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在比特幣和以太幣溫和復甦的情況下,加密貨幣市場週三的供應壓力有所緩解。現貨 BTC ETF 的積極流入引發了山寨幣的緩解反彈,顯示看漲情緒發生轉變。此外,灰階比特幣信託基金 14 天內的最低流出量進一步支持了這一積極前景。即將到來的比特幣減半會造成市場波動,可能會導致減半前的盤整或修正,從而在定向變動之前消除弱勢參與者並穩定資產。
Cryptocurrency Market Navigates Pre-Halving Consolidation, Presents Dip-Buying Opportunities
加密貨幣市場在減半前進行整合,呈現逢低買入機會
Amidst heightened anticipation for the impending Bitcoin halving on April 19th, the cryptocurrency market has experienced a notable easing of supply pressure, following a modest surge in the prices of Bitcoin and Ethereum. This newfound relief rally across major altcoins has been fueled by a positive inflow of funds into spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) on April 2nd. On-chain data analysis reveals a $39 million net inflow into Bitcoin, indicating a bullish shift in investor sentiment. Additionally, the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) recorded its lowest outflow in 14 days, standing at $81.9 million.
在人們對 4 月 19 日即將到來的比特幣減半的預期日益升溫的背景下,隨著比特幣和以太坊價格小幅上漲,加密貨幣市場的供應壓力明顯緩解。 4 月 2 日,資金大量流入現貨比特幣交易所交易基金 (ETF),推動了主要山寨幣新出現的緩解性反彈。鏈上數據分析顯示,比特幣淨流入 3,900 萬美元,顯示投資者情緒發生看漲轉變。此外,灰階比特幣信託基金 (GBTC) 的資金流出量為 8,190 萬美元,為 14 天內的最低水準。
Market observers widely believe that the current volatility in the cryptocurrency market is a manifestation of pre-halving consolidation or correction, a phenomenon that has historically preceded significant market moves. This consolidation phase is seen as an opportunity for the removal of weak hands from the market, allowing for a stabilization of asset prices before a definitive directional move.
市場觀察家普遍認為,目前加密貨幣市場的波動是減半前盤整或調整的表現,這種現像在歷史上出現在重大市場波動之前。這一盤整階段被視為將弱手從市場上剔除的機會,從而在明確的方向性走勢之前穩定資產價格。
Against this backdrop of broader market optimism, the ongoing correction presents potential dip-buying opportunities for astute investors seeking exposure to cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin (BTC), Litecoin (LTC), and Dogwifhat (WIF).
在市場整體樂觀的背景下,持續的調整為尋求投資比特幣(BTC)、萊特幣(LTC)和 Dogwifhat(WIF)等加密貨幣的精明投資者提供了潛在的逢低買入機會。
1) Bitcoin (BTC)
1)比特幣(BTC)
Bitcoin, the original cryptocurrency and the largest by market capitalization, has witnessed a remarkable recovery over the past two months, characterized by a steep ascending trendline on the daily chart. This rally culminated in a new all-time high of $73,800 on March 14th.
比特幣是最初的加密貨幣,也是市值最大的加密貨幣,在過去兩個月中出現了顯著的復甦,其特徵是日線圖上出現陡峭的上升趨勢線。這次反彈在 3 月 14 日達到了歷史新高 73,800 美元。
However, the extended rally recently encountered a minor setback, causing a 10.67% decline in Bitcoin's price to its current trading level of $35,952. The current market capitalization of Bitcoin stands at $1.3 trillion, while the 24-hour trading volume hovers around $44.3 billion.
然而,延續的漲勢最近遭遇了小幅挫折,導致比特幣價格下跌 10.67%,至目前的交易水準 35,952 美元。目前比特幣市值為1.3兆美元,24小時交易量徘徊在443億美元左右。
Amidst the ongoing correction, the Bitcoin price has breached the aforementioned trendline, signaling the potential for further downside. If this breakdown persists, sellers may drive the asset down to $60,800, followed by $52,850.
