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比特幣價格最近經歷了下跌,達到了幾週來的最低點。分析師對比特幣未來的潛在方向進行了權衡,提供了技術分析以及對關鍵支撐位和阻力位的見解。即將到來的 2024 年減半會降低比特幣的新增供應量,如果需求保持穩定,可能會對價格造成上行壓力。然而,一些分析師將近期價格下跌歸因於市場參與者在減半預期後拋售。
Bitcoin's Price Plunge: Experts Analyze Market Dynamics and Forecast Future Trajectory
比特幣價格暴跌:專家分析市場動態並預測未來軌跡
Amidst recent price fluctuations, the cryptocurrency market has been abuzz with speculation about the future of Bitcoin's value. After approaching $60,000 only to drop to its lowest value in several weeks, analysts have weighed in with their insights and technical analysis.
在最近的價格波動中,加密貨幣市場一直充斥著對比特幣價值未來的猜測。在接近 6 萬美元後又跌至幾週來的最低值後,分析師們發表了他們的見解和技術分析。
Days before the upcoming 2024 halving, which will witness a significant reduction in Bitcoin's new supply rate, the digital currency has experienced a notable decline. However, if demand remains steady or increases, the halving could potentially fuel upward pressure on its price, leading to substantial gains.
在即將到來的 2024 年減半之前幾天,比特幣的新供應量將大幅減少,這種數位貨幣經歷了顯著的下跌。然而,如果需求保持穩定或增加,減半可能會加劇其價格的上行壓力,導致大幅上漲。
Despite these bullish factors, analysts have attributed the recent price decline to market participants' tendency to "buy the rumor and sell the news" surrounding the halving. Going forward, several key levels of support and resistance have been identified for traders to monitor.
儘管有這些看漲因素,分析師仍將近期價格下跌歸因於市場參與者圍繞減半「謠言買入,消息賣出」的傾向。展望未來,已經確定了幾個關鍵的支撐位和阻力位,供交易者監控。
Tim Enneking, managing partner of Psalion, emphasized the significance of the $60,000 support level, noting that a break below it could lead to further declines towards $52,000. He also highlighted the potential impact of the upcoming SEC decision on a US spot ETH ETF, which could mitigate the post-halving price drop.
Psalion 管理合夥人 Tim Enneking 強調了 60,000 美元支撐位的重要性,並指出跌破該支撐位可能會導致進一步跌向 52,000 美元。他還強調了 SEC 即將做出的決定對美國現貨 ETH ETF 的潛在影響,這可能會緩解減半後的價格下跌。
Brett Sifling, an investment advisor at Gerber Kawasaki Wealth & Investment Management, echoed the importance of the $60,000 level, suggesting that a breakout could signal continued momentum in either direction. He identified $50,000 as a crucial support level that must be maintained to uphold Bitcoin's bullish sentiment.
格柏川崎財富與投資管理公司 (Gerber Kawasaki Wealth & Investment Management) 的投資顧問布雷特·西弗林 (Brett Sifling) 呼應了 60,000 美元水平的重要性,表明突破可能預示著任一方向的持續勢頭。他認為 5 萬美元是關鍵的支撐位,必須維持該支撐位才能維持比特幣的看漲情緒。
William Noble, director of research and content development at Emerging Assets Group, provided technical analysis, highlighting Bitcoin's establishment of a square trading range in March and April. He noted that a breakout from this range could be sharp due to the liquidation of buyers since February 24th. Key support levels to watch out for in case of a breakout include $60,700 and $57,700.
新興資產集團研究和內容開發總監 William Noble 提供了技術分析,強調比特幣在 3 月和 4 月建立了方形交易區間。他指出,由於 2 月 24 日以來買家清算,價格可能會急劇突破該區間。突破時需要留意的關鍵支撐位包括 60,700 美元和 57,700 美元。
Noble also emphasized the potential for a false breakdown, which could trigger a dramatic upward movement and a breakout above the top of the square trading range. He attributed this potential to the liquidation of leveraged players and late retail buyers, creating a scenario where Bitcoin could regain momentum once the bearish catalysts are recognized as temporary distractions.
諾布爾也強調了虛假突破的可能性,這可能會引發大幅上漲並突破方形交易區間的頂部。他將這種潛力歸因於槓桿參與者和後期散戶買家的清算,從而創造了一種情景:一旦看跌催化劑被認為是暫時的干擾,比特幣可能會重新獲得動力。
In summary, the cryptocurrency market is closely monitoring Bitcoin's price movements, with analysts providing diverse perspectives on the potential impact of the upcoming halving and key technical levels to watch. While the recent decline may have raised some concerns, the overall sentiment remains optimistic, with the halving and potential ETF approvals seen as potential catalysts for future growth.
總而言之,加密貨幣市場正在密切關注比特幣的價格走勢,分析師對即將到來的減半的潛在影響和值得關注的關鍵技術水平提供了不同的觀點。雖然最近的下跌可能引發了一些擔憂,但整體情緒仍然樂觀,減半和潛在的 ETF 批准被視為未來成長的潛在催化劑。
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