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自 2009 年加密貨幣問世以來,比特幣 (BTC) 錢包的獲利比例持續上升,目前近 90% 的錢包處於獲利狀態。區塊鏈技術提供的這種前所未有的數據透明度為交易者提供了寶貴的見解。這些數據可以幫助衡量市場情緒、識別潛在的價格變動並為交易決策提供資訊。
Blockchain Unleashes Unprecedented Market Transparency: A Game-Changer for Traders
區塊鏈釋放了前所未有的市場透明度:交易者的遊戲規則改變者
In the realm of financial markets, data reigns supreme. Armed with comprehensive information, analysts navigate the intricate landscape of stocks, bonds, and commodities to make astute trading decisions. However, in traditional markets, a veil of secrecy shrouds certain data, limiting traders' visibility and complicating their decision-making process. Private portfolios, for instance, remain hidden from prying eyes, leaving equity traders in the dark about crucial information.
在金融市場領域,數據至高無上。透過全面的訊息,分析師可以駕馭股票、債券和大宗商品的複雜格局,做出精明的交易決策。然而,在傳統市場中,某些數據籠罩著一層神秘的面紗,限制了交易者的可見性並使他們的決策過程複雜化。例如,私人投資組合仍然不被窺探,導致股票交易者對重要資訊一無所知。
But in the realm of blockchain, this shroud of secrecy is torn asunder. Blockchain's inherent transparency grants traders access to a wealth of data that was once unattainable. Every transaction, every wallet address, and every historical portfolio is laid bare for the world to see. This unprecedented level of transparency empowers traders with a treasure trove of information to navigate the markets.
但在區塊鏈領域,這種神秘的面紗被撕裂了。區塊鏈固有的透明度使交易者能夠存取曾經無法獲得的大量數據。每筆交易、每個錢包地址和每個歷史投資組合都向全世界公開。這種前所未有的透明度使交易者能夠獲得豐富的資訊來駕馭市場。
Among the most intriguing data points made available by blockchain technology is the percentage of wallets that are "in profit." This metric reveals the average price at which traders purchased Bitcoin (BTC) relative to the current market price. When the average purchase price falls below the current market price, the wallet is deemed to be "in profit."
區塊鏈技術提供的最有趣的數據點之一是「盈利」的錢包的百分比。該指標揭示了交易者購買比特幣(BTC)相對於當前市場價格的平均價格。當平均購買價格低於當前市場價格時,錢包被視為「盈利」。
Plotting the percentage of wallets in profit over time reveals a captivating pattern. During Bitcoin's early years, this percentage fluctuated wildly, reaching dizzying heights of 99% in June 2011 only to plummet to a mere 15% by November of the same year. However, since this time, the percentage has embarked on a steady upward trajectory, largely driven by Bitcoin's remarkable price appreciation over the past decade.
繪製錢包利潤隨時間變化的百分比揭示了一個迷人的模式。在比特幣誕生之初,這一比例波動劇烈,在 2011 年 6 月達到令人眼花撩亂的 99% 的高度,但到同年 11 月卻驟降至僅 15%。然而,自此時以來,該百分比已開始穩步上升,這主要是由於過去十年比特幣價格顯著升值。
Currently, an impressive 90% of Bitcoin wallets stand in profit. This begs the pivotal question: Does this imply a potential reversal in Bitcoin's upward momentum? Conventional wisdom suggests that with such a high proportion of traders profiting, a selling frenzy could ensue, driving down the price of BTC.
目前,令人印象深刻的是,90% 的比特幣錢包都處於獲利狀態。這就引出了一個關鍵問題:這是否意味著比特幣的上漲動能可能出現逆轉?傳統觀點認為,由於如此高比例的交易者獲利,可能會出現拋售狂潮,壓低比特幣的價格。
Yet, the reality on the ground paints a different picture. Despite a recent pullback, Bitcoin has not witnessed a mass exodus of sellers. This unwavering conviction among wallet holders hints at a bullish sentiment that extends beyond the immediate horizon, potentially spanning years to come.
然而,現實卻描繪出一幅不同的景象。儘管最近出現回調,但比特幣並未出現大量賣家外流。錢包持有者堅定不移的信念暗示著一種看漲情緒,這種情緒超越了眼前的視野,可能會跨越未來幾年。
Two compelling narratives underpin this bullish stance. The first is the Bitcoin cycle hypothesis, a recurring pattern that has characterized the cryptocurrency's history. This cycle typically spans four years and encompasses a rise in price prior to a halving event (a reduction in the issuance of new bitcoins), followed by a surge to new highs and a subsequent decline to relative lows. If this cycle continues in 2024 and beyond, Bitcoin's price could continue its upward trajectory, potentially surpassing the $100,000 mark.
有兩個令人信服的敘述支撐了這個看漲立場。第一個是比特幣週期假說,這是代表加密貨幣歷史的反覆出現的模式。這個週期通常跨越四年,包括減半事件(新比特幣發行量減少)之前的價格上漲,隨後飆升至新高,隨後下跌至相對低點。如果這個週期在 2024 年及以後繼續下去,比特幣的價格可能會繼續上漲,有可能突破 10 萬美元大關。
The second narrative driving bullish sentiment is the prospect of widespread adoption. Spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and increased institutional investment have paved the way for Bitcoin to gain broader acceptance. This influx of new capital could propel Bitcoin's price to uncharted territories.
推動看漲情緒的第二種說法是廣泛採用的前景。現貨交易所交易基金(ETF)和機構投資的增加為比特幣獲得更廣泛的接受鋪平了道路。新資本的湧入可能會將比特幣的價格推向未知的領域。
It is important to emphasize that the percentage of wallets in profit does not provide a crystal-clear prediction of Bitcoin's future. Rather, it serves as another tool in the trader's arsenal, empowering them with more granular information to make informed decisions. The interpretation of this data ultimately lies with the individual trader's discretion.
需要強調的是,錢包利潤百分比並不能提供對比特幣未來的清晰預測。相反,它是交易者武器庫中的另一個工具,使他們能夠獲得更詳細的資訊來做出明智的決策。該數據的解釋最終取決於個別交易者的判斷力。
In conclusion, blockchain technology has revolutionized the financial landscape, providing traders with unprecedented access to data that was once hidden from view. The percentage of wallets in profit is a compelling data point that sheds light on market sentiment and potential price movements. While it does not offer a definitive forecast, it empowers traders with invaluable information to navigate the ever-shifting dynamics of the Bitcoin market.
總而言之,區塊鏈技術徹底改變了金融格局,為交易者提供了前所未有的存取曾經隱藏的數據的機會。錢包利潤百分比是一個引人注目的數據點,可以揭示市場情緒和潛在的價格趨勢。雖然它沒有提供明確的預測,但它為交易者提供了寶貴的信息,以應對比特幣市場不斷變化的動態。
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