本週經濟日曆異常豐富，比特幣反彈至 7 萬美元

本週開始，美國股市和加密貨幣市場的交易熱情高漲。根據 Bitpush 數據，比特幣從 67,600 美元的支撐位反彈，並在東部時間下午 6 點左右突破 70,000 美元。

Monday's trading session in the US stock and cryptocurrency markets began with a surge of enthusiasm.

週一美國股市和加密貨幣市場的交易以高漲的熱情開始。

According to Bitpush data, around 6:00 PM Eastern Time, Bitcoin rebounded from a support level of $67,600 and surged past the $70,000 mark. However, short-sellers later pushed back, and at the time of writing, the BTC trading price had slightly retreated to $69,680, showing a 2.52% increase over the past 24 hours.

Bitpush數據顯示，美國東部時間下午6:00左右，比特幣從67,600美元的支撐位反彈，並飆升至70,000美元大關。然而，賣空者隨後進行了反擊，截至發稿時，BTC 交易價格已小幅回落至 69,680 美元，過去 24 小時上漲 2.52%。

The altcoin market displayed mixed results, with Dogecoin (DOGE) leading the top 200 tokens by market cap with an increase of 11.1%; Bitcoin SV (BSV) rose by 10%; THORChain (RUNE) increased by 8.3%; Safe (SAFE) had the largest decline at 9.2%; followed by ApeCoin (APE) and ZetaChain (ZETA), which fell by 7.2% and 6.5%, respectively.

山寨幣市場表現好壞參半，狗狗幣 (DOGE) 在市值排名前 200 的代幣中領先，增幅為 11.1%；比特幣SV（BSV）上漲10%； THORChain（RUNE）上漲8.3%；安全（SAFE）跌幅最大，為9.2%；接著是 ApeCoin (APE) 和 ZetaChain (ZETA)，分別下跌 7.2% 和 6.5%。

The overall market capitalization of cryptocurrencies is currently $2.34 trillion, with Bitcoin's market share at 58.3%.

目前加密貨幣的整體市值為2.34兆美元，其中比特幣的市佔率為58.3%。

This week's economic calendar is jam-packed with a series of significant data releases upcoming, including Tuesday's JOLTS job openings report, Wednesday's Bank of Japan interest rate decision, Thursday's core PCE price index, and Friday's key non-farm payroll data. Meanwhile, the earnings season for tech giants is reaching its peak, with results from giants like Alphabet, Microsoft, Meta, Amazon, and Apple directly impacting market sentiment.

本週的經濟日曆擠滿了即將發布的一系列重要數據，包括週二的 JOLTS 職缺報告、週三的日本央行利率決定、週四的核心 PCE 物價指數以及週五的關鍵非農就業數據。同時，科技巨頭的財報季正達到頂峰，Alphabet、微軟、Meta、亞馬遜和蘋果等巨頭的業績直接影響市場情緒。

In the US stock market, as of Monday's close, the S&P 500 index, Dow Jones Industrial Average, and Nasdaq Composite all rose, increasing by 0.35%, 0.72%, and 0.37%, respectively.

美國股市方面，截至週一收盤，標普500指數、道瓊工業指數、那斯達克指數均上漲，漲幅分別為0.35%、0.72%及0.37%。

Although the market may still experience volatility in the short term, most analysts are optimistic about Bitcoin's long-term prospects. They generally believe that once the market environment improves, a Bitcoin price breakthrough of $100,000 or even higher is not out of reach.

儘管短期內市場可能仍會波動，但大多數分析師對比特幣的長期前景感到樂觀。他們普遍認為，一旦市場環境好轉，比特幣價格突破10萬美元甚至更高也並非遙不可及。

Ed Hindi, Chief Investment Officer of Tyr Capital, stated in a report: "BTC looks and feels like it could become a supernova in the coming months. It dominates the total value of crypto assets, with its market cap recently reaching 58%."