在持續的調整中,比特幣價格突破了上述趨勢線,預示著進一步下跌的可能性。如果這種崩潰持續下去,賣家可能會將資產價格壓低至 60,800 美元,然後是 52,850 美元。
2) Litecoin (LTC)
2)萊特幣(LTC)
Litecoin, often referred to as the "silver to Bitcoin's gold," is a peer-to-peer cryptocurrency that boasts faster transaction confirmation times and enhanced storage efficiency compared to Bitcoin.
萊特幣通常被稱為“比特幣黃金中的白銀”,是一種點對點加密貨幣,與比特幣相比,它擁有更快的交易確認時間和更高的儲存效率。
Amidst the current market correction, Litecoin's price has been struggling to maintain its position above the $112 barrier. The four-hour chart reveals three prominent swing highs, indicating that sellers are actively defending this overhead resistance.
在當前的市場調整中,萊特幣的價格一直在努力維持在 112 美元關卡之上。四小時圖表顯示了三個顯著的波動高點,顯示賣家正在積極捍衛這個上方阻力位。
At press time, Litecoin was trading at $99.87, marking an intraday loss of 6.5%. Its market capitalization currently stands at $7.43 billion, securing its position among the top 20 largest cryptocurrencies according to CoinMarketCap.
截至發稿時,萊特幣交易價格為 99.87 美元,盤中下跌 6.5%。根據 CoinMarketCap 的數據,其市值目前為 74.3 億美元,穩居前 20 名加密貨幣。
If the supply pressure persists, the LTC price could breach a two-week-long support trendline, potentially leading to a further decline. This breakdown could retest the support region at $93.1, followed by $77.
如果供應壓力持續存在,LTC 價格可能會突破兩週的支撐趨勢線,可能導致進一步下跌。這一突破可能會重新測試 93.1 美元的支撐區域,然後是 77 美元。
3) Dogwifhat (WIF)
3) 狗狗維哈特 (WIF)
Dogwifhat, featuring a playful Shiba Inu mascot adorned with a hat, has captured the attention of the meme-loving crypto community. The WIF coin demonstrated impressive performance in March, reaching a peak of $4.8 towards the end of the month.
Dogwifhat 的特色是一個戴著帽子的頑皮的柴犬吉祥物,吸引了熱愛模因的加密貨幣社區的注意。 WIF 代幣在 3 月表現出色,月底達到 4.8 美元的峰值。
However, with the broader market correction, the WIF price has entered a fresh correction, resulting in a 20% decline to its current trading price of $3.89. The market capitalization of this memecoin has also decreased to $3.89 billion, while the 24-hour trading volume stands at $840 million.
然而,隨著大盤調整,WIF 價格進入新一輪調整,導致當前交易價格 3.89 美元下跌 20%。該memecoin的市值也下降至38.9億美元,而24小時交易量為8.4億美元。
An analysis of the daily chart suggests that the current correction may find support at $3.46, followed by $3. Conversely, any recovery attempt may encounter resistance at $4.15 and $4.86.
日線圖分析表明,目前的調整可能會在 3.46 美元處找到支撐,隨後是 3 美元。相反,任何復甦嘗試都可能會遇到 4.15 美元和 4.86 美元的阻力。
Conclusion
結論
The cryptocurrency market has entered the second quarter of 2024 on a bearish note, triggering a fresh wave of correction across the majority of coins. However, with less than 20 days remaining until the Bitcoin halving, digital assets are experiencing heightened volatility and a lack of clear dominance from buyers or sellers. This market environment presents an opportune moment for sidelined traders to engage by adopting strategies that capitalize on pullbacks.
加密貨幣市場進入 2024 年第二季度,市場一片看跌,引發了大多數加密貨幣的新一輪調整。然而,距離比特幣減半還剩不到 20 天,數位資產的波動性加劇,買家或賣家缺乏明顯的主導地位。這種市場環境為觀望交易者提供了利用回檔策略進行參與的絕佳時機。
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