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鏈上分析平台 CryptoQuant 的創始人 Ki Young Ju 報告了比特幣鯨魚在獲利回吐方面的異常行為。
Bitcoin whales, known for their substantial influence on the cryptocurrency market, are reportedly behaving atypically with regard to profit-taking, according to on-chain analytics platform CryptoQuant.
據鏈上分析平台 CryptoQuant 稱,以其對加密貨幣市場的巨大影響力而聞名的比特幣鯨魚在獲利回吐方面的行為異常。
As highlighted by Ki Young Ju, the founder of CryptoQuant, in a recent post on X, if the present Bitcoin bull cycle were to conclude now, it would mark the lowest level of profit-taking by Bitcoin whales across all market cycles. This assertion was met with a differing perspective from crypto analyst Ali Martinez, who pointed out that whales have been distributing their Bitcoin across multiple addresses, leading to a reduction in the number of addresses holding between 1,000 and 10,000 BTC.
正如 CryptoQuant 創始人 Ki Young Ju 在 X 最近的一篇文章中所強調的那樣,如果當前的比特幣牛市週期現在結束,這將標誌著比特幣鯨魚在所有市場週期中獲利了結的最低水平。這一說法得到了加密貨幣分析師阿里·馬丁內斯(Ali Martinez)的不同看法,他指出,鯨魚一直在將比特幣分配到多個地址,導致持有 1,000 到 10,000 BTC 的地址數量減少。
However, Ju maintained that the overall return rate remains the lowest when compared to previous cycles, irrespective of how whales have maneuvered their assets. He further suggested that the whales currently selling are likely new entrants with weaker hands, as they are offloading their holdings with minimal profit.
然而,Ju 堅持認為,與先前的周期相比,整體回報率仍然是最低的,無論鯨魚如何操縱其資產。他進一步表示,目前出售的鯨魚很可能是新進者,手頭較弱,因為他們以微乎其微的利潤出售所持股份。
According to Ju, examining macro-level aggregated data, such as historical realized profit, is crucial to understanding broader market trends, rather than focusing solely on individual transactions. This perspective aligns with the observation that the majority of Bitcoin whales are holding back on profit-taking, expecting further bullish movements.
Ju表示,檢查宏觀層面的匯總數據(例如歷史已實現利潤)對於了解更廣泛的市場趨勢至關重要,而不是僅僅關注個別交易。這一觀點與大多數比特幣鯨魚都在抑制獲利了結,並期待進一步看漲的觀察一致。
Ju also noted that Bitcoin’s market capitalization relative to its realized cap indicates that the cryptocurrency is still within a bull cycle. Instead of cashing out, these whales are accumulating more Bitcoin in anticipation of the next upward surge. Supporting this notion, CryptoQuant recently reported the largest outflows from exchanges since November 2022, signifying substantial market activity. Additionally, Ju observed an unprecedented rate of new whale accumulation.
Ju也指出,比特幣的市值相對於其已實現的上限表明該加密貨幣仍處於牛市週期內。這些鯨魚沒有兌現,而是累積了更多的比特幣,以期待下一次的上漲。 CryptoQuant 最近報告稱,交易所出現自 2022 年 11 月以來最大的資金流出,這也支持了這一觀點,這表明市場活動活躍。此外,朱觀察到新鯨魚的累積速度前所未有。
As for predictions on when the market cycle might peak, opinions vary among crypto analysts. Rekt Capital anticipates a market top between mid-September and mid-October 2025, while a recent CoinMarketCap report suggests a potential peak between mid-May and mid-June 2025. CoinMarketCap based this projection on the fact that Bitcoin is currently ahead of historical trends, having reached a new all-time high even before the Halving event. This acceleration, estimated to be around 100 days faster than past cycles, indicates that the next peak may arrive sooner than previously expected.
至於市場週期何時達到頂峰的預測,加密貨幣分析師的觀點各不相同。 Rekt Capital 預計市場見頂將在2025 年9 月中旬至10 月中旬之間,而最近的CoinMarketCap 報告則顯示市場見頂可能在2025 年5 月中旬至6 月中旬之間。比特幣目前領先歷史趨勢的事實,甚至在減半事件之前就達到了歷史新高。這種加速預計比過去的周期快 100 天左右,表明下一個高峰可能比先前預期的更早到來。
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