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加密貨幣世界多事的一年即將結束,加密貨幣在 2022 年經歷了一段相當低迷的時期,但在 2023 年才開始逐步復甦
2022 was a disastrous year for cryptocurrencies, with almost all cryptos experiencing negative performance, due to the bear market triggered by the macroeconomic scenario, the Terra Luna crisis, the FTX bankruptcy, and the general loss of trust in the sector.
2022 年對加密貨幣來說是災難性的一年,由於宏觀經濟情景引發的熊市、Terra Luna 危機、FTX 破產以及行業普遍失去信任,幾乎所有加密貨幣都出現了負面表現。
2023 was instead a year of rebound and general recovery for the entire sector. This movement was largely driven by the bull expectation in view of the Bitcoin Halving, but also by the anticipation for the launch of the first Spot ETFs on Bitcoin and Ethereum at the beginning of 2024, which opened the world of cryptocurrencies to a much wider pool of liquidity.
2023年反而是整個產業反彈、普遍復甦的一年。這一走勢主要是由比特幣減半帶來的牛市預期推動的,同時也是由於對 2024 年初推出第一批比特幣和以太坊現貨 ETF 的預期,這為加密貨幣世界打開了更廣闊的空間流動性。
As for 2024, considering that there are only a few days left until the end of December, it can now be stated that the bull expectations have not been disappointed, with Bitcoin (BTC) leading the market by consolidating its ‘Dominance’ (see this article), moving sideways for a few months after the April Halving, and then breaking previous all-time highs during the American presidential elections, surpassing for the first time in history the psychological threshold of $100,000.
至於2024年,考慮到距離12月底只剩下幾天的時間,現在可以說牛市預期並沒有落空,比特幣(BTC)通過鞏固其“統治地位”而引領市場(見此)文章),在四月減半後橫盤幾個月,然後在美國總統大選期間突破歷史新高,歷史上首次突破10 萬美元的心理門檻。
With an annual performance (a little over 11 months to be precise) of 132%, comparable to the 155% recorded in 2023, Bitcoin was still not the best-performing cryptocurrency of 2024 in terms of performance.
比特幣的年度表現(準確地說是 11 個月多一點)為 132%,與 2023 年記錄的 155% 相當,就表現而言,比特幣仍然不是 2024 年表現最好的加密貨幣。
Observing the performance table, it is easy to notice how some Altcoins, which usually start their bull cycle with a certain delay compared to that of Bitcoin, have already managed to record significant rises in these 11 months of 2024.
觀察表現表,我們很容易注意到,與比特幣相比,一些山寨幣的牛市週期通常會延遲一定的時間,但在 2024 年的這 11 個月中,它們已經成功實現了大幅上漲。
However, at the top of the list are Pepe (PEPE) and Dogecoin (DOGE), probably the Memecoins par excellence. Dogecoin in particular, born as a joke, has gathered a large community of fans that has contributed to the enormous success over time, thanks especially to the speculations arising from the interest of the Tesla and SpaceX magnate, Elon Musk. The latest of all, the one related to the fact that the newly elected president Donald Trump has decided to create a new department to improve government efficiency, called “DOGE” (Department of Government Efficiency) which will also be led by Elon Musk. The choice of this name could only fuel the interest of speculators towards Dogecoin, which indeed in the month of November had a 150% surge reaching 60 billion dollars in capitalization.
然而,排名第一的是 Pepe (PEPE) 和 Dogecoin (DOGE),它們可能是最好的 Memecoin。尤其是狗狗幣,作為一個笑話而誕生,已經聚集了一大批粉絲,隨著時間的推移,這些粉絲為狗狗幣的巨大成功做出了貢獻,這尤其要歸功於特斯拉和SpaceX 巨頭伊隆·馬斯克的興趣引起的猜測。最新的一個消息是,新當選的總統唐納德·川普決定成立一個新的部門來提高政府效率,稱為「DOGE」(政府效率部),該部門也將由伊隆·馬斯克領導。這個名字的選擇只會激起投機者對狗狗幣的興趣,事實上,狗狗幣在 11 月的市值飆升了 150%,達到 600 億美元。
Even more impressive is the 1722% of Pepe, driven by some of the world’s largest exchanges, such as Coinbase, Robinhood, and Upbit, which have recently listed it, causing the token’s price to increase by about 70% in a few hours.
