Cardano（ADA）價格目前正在與每周和每日時間表上的關鍵技術水平抗衡

這一發展與ADA測試的200周至0.73- $ 0.74的關鍵移動平均線相吻合，Gambardello的水平將其視為他所說的“牛市門”的下邊界。

Cardano price is currently fighting key technical levels on both weekly and daily timeframes. This comes as the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has extended its review period for the Grayscale Cardano ETF application by an additional 45 days.

Cardano Price目前正在每周和每日時間範圍內與關鍵技術水平作鬥爭。這是因為美國證券交易委員會（SEC）已將其灰度Cardano ETF申請的審查期延長了45天。

The extension pushes the decision deadline to May 29th, a move that crypto market analyst Dan Gambardello describes as routine rather than concerning.

該擴展名將決策截止日期推向了5月29日，加密貨幣市場分析師Dan Gambardello將這一舉動描述為常規而不是與眾不同。

This development coincides with ADA testing the critical 200-week moving average around $0.73-$0.74, a level Gambardello identifies as the lower boundary of what he terms the “bull market doors.”

這一發展與ADA測試的200周至0.73- $ 0.74的關鍵移動平均線相吻合，Gambardello的水平將其視為他所說的“牛市門”的下邊界。

ETF delay is part of standard SEC procedure

ETF延遲是標準SEC程序的一部分

The SEC’s decision to extend the review period for Grayscale’s Cardano ETF application shouldn’t come as a surprise to market analysts.

SEC延長Grayscale的Cardano ETF應用程序的審查期的決定對市場分析師來說並不令人驚訝。

The new May 29th deadline follows a pattern of regulatory caution that has become common practice for cryptocurrency ETF applications.

5月29日的新截止日期遵循了監管謹慎的模式，這已成為加密貨幣ETF應用的普遍做法。

“There’s no need to panic,” Gambardello stated in his analysis. “The ETF wasn’t expected to be accepted by the first deadline. Delays on crypto ETFs are very common to evaluate all the details.”

甘巴德洛在分析中說：“無需驚慌。” “ ETF不會被第一個截止日期接受。加密ETF的延遲非常常見，可以評估所有細節。”

Data shows the SEC has consistently pushed back verdicts on digital asset investment products.

數據顯示，SEC一直在推遲對數字資產投資產品的判決。

As recently as March 11th, the regulatory body delayed rulings on over 60 crypto ETF applications, including spot ETFs for Solana, XRP, Dogecoin, and Litecoin, with updates postponed until at least April 4th.

直到3月11日，監管機構推遲了60多個加密ETF應用程序的裁決，包括Solana，XRP，Dogecoin和Litecoin的SPOT ETF，更新至少推遲到4月4日。

This cautious approach by regulators has been ongoing since 2013, when considering the peak periods of Bitcoin ETF filings and the newer wave of altcoin ETFs, dozens of delays have occurred.

自2013年以來，這種謹慎的方法一直在進行，當時考慮了比特幣ETF申請的峰值時期和較新的altcoin ETF浪潮，發生了數十次延遲。

Gambardello highlighted Ethereum’s ETF approval experience as a sobering reminder not to place too much emphasis on regulatory stamps of approval.

Gambardello強調了以太坊的ETF批准經驗，以提醒您不要過分強調監管郵票的認可。

Despite securing ETF approval in May 2024, Ethereum hit its peak at that moment and subsequently dropped approximately 50% from the approval high.

儘管在2024年5月獲得了ETF批准，但以太坊當時達到了峰值，隨後從批准率高約50％下降了約50％。

“Let’s not rely on an ETF like this is it. This is the moment—get the ETF approved, it’s up only, game on, next level,” Gambardello cautioned.

“讓我們不要像這樣的ETF。這是一個時刻 - 獲得ETF批准，僅在下一步，下一個級別的比賽。” Gambardello警告說。

He suggested that overall economic factors would likely have more impact on ADA’s price than the ETF decision alone.

