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在高波動性和全球不確定性的氣氛中,加密貨幣繼續反映出市場神經,這在對貨幣寬鬆的希望與對重新緣政治升級的恐懼之間受到了希望。
Cryptocurrencies rebounded on Thursday, with Bitcoin recovering to the $83,000 level amid a mixed session on Wall Street and fresh hopes for monetary easing, though persistent trade war fears kept a lid on optimism.
加密貨幣在周四反彈,在華爾街上的一場融合會議和對貨幣寬鬆的新希望中,比特幣恢復到了83,000美元的水平,儘管持續的貿易戰恐懼使人們對樂觀感到震驚。
The crypto market remains highly volatile in the wake of macroeconomic turbulence.
在宏觀經濟動蕩之後,加密貨幣市場仍然高度波動。
Bitcoin price hovered above the $83,000 mark on Binance, while Ethereum struggled to hold support around the $1,550 range.
比特幣價格徘徊在二元上的83,000美元以上,而以太坊努力保持$ 1,550範圍的支持。
Among altcoins, Binance Coin posted slight gains, and Cardano and Avalanche also saw modest advances. Meanwhile, Solana, XRP, Dogecoin, and Chainlink experienced minor pullbacks. Tron and Toncoin saw the sharpest losses among the top cryptocurrencies.
在Altcoins中,Binance硬幣略有收益,Cardano和Avalanche也取得了不大的進步。同時,Solana,XRP,Dogecoin和Chainlink經歷了輕微的回調。 Tron和Toncoin在頂級加密貨幣中造成了最大的損失。
These moves came after a downbeat session on Wall Street, which slipped back into the red following Wednesday’s sharp rebound led by the “Magnificent Seven”—a group of tech giants led by Tesla that surged as much as 20%. The correction also rippled across Asia, where Japan’s Nikkei dropped 3%, while Europe remained relatively calm.
這些舉動是在華爾街舉行的沮喪會議之後,在周三的“巨大的七人”帶領的尖銳籃板之後,這是一群由特斯拉領導的科技巨頭,後者飆升了20%。這一更正也遍布亞洲,日本的日族人下降了3%,而歐洲仍然相對平靜。
Trump Announces Tariffs to Be Suspended
特朗普宣布暫停關稅
The ongoing geopolitical tensions remained front and center. President Donald Trump announced a 90-day suspension of reciprocal tariffs on all countries except China.
持續的地緣政治緊張局勢仍然是前面和中心。唐納德·特朗普(Donald Trump)總統宣布,除中國以外的所有國家 /地區,所有國家的相互關稅暫停了90天。
However, the White House was forced to revise its own numbers: the tariff on Chinese imports now stands at 145%, not 125% as initially stated, after adding a 20% duty introduced earlier this year in response to China’s alleged involvement in fentanyl trafficking. This makes the total tariff rate on Chinese goods the highest among all trading partners.
但是,白宮被迫修改自己的人數:中國進口的關稅現在為145%,而不是最初所述的125%,此前增加了今年早些時候提出的20%稅款,以應對中國所謂的芬太尼販運。這使得中國商品的總關稅率在所有貿易夥伴中最高。
With this, the trade war has once again become a key source of anxiety in financial markets. Some analysts, such as those at Berenson & Berenson, advise reducing exposure to risk—particularly in U.S. equities—as the latest rebound may be nothing more than a “dead cat bounce.” They recommend rotating out of U.S. positions and investing in European markets or alternative assets such as gold.
因此,貿易戰再次成為金融市場中焦慮的關鍵來源。一些分析師,例如Berenson&Berenson的分析師,建議降低風險的風險(尤其是美國股票),這是最新的反彈,可能無非是“死貓彈跳”。他們建議從美國職位上旋轉並投資於歐洲市場或黃金等替代資產。
Other analysts, like those at Incrementum, suggest investing in Bitcoin as an alternative to fltering U.S. positions. They highlight the growing correlation between Bitcoin and U.S. equities, which could make the cryptocurrency an interesting investment target in the current macroeconomic climate.
其他分析師,例如遞增的分析師,建議對比特幣進行投資,以替代美國職位。它們強調了比特幣與美國股票之間日益增長的相關性,這可能使加密貨幣成為當前宏觀經濟氣候中有趣的投資目標。
Investors Await Clarity Amid Caution from the Fed
在美聯儲的謹慎時,投資者正在等待清晰度
In this tense environment, investors hope that the temporary trade truce might lead to progress in negotiations that could ease global tensions and pave the way for economic recovery.
在這種緊張的環境中,投資者希望臨時貿易休戰可能會導致談判的進展,從而緩解全球緊張局勢並為經濟復甦鋪平道路。
Yet, skepticism prevails—especially amid mounting fears of a potential U.S. recession with global spillover effects. The Conference Board’s snapshot of U.S. consumer confidence for May is expected to show a decline, while the trade balance figures for April are also due.
然而,懷疑主義者佔上風 - 特別是在越來越擔心美國衰退會帶來全球溢出效應的境地。會議委員會對5月份消費者信心的快照預計將顯示下降,而四月的貿易餘額數字也應到期。
Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve remains in a wait-and-see mode. Minutes from its latest meeting showed a cautious stance, with officials wary that inflationary pressures may persist longer than expected. Markets are already pricing in several rate cuts this year, though the size and timing remain uncertain. The probability of a 50-basis-point cut in June now exceeds 10%.
同時,美聯儲仍處於待觀察模式。距離其最新會議的幾分鐘顯示出謹慎的立場,官員們謹慎地說,通貨膨脹壓力的持續時間可能比預期的要長。儘管規模和時機仍然不確定,但今年的市場已經定價了幾次降低。 6月份降低50個基準點的概率現在超過10%。
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