Bitmex聯合創始人Arthur Hayes做出了大膽的預測：到2025年底，比特幣的價格可能超過250,000美元

亞瑟·海斯（Arthur Hayes）揭示了對比特幣未來的令人震驚的分析。該分析基於對貨幣政策的最新調整，該政策可能刺激對領先的加密貨幣的強烈需求。

Co-founder of BitMEX, Arthur Hayes, predicts that the price of Bitcoin could hit $250,000 by the end of 2025, if the FED decides to pivot towards a quantitative easing (QE) policy in his latest analysis.

Bitmex的聯合創始人亞瑟·海斯（Arthur Hayes）預測，如果美聯儲決定在他的最新分析中旋轉量化寬鬆（QE）政策，那麼到2025年底，比特幣的價格可能會達到25萬美元。

This prediction is based on the idea that the value of Bitcoin is heavily influenced by market expectations regarding the future supply of fiat currency. If the FED increases the supply of dollars by adopting QE, demand for alternative assets like Bitcoin could rise due to the perceived devaluation of traditional currency.

該預測是基於這樣的想法，即比特幣的價值受到對菲亞特貨幣未來供應的市場期望的嚴重影響。如果美聯儲通過採用量化寬鬆來增加美元的供應，那麼由於傳統貨幣的貶值，對比特幣等替代資產的需求可能會上升。

The latest actions by the FED are already showing signs of such a pivot. On April 1, it reduced the capacity for Treasury bond reductions from $25 billion to only $5 billion per month. According to Hayes, this decision marks the beginning of a bullish cycle for crypto assets.

美聯儲的最新動作已經顯示出這種樞軸的跡象。 4月1日，它的債券減少能力從250億美元減少到每月僅50億美元。根據海耶斯的說法，這一決定標誌著對加密資產的看漲週期的開始。

Having reached a local low of $76,500 last month, Bitcoin could indeed start its surge towards $250,000.

上個月，比特幣達到了76,500美元的當地低點，確實可以開始漲幅至25萬美元。

BTC Price: Forecasts Are Contradictory

BTC價格：預測是矛盾的

Not all expert crypto analysts share Arthur Hayes’ optimistic vision. Jamie Coutts from Real Vision estimates, for example, that Bitcoin would hit a peak of $132,000 by the end of 2025. These projections are more conservative. They take into account current market trends, suggesting a less drastic impact of monetary policy on BTC’s price.

並非所有專家加密分析師都分享亞瑟·海斯（Arthur Hayes）的樂觀願景。例如，來自真實視覺估計的傑米·庫特（Jamie Coutts），例如，到2025年底，比特幣將達到132,000美元的高峰。這些預測更加保守。他們考慮了當前市場趨勢，這表明貨幣政策對BTC價格的影響較小。

But that’s not all! According to data from Polymarket, only 9% of traders are betting on a Bitcoin at $250,000. The majority (at 60%) believe that the price of the flagship cryptocurrency will stabilize around $110,000 in 2025. This sentiment reflects hesitation about the extent of the expected rally for BTC.

但這不是全部！根據Polymarket的數據，只有9％的交易員以25萬美元的價格押注比特幣。大多數人（60％）認為，旗艦加密貨幣的價格將在2025年穩定在110,000美元左右。這種情緒反映出對BTC預期集會的程度的猶豫。

While Hayes’ prediction is ambitious, it highlights the importance of monetary policy in determining the price of Bitcoin. Investors will need to closely monitor the FED’s decisions as well as the evolution of the global economy. These could redefine the trajectories of cryptocurrencies in the long term.

儘管海斯的預測是雄心勃勃的，但它突出了貨幣政策在確定比特幣價格方面的重要性。投資者將需要密切監視美聯儲的決定以及全球經濟的發展。從長遠來看，這些可以重新定義加密貨幣的軌跡。

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