由於Polymarket數據顯示唐納德·川普推出戰略性比特幣儲備的可能性下降，比特幣價格仍處於邊緣狀態

BTC 從本週接近 100000 美元的高點回落至 96000 美元。

Bitcoin (BTC) price remained on edge on January 19 as Polymarket data showed that the odds of Donald Trump launching a Strategic BTC reserve have fallen. As a result, BTC price dropped to $96,000, down from this week’s high of nearly $100,000.

1 月 19 日，比特幣 (BTC) 價格仍處於緊張狀態，因為 Polymarket 數據顯示，唐納德·川普 (Donald Trump) 推出戰略 BTC 儲備的可能性有所下降。結果，BTC 價格跌至 96,000 美元，低於本週近 100,000 美元的高點。

The odds of Trump launching a strategic Bitcoin Reserves in the first 100 days of his presidency dropped in Polymarket. In a poll with over $1.5 million in assets, these odds dropped to 31%, down from over 60% in November.

Polymarket 認為，川普在就任總統的頭 100 天內推出戰略性比特幣儲備的可能性有所下降。在一項資產超過 150 萬美元的民調中，這一比例從 11 月的 60% 以上降至 31%。

Trump has vowed to be the most pro-crypto president ever as he positions the US to be the leader in the industry. He has already named Paul Atkins to be the next head of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

川普發誓要成為有史以來最支持加密貨幣的總統，因為他將美國定位為該行業的領導者。他已經任命保羅·阿特金斯為下一任美國證券交易委員會（SEC）主席。

The US president has also started to create the first crypto council, an effort led by a prominent technology investor at Craft Ventures. The investor has experience working at several crypto projects, including Bitwise, Trellis, and Affirm. Most notably, he founded World Liberty Financial, an upcoming crypto project.

美國總統也開始創建第一個加密貨幣委員會，該委員會由 Craft Ventures 的一位著名技術投資者領導。該投資者擁有多個加密項目的工作經驗，包括 Bitwise、Trellis 和 Affirm。最值得注意的是，他創立了 World Liberty Financial，這是一個即將推出的加密項目。

In December, Trump expressed some support to a strategic Bitcoin Reserve, by converting the US hoard of coins. Data by BitcoinTreasuries shows that the US holds 198,109 coins valued at over $18 billion, which it can convert into these reserves.

去年 12 月，川普透過轉換美國的比特幣儲備，表達了對戰略性比特幣儲備的一些支持。 BitcoinTreasuries 的數據顯示，美國持有 198,109 枚比特幣，價值超過 180 億美元，可以轉換為儲備。

A move by the US to create a Bitcoin reserve would push other countries to do the same. China already owns 190,000 coins, while the UK, Ukraine, Bhutan, and El Salvador already own thousands of coins.

美國建立比特幣儲備的措施將促使其他國家也採取同樣的做法。中國已擁有 19 萬枚硬幣，而英國、烏克蘭、不丹和薩爾瓦多已擁有數千枚硬幣。

Such a move would also lead to a scramble for the already dwindling Bitcoins. CoinGlass data shows that Bitcoin balances in exchanges has continued falling and now sits near the lowest level in years.

此舉還將導致對已經在減少的比特幣的爭奪。 CoinGlass 數據顯示，交易所中的比特幣餘額持續下降，目前接近多年來的最低水準。

Bitcoin has a supply limit of 21 million, and 19.8 million have already been mined. This means that only 1.2 million coins will ever be mined. Therefore, with difficulty rising, the coin will likely rise in the long term.

比特幣的供應上限為 2,100 萬枚，目前已開採 1,980 萬枚。這意味著只會開採 120 萬枚代幣。因此，在上漲難度較大的情況下，長期來看該幣很可能會上漲。

Bitcoin price analysis

比特幣價格分析

The daily chart shows that the BTC price peaked at $108.230 in December and has now dropped to $96,000. It has moved below the lower side of the ascending channel and formed what looks like a bearish flag pattern.

日線圖顯示，BTC 價格在 12 月達到高峰 108.230 美元，目前已跌至 96,000 美元。它已經移動到上升通道下側下方，並形成了看起來像看跌旗形的形態。

On the positive side, the coin has remained above the 50-day Exponential Moving Average, meaning that the uptrend is still intact.

從積極的一面來看，該代幣仍保持在 50 日指數移動平均線之上，這意味著上升趨勢仍然完好無損。

However, there is also a risk that the coin will crash to the support at $74,000, the upper side in March and then resume the uptrend.

然而，也存在一種風險，即該代幣將跌至 74,000 美元的支撐位（3 月的上方），然後恢復上升趨勢。