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加密貨幣新聞文章

隨著經濟逆風加劇,比特幣暴跌

2024/04/03 02:20

在亞洲交易時段,比特幣的價值下跌了 4% 以上,反映出以太坊和狗狗幣等加密貨幣的更廣泛下跌,因為積極的美國工廠數據引發了人們對聯準會利率立場的猜測。

隨著經濟逆風加劇,比特幣暴跌

Bitcoin's Plunge: Economic Headwinds Gather Momentum

比特幣暴跌:經濟逆風累積動力

During Asian trading hours, a sharp decline hit Bitcoin, sending its value plummeting over 4% to approximately $66,342, signaling a departure from the recent period of consolidation. This downturn reverberated across the cryptocurrency landscape, with other prominent players such as Ethereum and Dogecoin also suffering significant losses. The bearish sentiment extended to the CoinDesk 20 index, which recorded an approximate 8% drop.

在亞洲交易時段,比特幣大幅下跌,其價值暴跌超過 4% 至約 66,342 美元,標誌著比特幣與近期盤整期的背離。這種低迷影響了整個加密貨幣領域,以太幣和狗狗幣等其他知名參與者也遭受了重大損失。看跌情緒延伸至 CoinDesk 20 指數,該指數下跌約 8%。

At the heart of this downturn lies the release of U.S. factory data, which revealed an unexpected expansion in March, contrary to expectations. The Institute for Supply Management's manufacturing purchasing manager's index (PMI) rose to 50.3, indicating growth after 16 consecutive months of contraction. This development has sparked speculation about the Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates.

此次經濟低迷的核心在於美國公佈的工廠數據,該數據顯示 3 月出現意外擴張,與預期相反。供應管理協會的製造業採購經理指數(PMI)升至50.3,顯示連續16個月收縮後出現成長。這一事態發展引發了人們對聯準會利率立場的猜測。

The dollar index, a gauge of the U.S. dollar's strength against other major currencies, surged to its highest level since mid-November, breaching the 105 mark. This upward trajectory, driven by robust economic data, has diminished the likelihood of imminent Fed rate cuts. Consequently, investors are reassessing their positions amidst shifting monetary policy anticipations.

衡量美元兌其他主要貨幣強弱程度的美元指數飆升至11月中旬以來的最高水平,突破105大關。在強勁經濟數據的推動下,這種上升軌跡降低了聯準會即將降息的可能性。因此,投資者在貨幣政策預期不斷變化的情況下重新評估自己的部位。

Analysts point to the ISM report as a pivotal factor influencing market sentiment. The resurgence of manufacturing growth, coupled with higher inflation readings, has prompted a re-evaluation of the Fed's dovish stance. The market now anticipates a more hawkish approach from the Fed, leading to a dampening of risk appetite and an outflow of funds from cryptocurrencies.

分析師指出,ISM 報告是影響市場情緒的關鍵因素。製造業成長復甦,加上通膨數據上升,促使人們重新評估聯準會的鴿派立場。市場現在預計聯準會將採取更強硬的態度,抑制風險偏好並導致加密貨幣資金外流。

Amidst this evolving economic landscape, Bitcoin's volatility is likely to persist. Upcoming job reports, particularly Friday's nonfarm payrolls figure, will provide further insights into the health of the U.S. economy and potentially sway investor sentiment. Additionally, the impending Bitcoin mining reward halving, scheduled for later this month, adds an element of uncertainty to the market outlook.

在不斷變化的經濟格局中,比特幣的波動性可能會持續下去。即將發布的就業報告,特別是周五的非農業就業數據,將進一步洞察美國經濟的健康狀況,並可能影響投資者的情緒。此外,預計本月稍後即將到來的比特幣挖礦獎勵減半,為市場前景增添了不確定性。

The surge in the dollar index is a direct consequence of the unexpected expansion in U.S. manufacturing activity. The ISM's PMI for March revealed a return to growth after months of contraction, bolstering the dollar's value against other fiat currencies. This has weakened the case for Fed rate cuts, as a stronger dollar typically reduces demand for safe-haven assets such as Bitcoin.

美元指數飆升是美國製造業活動意外擴張的直接後果。 ISM 3 月採購經理人指數顯示,經過數月的萎縮後,經濟已恢復成長,從而提振了美元兌其他法定貨幣的價值。這削弱了聯準會降息的理由,因為美元走強通常會減少對比特幣等避險資產的需求。

Market analysts underscore that the return of manufacturing growth and higher inflation readings from the sector have contributed to a rise in 10-year Treasury yields. This has further fueled expectations of a more hawkish Fed stance, leading to a decline in the probability of near-term rate cuts. However, some analysts believe that mounting fiscal debt may eventually force the Fed to cut rates rapidly, potentially providing a tailwind to crypto prices.

市場分析師強調,製造業成長的回歸和該產業通膨數據的上升推動了10年期公債殖利率的上升。這進一步加劇了人們對聯準會立場更加強硬的預期,導致近期降息的可能性下降。然而,一些分析師認為,不斷增加的財務債務最終可能會迫使聯準會迅速降息,可能為加密貨幣價格帶來推動力。

As economic indicators continue to shape investor sentiment, navigating Bitcoin's volatility requires a deep understanding of evolving trends and their potential implications on asset prices. The upcoming nonfarm payrolls report and the mining reward halving are pivotal events that will likely influence the trajectory of Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency market.

隨著經濟指標繼續影響投資者情緒,應對比特幣的波動需要深入了解不斷變化的趨勢及其對資產價格的潛在影響。即將發布的非農就業報告和挖礦獎勵減半是可能影響比特幣和更廣泛的加密貨幣市場軌蹟的關鍵事件。

In conclusion, Bitcoin's recent dip amid a strengthening dollar highlights the interconnectedness of global financial markets. As economic data guides investor sentiment, navigating market volatility demands a keen grasp of macroeconomic dynamics and their impact on the cryptocurrency landscape.

總之,比特幣近期因美元走強而下跌凸顯了全球金融市場的相互關聯性。由於經濟數據引導投資者情緒,駕馭市場波動需要敏銳地掌握宏觀經濟動態及其對加密貨幣格局的影響。

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