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加密貨幣新聞文章

比特幣預計在 2025 年飆升 30 萬美元,突破黃金的稀缺性

2024/04/19 09:45

加密貨幣分析師「B 計畫」預測,到 2025 年,比特幣的價格將達到 30 萬美元,理由是即將到來的減半事件將減少新幣的創造。 Plan B 的 Stock-to-Flow 模型表明,比特幣的稀缺性將因減半而增加,可能會推高價格。該分析師還建議採取時機策略,在減半前六個月購買比特幣,並在減半後不久出售,以最大化回報。

比特幣預計在 2025 年飆升 30 萬美元,突破黃金的稀缺性

Bitcoin Poised for Extraordinary Surge to $300,000 by 2025, Outpacing Gold's Scarcity

比特幣預計在 2025 年大幅飆升至 30 萬美元,超越黃金的稀缺性

In a groundbreaking forecast, renowned crypto analyst "Plan B" has predicted an unprecedented surge in Bitcoin's value, anticipating it to surpass $300,000 by 2025. This audacious projection stems from the pivotal Bitcoin halving event slated for 2024, which will reduce the rate of new coin issuance by half.

在一項開創性的預測中,著名加密貨幣分析師「Plan B」預測比特幣的價值將出現前所未有的飆升,預計到2025 年其價格將超過30 萬美元。 2024 年舉行的關鍵比特幣減半事件,該事件將降低新比特幣減半的速度。

Plan B's forecast is anchored in the Stock-to-Flow model, a metric that assesses Bitcoin's scarcity by comparing its circulating supply to the influx of new coins. As halving events curtail the supply of new Bitcoins, the cryptocurrency's scarcity escalates, potentially leading to astronomical price increases in the future.

Plan B 的預測是基於 Stock-to-Flow 模型,該指標透過將流通供應量與新硬幣的湧入進行比較來評估比特幣的稀缺性。隨著減半事件減少了新比特幣的供應,加密貨幣的稀缺性不斷升級,可能導致未來價格的天文數字上漲。

Beyond the price prediction, Plan B has meticulously outlined a strategy for maximizing returns around the Bitcoin halving. He recommends acquiring Bitcoin roughly six months prior to the halving and selling it shortly after, within an 18-minute window. This strategy capitalizes on the historical trend of Bitcoin prices rising both before and after halving events, driven by the diminishing supply. Plan B maintains that this approach will yield superior returns compared to the traditional "buy-and-hold" strategy, which entails holding Bitcoin indefinitely irrespective of short-term fluctuations.

除了價格預測之外,B 計畫還精心概述了圍繞比特幣減半實現回報最大化的策略。他建議在減半前大約六個月購買比特幣,並在減半後不久(18 分鐘的窗口內)出售比特幣。這項策略利用了比特幣價格在減半事件前後因供應減少而上漲的歷史趨勢。 Plan B 認為,與傳統的「買入並持有」策略相比,這種方法將產生更高的回報,傳統的「買入並持有」策略需要無限期地持有比特幣,無論短期波動如何。

Plan B also asserts that Bitcoin's ascent will outpace that of gold, emphasizing that Bitcoin's scarcity will double that of gold post-halving. The initial price projection of $300,000 is considered conservative, with estimates ranging from $250,000 to $1 million.

Plan B也斷言,比特幣的上漲速度將超過黃金,並強調減半後比特幣的稀缺性將是黃金的兩倍。最初的 30 萬美元價格預測被認為是保守的,預計價格範圍為 25 萬美元至 100 萬美元。

Plan B's bullish forecast aligns with the sentiments of other industry luminaries. Cathie Wood of Ark Invest has envisioned a potential surge in Bitcoin's price to $2.3 million per coin. Standard Chartered Bank has revised its year-end forecast to $150,000, with a projected peak of $250,000 in 2025. Robert Kiyosaki has predicted Bitcoin's price to skyrocket to $100,000 by June 2024, underscoring the significance of initiating investments, albeit in modest amounts.

Plan B 的樂觀預測與其他行業傑出人士的觀點一致。 Ark Invest 的 Cathie Wood 預計比特幣的價格可能會飆升至每枚 230 萬美元。渣打銀行已將年終預測修正為15 萬美元,預計2025 年高峰將達到25 萬美元。了啟動投資的重要性,儘管投資金額不大。

Glassnode has also anticipated that spot Bitcoin ETFs will play a pivotal role in boosting Bitcoin's price in 2024, with an estimated $70 billion of fresh capital projected to enter the market through these Bitcoin-linked products.

Glassnode 也預計,現貨比特幣 ETF 將在 2024 年推高比特幣價格方面發揮關鍵作用,預計將有 700 億美元的新資本透過這些與比特幣相關的產品進入市場。

As Bitcoin currently trades around $63,400, posting a 3.46% gain in the past 24 hours, the anticipation for a bullish surge intensifies. The impending Bitcoin halving has sparked excitement among enthusiasts and global communities, who eagerly await a potential market rally.

由於比特幣目前交易價格約為 63,400 美元,過去 24 小時內上漲 3.46%,看漲飆升的預期加劇。即將到來的比特幣減半引發了比特幣愛好者和全球社群的興奮,他們熱切地等待著潛在的市場反彈。

The overwhelming consensus among experts and analysts points to a promising future for Bitcoin's price, fueled by the impending halving event, increasing scarcity, and burgeoning institutional interest in the cryptocurrency. While projections may vary, the general sentiment firmly suggests that Bitcoin's price will continue its upward trajectory in the coming years, potentially eclipsing significant milestones such as $100,000 and even $300,000 by 2025. With catalysts like spot Bitcoin ETFs poised to drive investment and capital inflows, the future outlook for Bitcoin remains exceptionally bright in the eyes of many experts and analysts.

專家和分析師的壓倒性共識表明,在即將到來的減半事件、日益稀缺以及機構對加密貨幣的興趣不斷增長的推動下,比特幣價格前景光明。儘管預測可能有所不同,但總體情緒堅定地表明,比特幣的價格將在未來幾年繼續呈上升趨勢,到2025 年可能會超越10 萬美元甚至30 萬美元等重要里程碑。 ETF 等催化劑準備推動投資和資本流入,在許多專家和分析師眼中,比特幣的未來前景仍然異常光明。

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