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加密貨幣新聞文章

比特幣現在對黃金作為「避險」資產的地位構成真正的挑戰

2024/12/18 19:03

過去幾個月,比特幣與黃金展開了激烈的競爭,不僅在金融市場的價格和表現方面,而且在吸引機構和投資者的關注方面。

比特幣現在對黃金作為「避險」資產的地位構成真正的挑戰

Bitcoin has experienced a remarkable surge in popularity among institutional investors, presenting a formidable challenge to gold's status as a "haven" asset during times of economic and geopolitical turmoil.

比特幣在機構投資者中的受歡迎程度顯著飆升,在經濟和地緣政治動盪時期對黃金作為「避險」資產的地位構成了巨大挑戰。

A significant portion of this shift can be attributed to the increasing availability of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in U.S. markets. These ETFs now hold over 1.13 million Bitcoin, with a total value exceeding $121.83 billion.

這種轉變的很大一部分可歸因於美國市場上比特幣交易所交易基金(ETF)的可用性不斷增加。這些ETF目前持有超過113萬枚比特幣,總價值超過1,218.3億美元。

To put this into perspective, Bitcoin ETFs now account for 88% of the assets managed by gold ETFs in the U.S. stock market, highlighting a substantial change in how both assets are viewed as investment vehicles.

從這個角度來看,比特幣 ETF 目前占美國股市黃金 ETF 管理資產的 88%,突顯出這兩種資產被視為投資工具的方式發生了重大變化。

This trend aligns with the growing narrative of "digital gold," where some believe that Bitcoin could eventually replace gold, particularly given its increasing appeal amid geopolitical and economic tensions.

這一趨勢與「數位黃金」的不斷增長的敘述相一致,一些人認為比特幣最終可能取代黃金,特別是考慮到它在地緣政治和經濟緊張局勢中越來越有吸引力。

In my opinion, Bitcoin now serves not only as an attractive option for institutional investors but also as a hedge against inflation and financial crises, roles that gold has traditionally fulfilled.

在我看來,比特幣現在不僅對機構投資者來說是一個有吸引力的選擇,而且還可以作為對沖通膨和金融危機的工具,而這正是黃金傳統上扮演的角色。

Several key developments have further contributed to Bitcoin's rise to prominence.

幾個關鍵的發展進一步促進了比特幣的崛起。

Major financial institutions, such as Bitfinex and Binance, continue to encourage and direct massive investments towards Bitcoin, signalling a shift towards cryptocurrencies as mainstream assets.

Bitfinex 和 Binance 等主要金融機構繼續鼓勵和引導大規模投資比特幣,標誌著加密貨幣作為主流資產的轉變。

In the first week of December 2024, over $2.167 billion was channelled into Bitcoin ETFs, showcasing the high level of confidence investors have in the "digital gold."

2024 年 12 月的第一周,超過 21.67 億美元流入比特幣 ETF,顯示了投資者對「數位黃金」的高度信心。

Undoubtedly, these investments also align with forecasts that Bitcoin's price could reach $130,000 to $150,000 by mid-2025.

毫無疑問,這些投資也符合比特幣價格到 2025 年中期可能達到 13 萬至 15 萬美元的預測。

Moreover, I don't think we can overlook the significant role played by the newly elected U.S. President, Donald Trump, in boosting Bitcoin's position.

此外,我認為我們不能忽視新當選的美國總統川普在提升比特幣地位方面所扮演的重要角色。

Not only did he announce support for cryptocurrencies, but he also proposed the idea of establishing a U.S. strategic Bitcoin reserve, which would solidify Bitcoin's status on the global stage and give it broader acceptance as a strategic asset in national reserves.

他不僅宣布支持加密貨幣,還提出了建立美國比特幣戰略儲備的想法,這將鞏固比特幣在全球舞台上的地位,並使其作為國家儲備中的戰略資產得到更廣泛的接受。

This announcement also reflects a major shift towards integrating cryptocurrencies into national financial policies.

這項公告也反映出將加密貨幣納入國家金融政策的重大轉變。

While the actual implementation of this idea may take time, merely contemplating it demonstrates a strategic optimism regarding Bitcoin's role in the global economy.

雖然這個想法的實際實施可能需要時間,但僅僅考慮一下它就表明了對比特幣在全球經濟中的作用的戰略樂觀態度。

On the traditional markets side, we've seen how MicroStrategy's inclusion in the Nasdaq 100 index has helped increase capital flows into Bitcoin.

在傳統市場方面,我們已經看到 MicroStrategy 被納入納斯達克 100 指數如何幫助增加了流入比特幣的資本。

This listing of a giant company, which is one of the largest Bitcoin holders in the world, enhances institutional confidence in Bitcoin and reflects the ongoing evolution of cryptocurrencies into the traditional financial system.

作為全球最大的比特幣持有者之一的巨頭公司的上市增強了機構對比特幣的信心,並反映了加密貨幣向傳統金融體系的持續演變。

These moves, including rebalancing investment portfolios to include MicroStrategy shares, could, in my view, lead to further capital flows into Bitcoin, supporting it against any future market fluctuations.

在我看來,這些舉措,包括重新平衡投資組合以納入 MicroStrategy 股票,可能會導致資金進一步流入比特幣,從而支持比特幣應對未來的市場波動。

Additionally, I believe Bitcoin is on its way to achieving new levels of growth, with markets closely watching the psychological level of $110,000.

此外,我相信比特幣正在實現新的成長水平,市場密切關注 11 萬美元的心理水平。

This transition, which is very close at present, reflects how Bitcoin is experiencing increased acceptance and interest, which could lead to a radical shift in financial markets.

目前這一轉變已經非常接近,反映出比特幣的接受度和興趣正在增加,這可能會導致金融市場發生根本性轉變。

However, despite the strong optimism, there is growing caution about market volatility, as profit-taking and speculative trading could cause sharp price fluctuations in the short term.

然而,儘管市場樂觀情緒強烈,但人們對市場波動的擔憂日益謹慎,因為獲利了結和投機交易可能會導致短期內價格大幅波動。

Looking ahead, Bitcoin will remain a central topic in financial markets and the global economy.

展望未來,比特幣仍將是金融市場和全球經濟的中心議題。

With the strategic moves by major financial institutions and governments, Bitcoin appears to be a true alternative to gold in certain aspects.

隨著主要金融機構和政府的戰略舉措,比特幣在某些方面似乎成為黃金的真正替代品。

However, it remains to be seen whether this confidence in "digital gold" will persist or face new challenges over time.

然而,這種對「數位黃金」的信心是否會持續下去,還是隨著時間的推移而面臨新的挑戰,還有待觀察。

What is certain for me is that Bitcoin has begun to define its role in the global economy, and its impact on financial markets will not be easy to ignore shortly.

對我來說可以肯定的是,比特幣已經開始定義它在全球經濟中的作用,而且它對金融市場的影響短期內不會輕易被忽視。

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