聯準會會議前比特幣價格波動受到密切關注

比特幣的價格波動一直受到密切關注，觀察家猜測聯準會即將上任後的潛在市場反應

As the Federal Reserve (Fed) prepares for its upcoming meeting, observers are speculating on how potential market reactions will impact Bitcoin's price. According to Crypto News, the cryptocurrency may experience drastic shifts in trend following the central bank's decision on interest rates.

隨著聯準會（Fed）為即將召開的會議做準備，觀察家正在猜測潛在的市場反應將如何影響比特幣的價格。根據《Crypto News》報道，隨著央行利率決定，加密貨幣的趨勢可能會發生劇烈變化。

In the present cryptocurrency market, where prices fluctuate wildly, Bitcoin has seen substantial gains - roughly 150% year-to-date - largely driven by key events such as the anticipated policies of the Trump administration. The Fed has hinted at potential interest rate cuts, which are believed to have contributed to Bitcoin's previous surges. Reports indicate expectations of a possible 0.25% point cut, which could positively influence Bitcoin's current trend. However, analysts also caution that the Fed may adopt a more hawkish stance amid rising inflation concerns under the new administration.

在當前價格波動劇烈的加密貨幣市場中，比特幣取得了大幅上漲——今年迄今大約上漲了 150%——主要是受到川普政府預期政策等關鍵事件的推動。聯準會暗示可能降息，這被認為是比特幣先前飆升的原因之一。報告顯示，預計價格可能會下跌 0.25%，這可能會對比特幣當前的趨勢產生正面影響。不過，分析師也警告稱，在新政府領導下通膨擔憂加劇的情況下，聯準會可能會採取更強硬的立場。

While Bitcoin's price recently approached $105,000, analysts remain cautiously optimistic. Crypto News highlights the varying positions of the Fed, which could significantly affect Bitcoin's market standing, whether solidifying dovish intentions or shifting back to a hawkish stance. To further complicate matters, Jerome Powell made headlines with a pointed statement during his latest conference, stating that the Fed “is not allowed to own Bitcoin,” clarifying their stance on cryptocurrency ownership. This declaration led to immediate market reactions, with Bitcoin retracing some of its gains against the dollar as investors processed the news.

儘管比特幣的價格最近接近 105,000 美元，但分析師仍保持謹慎樂觀。 《加密新聞》強調了聯準會的不同立場，這可能會嚴重影響比特幣的市場地位，無論是鞏固鴿派意圖還是轉回鷹派立場。讓事情變得更加複雜的是，傑羅姆·鮑威爾在最近一次會議上發表的尖銳聲明成為頭條新聞，他表示美聯儲“不允許擁有比特幣”，澄清了他們對加密貨幣所有權的立場。這項聲明立即引起了市場反應，隨著投資者處理這一消息，比特幣兌美元回吐了部分漲幅。

Adding another layer to this complex narrative is the legislative framework being shaped around Bitcoin within the U.S. Congress. Recently, Senator Cynthia Lummis introduced the Bitcoin Strategy Reserve Act, which proposes that the U.S. Treasury gradually acquire Bitcoin over five years, potentially purchasing up to 5% of Bitcoin's total supply. Lummis posits this strategy aims to mitigate national debt concerns, describing it as “a historical law aimed at promoting reductions of national debt” and seeking stable diversification of U.S. financial reserves.

美國國會圍繞著比特幣制定的立法框架為這一複雜的敘述增添了另一層內容。最近，參議員辛西婭·魯米斯（Cynthia Lummis）提出了《比特幣戰略儲備法案》，該法案建議美國財政部在五年內逐步收購比特幣，最多可能購買比特幣總供應量的 5%。魯米斯認為，這項策略旨在緩解國債擔憂，並將其描述為“旨在促進國債削減的歷史規律”，並尋求美國金融儲備的穩定多元化。

This proposed act envisions the acquisition of Bitcoin as methodical and long-term, with expectations of buffering against economic instability. Lummis’s proposal aligns with the observations made by venture capital firm Hashed Open Research, which notes that “The Bitcoin Strategic Reserve Act claims that substantial long-term Bitcoin acquisition is a hedge against fiscal unpredictability.”

該法案設想對比特幣的收購是有條不紊且長期的，並期望能夠緩衝經濟不穩定。 Lummis 的提議與風險投資公司 Hashed Open Research 的觀察一致，該公司指出，“《比特幣戰略儲備法案》聲稱，大量長期收購比特幣是對沖財務不可預測性的一種手段。”

As the current economic landscape responds to these intersecting narratives of regulatory measures and monetary policy, analysts are watching closely, debating whether Bitcoin can sustain this rally or if impending market fluctuations may see its value dip significantly. The specter of potential recession, addressed by BCA Research, estimates that Bitcoin's price could plummet to approximately $45,000 if adverse economic conditions materialize. This volatile sentiment has led many investors to reconsider their holdings of risk-oriented assets, including Bitcoin.

隨著當前的經濟狀況對監管措施和貨幣政策的這些相互交叉的敘述做出反應，分析師正在密切關注，討論比特幣是否能夠維持這種漲勢，或者即將到來的市場波動是否可能導致其價值大幅下跌。 BCA 研究機構針對潛在衰退的擔憂估計，如果不利的經濟狀況成為現實，比特幣的價格可能會暴跌至 45,000 美元左右。這種不穩定的情緒導致許多投資者重新考慮其持有的風險導向資產，包括比特幣。

The price movements reflect broader trends within the cryptocurrency market, which are increasingly being influenced by regulatory developments and macroeconomic factors. In recent weeks, there has been a surge in cybersecurity incidents related to cryptocurrency, highlighting the high stakes involved - with $2.1 billion lost to hacks, underscoring the need to safeguard investments during turbulent times.

價格走勢反映了加密貨幣市場的更廣泛趨勢，該市場越來越受到監管發展和宏觀經濟因素的影響。最近幾週，與加密貨幣相關的網路安全事件激增，凸顯了其中的高風險——駭客損失達 21 億美元，凸顯了在動盪時期保護投資的必要性。

Despite these challenges, Bitcoin remains a valuable asset for investors seeking to capitalize on hopes of legality and acceptance within the broader market. Whether the coin's price will rally or retract heavily depends on both the Fed’s upcoming decisions and the anticipated responses under Trump's economic policies.

儘管存在這些挑戰，對於尋求在更廣泛的市場中尋求合法性和接受度的投資者來說，比特幣仍然是一種寶貴的資產。代幣的價格是上漲還是回落，很大程度上取決於聯準會即將做出的決定以及川普經濟政策下的預期反應。

Currently, Bitcoin is trading around $15,174, indicating slight decreases since their recent peaks but still positioning it as one of the most closely watched financial instruments globally. This moment exemplifies the fusion of politics, economics, and technology, and as investors look to the horizon, their decisions will likely translate the outcomes of these multifaceted elements.

目前，比特幣的交易價格約為 15,174 美元，較近期高峰略有下降，但仍將其定位為全球最受關注的金融工具之一。這一刻體現了政治、經濟和技術的融合，當投資者放眼未來時，他們的決定可能會轉化這些多面向因素的結果。