Tyr Capital 首席投資長 Ed Hindi 在一份報告中表示：“BTC 看起來和感覺都可能在未來幾個月成為超新星。它在加密資產的總價值中佔據主導地位，其市值最近達到 58%。”

The report suggests that as BTC continues to attract attention and focus, it is absorbing increasing liquidity from the industry, which may weaken the upward potential of altcoins in the coming months. Institutional leaders like MicroStrategy are opening the floodgates of corporate balance sheets, while investment moguls like Paul Tudor Jones are making BTC a mainstream asset in financial portfolios.

該報告表明，隨著比特幣繼續吸引人們的關注和關注，它正在從該行業吸收越來越多的流動性，這可能會削弱山寨幣在未來幾個月的上漲潛力。像 MicroStrategy 這樣的機構領導者正在打開企業資產負債表的閘門，而像 Paul Tudor Jones 這樣的投資大亨正在使 BTC 成為金融投資組合中的主流資產。

Hindi expressed: "We firmly believe that BTC could reach $100,000 by the end of this year and $200,000 by 2025. We expect that as long as Trump's victory remains the baseline scenario, BTC's rise will be enhanced in the lead-up to the US elections."

Hindi 表示：「我們堅信 BTC 到今年年底將達到 10 萬美元，到 2025 年將達到 20 萬美元。我們預計，只要川普獲勝仍然是基準情景，BTC 的上漲就會在美國大選前夕得到加強。 」。

However, Hindi also warned that Bitcoin's price will not only rise without falling, as "profit-taking in the days following the election results could pressure Bitcoin's price, but buyers on dips should provide strong support below $60,000. Regardless of the election outcome, Bitcoin should regain its footing in the medium term and set new highs in 2024."

不過，Hindi 也警告稱，比特幣的價格不僅不會下跌，還會上漲，因為「選舉結果後幾天的獲利了結可能會給比特幣的價格帶來壓力，但逢低買入的人應該在60,000 美元以下提供強有力的支撐。

TradingView technical chart analyst TradingShot stated, "All indicators point to an astonishing rebound over the next 12 months."

TradingView技術圖表分析師TradingShot表示，“所有指標都表明未來12個月將出現驚人反彈。”

He noted: "Bitcoin broke through its 7-month bearish megaphone pattern last week, which actually absorbed the pullback following the significant market surge driven by ETF expectations and launches since October 2023. This means Bitcoin has successfully escaped the downtrend during this period and is poised to initiate a new upward cycle."

他指出：「比特幣上週突破了7 個月的看跌擴音器模式，實際上吸收了自2023 年10 月以來ETF 預期和發行推動的市場大幅上漲後的回調。這意味著比特幣已成功擺脫了這一時期的下跌趨勢，準備開啟新的上升週期。

TradingShot stated: "This pattern is part of a 7-year ascending channel that encompasses the previous two cycles of BTC. During the 2018-2021 cycle, the market also experienced a bearish megaphone pattern, slightly larger, lasting for 12 months before the price broke out."

TradingShot表示：「該模式是包含BTC前兩個週期的7年上升通道的一部分。在2018-2021週期期間，市場還經歷了看跌擴音器模式，規模稍大，在價格上漲之前持續了12個月爆發了。

Analysts pointed out that Bitcoin's recent rise is due to it regaining the important support level of the 50-week moving average. Moreover, historical data shows that Bitcoin's price is often influenced by the 50-week moving average. Over time, the 50-week moving average has repeatedly served as a support level for Bitcoin's price, indicating it is a very reliable support.

分析師指出，比特幣近期的上漲是由於其重新奪回了50週均線的重要支撐位。而且，歷史數據顯示，比特幣的價格往往受到50週移動平均線的影響。隨著時間的推移，50週移動平均線多次成為比特幣價格的支撐位，顯示這是一個非常可靠的支撐位。

Additionally, a MACD golden cross has appeared on Bitcoin's weekly chart for the first time since October 2023. The MACD golden cross is typically seen as a bullish signal, indicating that a significant price

此外，自 2023 年 10 月以來，MACD 金叉首次出現在比特幣週線圖表上。