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CoinShares 研究主管 James Butterfill 分享了他對 2025 年比特幣價格軌蹟的樂觀展望,預計價格範圍在 80,000 美元至 150,000 美元之間。
CoinShares Head of Research James Butterfill has provided his upbeat price targets for Bitcoin in 2025, predicting a range of $80,000 to $150,000. Despite recent market selloffs and volatility, Butterfill maintains his optimism for Bitcoin’s potential for substantial growth, especially with the increasing institutional interest in the cryptocurrency and the evolution of regulatory landscapes.
CoinShares 研究主管 James Butterfill 給出了 2025 年比特幣的樂觀價格目標,預測範圍為 80,000 美元至 150,000 美元。儘管最近出現市場拋售和波動,但巴特菲爾仍然對比特幣大幅增長的潛力保持樂觀,特別是隨著機構對加密貨幣的興趣日益濃厚以及監管環境的演變。
Bitcoin Price Predictions for 2025: A Closer Look
2025 年比特幣價格預測:仔細觀察
In an interview with CNBC, Butterfill highlighted two key price points for Bitcoin in 2025: a potential peak of $150,000 and a lower-end price of $80,000. This prediction takes into account both bullish and cautious scenarios for the leading cryptocurrency, with the higher price contingent on favorable market conditions and regulatory developments, while the lower price assumes setbacks in the regulatory landscape.
在接受 CNBC 採訪時,Butterfill 強調了 2025 年比特幣的兩個關鍵價格點:15 萬美元的潛在高峰和 8 萬美元的低端價格。這項預測考慮了領先加密貨幣的看漲和謹慎情景,較高的價格取決於有利的市場條件和監管發展,而較低的價格則假設監管環境受挫。
The $150,000 price target reflects Bitcoin’s growing acceptance as a digital asset and a store of value, and it could be realized if the broader market continues to embrace the cryptocurrency. However, Butterfill acknowledges the difficulty in precisely timing these price movements, especially given the volatility in the markets and the uncertainty surrounding regulatory shifts.
15 萬美元的價格目標反映了比特幣作為一種數位資產和價值儲存手段越來越被接受,如果更廣泛的市場繼續接受這種加密貨幣,這一目標就可以實現。然而,巴特菲爾承認,要準確掌握這些價格變動的時間是很困難的,特別是考慮到市場的波動性和監管變化的不確定性。
On the other hand, the $80,000 prediction stems from concerns over the pace of pro-crypto policies in the United States, such as those previously proposed by former President Donald Trump. If these policies fail to materialize or are delayed, Bitcoin could face challenges in reaching the higher price targets in the near term.
另一方面,80,000 美元的預測源於對美國支持加密貨幣政策步伐的擔憂,例如前總統唐納德·川普先前提出的政策。如果這些政策未能實現或被推遲,比特幣在短期內達到更高價格目標可能會面臨挑戰。
Bitcoin's Potential to Rival Gold
比特幣與黃金競爭的潛力
While Butterfill's $150,000 target is certainly within the realm of possibility for 2025, his long-term projections are even more ambitious. In the coming years, Bitcoin could eventually compete with gold as a global reserve asset, with some projecting that Bitcoin might capture 25% of gold's market share, which could push its price as high as $250,000. Currently, Bitcoin holds around 10% of gold's market value, and while the $250,000 milestone may not be reached by 2025, Butterfill sees Bitcoin steadily moving in that direction over time.
雖然 Butterfill 的 15 萬美元目標在 2025 年肯定是可能實現的,但他的長期預測更加雄心勃勃。未來幾年,比特幣最終可能會與黃金競爭全球儲備資產的地位,有些人預測比特幣可能會佔據黃金 25% 的市場份額,這可能會將其價格推高至 25 萬美元。目前,比特幣約佔黃金市值的 10%,雖然到 2025 年可能無法達到 25 萬美元的里程碑,但 Butterfill 認為比特幣將隨著時間的推移穩步朝這個方向發展。
Institutional Adoption and Regulatory Developments
機構採用和監管發展
Bitcoin's price potential is closely linked to the regulatory environment in key markets, especially the United States. A supportive regulatory framework could pave the way for greater institutional adoption, which would further bolster Bitcoin's legitimacy and its place in the global financial system.
比特幣的價格潛力與主要市場(尤其是美國)的監管環境密切相關。支持性的監管框架可以為更多的機構採用鋪平道路,這將進一步增強比特幣的合法性及其在全球金融體系中的地位。
Other crypto experts share similar bullish projections. For instance, Bitwise Asset Management predicts Bitcoin could hit $200,000 by the end of 2025, while Pantera Capital anticipates a more conservative $117,000 price point. Additionally, VanEck has offered a long-term outlook of up to $3 million per Bitcoin by 2050, driven by Bitcoin’s potential as a reserve asset.
其他加密貨幣專家也有類似的看漲預測。例如,Bitwise Asset Management 預測比特幣到 2025 年底可能達到 20 萬美元,而 Pantera Capital 預計更為保守的價格點為 11.7 萬美元。此外,由於比特幣作為儲備資產的潛力,VanEck 提出了到 2050 年每比特幣價值高達 300 萬美元的長期前景。
Bitcoin's Growing Role in Institutional Portfolios
比特幣在機構投資組合中的作用日益增強
As institutional investors continue to warm up to Bitcoin, we're seeing its integration into traditional investment portfolios becoming more widespread. Leading financial firms, such as BlackRock, have suggested allocating 1% to 2% of traditional portfolios to Bitcoin, reflecting the growing acceptance of the cryptocurrency among mainstream investors.
隨著機構投資者繼續熱衷於比特幣,我們看到它越來越廣泛地融入傳統投資組合。貝萊德等領先金融公司建議將傳統投資組合的 1% 至 2% 分配給比特幣,這反映出主流投資者對加密貨幣的接受程度不斷提高。
Moreover, countries like Russia, Japan, Switzerland, and the United States are exploring the establishment of national Bitcoin reserves, signaling broader geopolitical support for Bitcoin's long-term value.
此外,俄羅斯、日本、瑞士和美國等國家正在探索建立國家比特幣儲備,這表明比特幣的長期價值將得到更廣泛的地緣政治支持。
Conclusion: Bitcoin's Bright Future
結論:比特幣的光明未來
While Bitcoin's short-term price trajectory remains uncertain, the long-term outlook is highly optimistic. With regulatory clarity and continued institutional adoption, Bitcoin could reach new price milestones, presenting the potential to rival gold as a global store of value. As the cryptocurrency ecosystem continues to mature, Bitcoin is likely to remain a focal point of both investor interest and market speculation in the years ahead.
儘管比特幣的短期價格軌跡仍不確定,但長期前景非常樂觀。隨著監管的明確性和機構的持續採用,比特幣可能會達到新的價格里程碑,成為與黃金競爭全球價值儲存手段的潛力。隨著加密貨幣生態系統的不斷成熟,比特幣在未來幾年可能仍然是投資者興趣和市場投機的焦點。
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