比特幣價格預測：美國大選前空頭目標為 6 萬美元，比特幣難以維持在 6.7 萬美元以上

比特幣價格最近試圖突破 73,700 美元附近的歷史高點 (ATH)，但漲勢遇到強勁阻力，阻止了上漲趨勢。

Bitcoin price faced strong resistance at around $73,562 on Oct. 30, 2024, in its latest attempt to break its all-time high. The rally was halted, and the token began a bearish trend, dropping to $68,000 on Nov. 4.

2024 年 10 月 30 日，比特幣價格在 73,562 美元附近遭遇強勁阻力，這是其最近一次試圖突破歷史高點的嘗試。漲勢停止，代幣開始看跌趨勢，於 11 月 4 日跌至 68,000 美元。

The upcoming U.S. presidential election is also expected to bring increased volatility to the markets, as uncertainty usually heightens around major political events. While some anticipate a potential rebound, others remain cautious, especially after Bitcoin failed to secure a new all-time high.

即將到來的美國總統大選也預計將為市場帶來更大的波動，因為重大政治事件的不確定性通常會加劇。雖然有些人預計可能會反彈，但有些人則保持謹慎，尤其是在比特幣未能創下歷史新高之後。

The bearish market outlook adds another layer of risk to the market environment.

悲觀的市場前景為市場環境增添了另一層風險。

Independent market analyst Alan Santana highlighted a pattern in Bitcoin’s price movements. He noticed similarities between the 2021 double-top formation and the current setup in 2024.

獨立市場分析師艾倫桑塔納強調了比特幣價格走勢的模式。他注意到 2021 年的雙頂形態與 2024 年的當前形態有相似之處。

In both cases, Bitcoin reached a high with rising volume, followed by a second peak with declining volume, which might indicate an exhaustion of bullish momentum.

在這兩種情況下，比特幣都達到了成交量上漲的高點，隨後又出現了成交量下降的第二個峰值，這可能表明看漲勢頭已經耗盡。

Santana observed that the recent peak showed low market participation, with whale dominance and minimal retail involvement, which added a layer of risk since retail participation is usually an indicator of broader market interest.

桑塔納觀察到，最近的峰值顯示市場參與度較低，鯨魚占主導地位，散戶參與度極低，這增加了一層風險，因為散戶參與度通常是更廣泛市場興趣的指標。

Daan Crypto Trades offered a predictive analysis, projecting potential volatility in response to the U.S. election outcome. According to Daan, Bitcoin’s price could swing by at least 10%, either up or down, depending on the election result.

Daan Crypto Trades 提供了預測分析，預測了美國大選結果帶來的潛在波動。 Daan 表示，根據選舉結果，比特幣的價格可能會上漲或下跌至少 10%。

Other bearish cues include a reversal in the “Cryptoasset Sentiment Index” from bullish to neutral, indicating a shift in market sentiment that often precedes a price pullback.

其他看跌訊號包括「加密資產情緒指數」從看漲轉向中性，顯示市場情緒轉變，而這種轉變往往先於價格回調。

Moreover, Bitcoin spot net buying volumes on exchanges have not accelerated, with net selling volumes suggesting that holders are offloading their positions, leading to potential downward pressure on prices, Andre Dragosch, Head of Research at Bitwise, said in a research note.

此外，Bitwise 研究主管 Andre Dragosch 在一份研究報告中表示，交易所的比特幣現貨淨買入量並未加速，淨賣出量表明持有者正在拋售頭寸，從而導致價格面臨潛在下行壓力。

Interestingly, Bitcoin whales transferred a significant amount of BTC (29,000 BTC) to exchanges, which is usually a precursor to selling and can increase selling pressure, especially if whales aim to liquidate their holdings.

有趣的是，比特幣鯨魚將大量 BTC（29,000 BTC）轉移到交易所，這通常是拋售的前兆，並且可能會增加拋售壓力，特別是如果鯨魚打算清算其持有的資產。

bulls struggling to hold BTC above $67,000

多頭努力將比特幣維持在 67,000 美元以上

Meanwhile, the BTC USD pair broke through several support levels in its six day long bear run that saw the token drop nearly 8% to reach a daily low around $67,200 on Nov. 4. However, the bulls managed to halt the downtrend and keep BTC price above $67,000.

同時，BTC 美元貨幣對在六天的長期熊市中突破了多個支撐位，該貨幣對於11 月4 日下跌近8%，觸及每日低點67,200 美元左右。阻止了下跌趨勢，並保住了BTC價格超過 67,000 美元。

A Harris win could see BTC price giving up more of its gains, potentially leading the token to the 100-day EMA (blue) support near $63,980.

哈里斯獲勝可能會導致 BTC 價格回吐更多漲幅，可能導致該代幣升至 63,980 美元附近的 100 日均線（藍色）支撐位。

Failure of the EMA support might result in Bitcoin price testing the support near $59,600 before recovering.

EMA 支撐失敗可能會導致比特幣價格在恢復之前測試 59,600 美元附近的支撐位。

On the other hand, a recovery from here would see BTC price facing resistance near the $71,650 price level. Breaking and consolidating above it might help the token rally to a new all-time high enar near $77,800.

另一方面，如果比特幣價格從此處反彈，將面臨 71,650 美元價格水準附近的阻力。突破並鞏固在其上方可能會幫助代幣反彈至接近 77,800 美元的歷史新高。

The RSI for BTC remained neutral, with a score of 50.67 on the daily charts.

BTC 的 RSI 保持中性，日線圖得分為 50.67。