更令人印象深刻的是Pepe的1722%,在Coinbase、Robinhood和Upbit等一些全球最大的交易所的帶動下,這些交易所最近都上市了它,導致該代幣的價格在幾個小時內上漲了約70%。
So if Memecoins seem to lead this end of 2024, despite the classic Altcoins like Ethereum (ETH) and Solana (SOL) which still mark a plus 62% and 119% respectively, some cryptos mainly linked to DEFI stand out at the top of the list, such as Aave (AAVE), Fantom (FTM), and Arweave (AR), but especially Ripple (XRP). The latter, with a growth in the last quarter of 285%, practically equal to its annual performance, has earned the third place for market capitalization for a few days (behind Bitcoin and Ethereum) surpassing BNB, Solana, and even USDT, with which it is currently vying for the podium.
因此,如果 Memecoins 似乎在 2024 年底處於領先地位,儘管以太坊 (ETH) 和 Solana (SOL) 等經典山寨幣仍然分別上漲 62% 和 119%,但一些主要與 DEFI 相關的加密貨幣在排行榜上脫穎而出清單中,例如Aave (AAVE)、Fantom (FTM) 和Arweave (AR),但特別是Ripple (XRP)。後者上季成長 285%,幾乎與全年業績持平,連日超越 BNB、Solana 甚至 USDT,穩居市值第三位(僅次於比特幣和以太坊)。
Having remained under observation for quite some time following the controversies with the SEC, Ripple (XRP) has certainly benefited from the news of Gary Gensler’s resignation (notoriously opposed to crypto), but above all from WisdomTree’s request for a spot ETF on Ripple.
在與 SEC 發生爭議後,Ripple (XRP) 受到了相當長一段時間的觀察,它無疑受益於 Gary Gensler 辭職的消息(眾所周知反對加密貨幣),但最重要的是 WisdomTree 要求在 Ripple 上建立現貨 ETF。
Trying to look at the same table from another point of view, that is, by ordering the various crypto from the closest to its all-time high to the most distant, a rather different ranking from the previous one is observed.
試著從另一個角度來看同一張表,也就是說,透過將各種加密貨幣從最接近歷史最高點到最遠的順序排序,會觀察到與前一個相當不同的排名。
Bitcoin stands out among all, having recently touched its all-time highs without then undergoing major retracements. It is followed by BNB (the Binance token) at only 15% from the recent all-time high, and Solana (SOL), which has been a protagonist of this 2024 with an important rally that brought it back to a step away from the highest values ever recorded. Solana has indeed established itself in the main decentralized exchanges (DEX) as the most used Blockchain in terms of active users and traded volume. In the month of November, the DEX reached unprecedented values of volumes, with over 300 billion dollars traded, of which 30% solely on Solana.
比特幣在其中脫穎而出,最近觸及歷史高點,但隨後沒有經歷大幅回檔。緊隨其後的是 BNB(幣安代幣),僅較近期歷史高點上漲 15%,而 Solana(SOL)是 2024 年的主角,其重要的反彈使其距離歷史新高又近了一步。記錄以來的最高值。 Solana 確實已在主要去中心化交易所 (DEX) 中成為活躍用戶和交易量方面最常用的區塊鏈。 11 月份,DEX 的交易量達到了前所未有的水平,交易額超過 3000 億美元,其中 30% 僅在 Solana 上。
Scrolling through the list, you find some cryptos (like ATOM, MANA, CVX, CRV SAND, and others) that, at current prices, should more than triple their value to return to their all-time highs. It must
滾動瀏覽列表,您會發現一些加密貨幣(如 ATOM、MANA、CVX、CRV SAND 等),以當前價格計算,其價值應增加三倍以上才能回到歷史高點。它必須
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