他建議，與僅ETF決定相比，總體經濟因素可能會對ADA的價格產生更大的影響。

Cardano Price Battles Key Technical Levels

Cardano價格戰鬥的關鍵技術水平

Cardano price currently fights with the 200-week moving average at approximately $0.73-$0.74.

Cardano價格目前與200週的移動平均線打架，約為0.73至0.74美元。

This level marks what Gambardello calls the “lower boundary of the bull market doors,” a zone that has acted as a key inflection point throughout Cardano’s price history.

這個水平標誌著甘巴德洛所說的“牛市門的下邊界”，這個區域一直是Cardano價格歷史上的關鍵拐點。

On the daily chart, ADA faces additional hurdles with the 20-day moving average at around $0.78 and the 50-day moving average near $0.80.

在每日圖表上，ADA面臨額外的障礙，20天的移動平均線約為0.78美元，50天移動平均線接近0.80美元。

Conquering these levels would signal a potential shift in the momentum, according to the analyst.

根據分析師的說法，征服這些水平將表明動量的潛在轉變。

“If ADA can get back above those areas now, we really do have a shot for ADA to test the upper end of these bull market doors again,” Gambardello noted.

Gambardello指出：“如果ADA現在可以回到這些領域，那麼我們確實確實有一個鏡頭再次測試這些牛市門的上端。”

This upper boundary sits at approximately $1.25, which represents the last major swing high before the bear market began.

該上部邊界位於大約1.25美元，這代表了熊市開始之前的最後一個主要鞦韆。

The current price structure shows similarities to patterns observed in previous market cycles.

當前的價格結構與以前的市場週期中觀察到的模式相似。

Gambardello highlighted how ADA is now consolidating between the 50-week and 20-week moving averages, mirroring behavior from the last cycle that preceded a major move.

Gambardello強調了ADA現在如何在50周和20週的移動平均值之間合併，這反映了在重大移動之前的最後一個週期的行為。

However, the analyst acknowledged the possibility of further downside if broader market conditions deteriorate.

但是，分析師承認，如果更廣泛的市場狀況惡化，則可能會進一步下跌。

“We can easily see the volatility of crypto continue to the downside,” he warned.

他警告說：“我們可以輕鬆地看到加密貨幣的波動繼續存在。”

“ADA might have to test the 50s, even lower than the 50s, test the 50-week moving average again around 59 cents.”

“ ADA可能必須測試50年代，甚至低於50年代，再次測試了50週的移動平均水平。”

Macroeconomic Catalysts Set Stage for Altcoin season

宏觀經濟催化劑設定了Altcoin季節的階段

The market appears increasingly favorable for cryptocurrencies like Cardano, according to Gambardello’s analysis.

根據Gambardello的分析，該市場似乎對Cardano等加密貨幣越來越有利。

He points to falling inflation metrics as a positive signal for the crypto market.

他指出，通貨膨脹指標下降是加密市場的積極信號。

The analyst expects an upcoming pivot in Federal Reserve policy, with potential interest rate reductions on the horizon.

該分析師預計，即將在美聯儲政策中有一個樞紐，並將降低潛在的利率。

This shift would mark a change from the current phase of monetary tightening that has restrained altcoin performance.

這種轉變將標誌著限制了Altcoin績效的當前貨幣收緊階段的變化。

“We’ve been in this contraction kind of mode, and this is why really we’ve not seen altcoin season,” Gambardello explained.

Gambardello解釋說：“我們一直處於這種收縮方式，這就是為什麼我們真的沒有看到Altcoin季節的原因。”

“We’re waiting for the expansion. We’re waiting for interest rates to start coming down.”

“我們正在等待擴展。我們正在等待利率開始下降。”

The potential for looser monetary policy aligns with what Gambardello sees happening with the U.S. dollar.

寬鬆的貨幣政策的潛力與Gambardello所看到的美元相吻合。

Drawing parallels to previous cycles, he noted how market conditions often shift to accommodate political pressures regarding interest rates and dollar strength.

他指出，與以前的周期相似，市場狀況經常轉移，以適應利率和美元實力的政治壓力。