments and institutions may become the biggest risk for Bitcoin in the next 5-10 years. As highlighted by investor MisterSpread, “the biggest structural risk is the friction between Bitcoin’s decentralized ethos and the growing push towards centralized regulatory oversight.”

一些投資者認為，在未來5 - 10年內，政府和機構的參與日益增加可能成為比特幣的最大風險。正如投資者所強調的那樣，“最大的結構性風險是比特幣的分散精神與對集中監管監督的不斷推動之間的摩擦。”

Indeed, data from BitcoinTreasuries shows that over the past five years, BTC holdings of private companies, public companies, governments, and ETFs have surged over 12 times, rising from 210,000 BTC to over 2.6 million BTC. This increased involvement of institutions could lead to legal pressures or unwanted changes to Bitcoin network fundamentals.

實際上，比特幣庫的數據表明，在過去的五年中，BTC的私人公司，上市公司，政府和ETF的持有量增長了12次以上，從210,000 BTC增至超過260萬BTC。這種機構的參與可能會導致法律壓力或對比特幣網絡基本面的不必要變化。

I estimate that $140K is where the remaining Bitcoiners & retail sell all their BTC. The ultimate irony is that after a decade of hodling, the Bitcoiners will have no Bitcoin. Billionaires will own it all & it will go to unimaginable prices. Will be sad to watch.

我估計$ 140K是其餘的比特幣和零售業出售所有BTC的地方。最終的具有諷刺意味的是，經過十年的狂歡，比特幣將沒有比特幣。億萬富翁將擁有它，它將達到難以想像的價格。會很難看。

Bitcoin is a store of value, a safe haven for retail investors. However, the recent months have seen a massive accumulation by institutions and significant sales from individual investors:

比特幣是價值商店，是散戶投資者的避風港。但是，最近幾個月，機構的積累和個人投資者的大量銷售量大量積累：

“I estimate all the remaining Bitcoiners and individuals will sell their BTC at $140,000. The irony is that after a decade of holding, the Bitcoiners will have no more BTC The billionaires will own them all, and their price will reach incredible levels. It will be sad to see.” wrote expert Aimass on X.

“我估計所有剩餘的比特幣和個人將以140,000美元的價格出售其BTC。具有諷刺意味的是，經過十年的持有，比特幣者將不再擁有BTC，億萬富翁將擁有所有的人，而其價格將達到令人難以置信的水平。看到可悲的是。”在X上寫了專家Aimass。

This phenomenon could harm Bitcoin in the long term. Moreover, the BTC mining sector is facing a similar fate. Only large-scale infrastructures capable of withstanding low income and competition can survive.

從長遠來看，這種現象可能會傷害比特幣。此外，BTC礦業部門面臨著類似的命運。只有能夠承受低收入和競爭的大規模基礎設施才能生存。

In conclusion, as BTC continues to evolve, industry leaders warn that quantum computing and increasing regulatory surveillance could threaten its security and decentralized nature. Experts emphasize the urgency of implementing quantum-resistant measures before a potential “black swan” disrupts the networ. The challenge will be to quickly reach a consensus within the Bitcoin community to adopt these solutions in time. Decentralization is also questioned, with the massive accumulation by large institutions.

總之，隨著BTC的不斷發展，行業領導人警告說，量子計算和增加監管監視可能威脅其安全性和分散性。專家們強調了在潛在的“黑天鵝”破壞淨衛星之前實施抗量子措施的緊迫性。面臨的挑戰將是快速在比特幣社區中達成共識，以及時採用這些解決方案。大型機構的大量積累也被質疑。