比特幣 NUPL 顯示多頭持續上漲，BTC 價格預測

自觸及 108,364 美元以來，比特幣 [BTC] 一直難以維持上漲勢頭。從那時起，加密貨幣就面臨下行壓力，觸及低點

output: As Bitcoin [BTC] continues to trade within a narrow range, several on-chain metrics provided insight into the apex crypto’s price movements.

輸出：隨著比特幣 [BTC] 繼續在窄幅區間內交易，一些鏈上指標提供了對頂級加密貨幣價格走勢的洞察。

After hitting a low of $92,118, BTC recovered slightly to trade at $96,298 at the time of writing, as per CoinGecko. This indicated a 2.44% decrease on daily charts.

據 CoinGecko 稱，在觸及 92,118 美元的低點後，BTC 略有回升，截至撰寫本文時交易價格為 96,298 美元。這表明日線圖上下跌了 2.44%。

However, Cryptoquant analysts seemed optimistic about BTC’s future price movements. According to their analysis, BTC might rally to hit prices ranging from $130k to $160k.

然而，Cryptoquant 分析師似乎對 BTC 未來的價格走勢持樂觀態度。根據他們的分析，BTC 的價格可能會上漲至 13 萬美元至 16 萬美元之間。

Cryptoquant analyst Baro Virtual highlighted in his analysis that the NUPL indicated that BTC was in its final stages of a bull rally, with a target range of $130k-$160k.

Cryptoquant 分析師 Baro Virtual 在他的分析中強調，NUPL 表明 BTC 正處於牛市反彈的最後階段，目標範圍為 13 萬美元至 16 萬美元。

This meant that Bitcoin was nearing the top of its bullish cycle, where prices historically saw a massive rally before peaking.

這意味著比特幣正接近其看漲週期的頂部，歷史上價格在見頂之前會大幅上漲。

In this phase, market participants were highly profitable, and speculative buying drove prices up. According to him, the unrealized profit/loss index formed a cup and handle pattern which was expected to push BTC into the target range.

此階段，市場參與者利潤豐厚，投機性買盤推高價格。他表示，未實現盈虧指數形成杯柄形態，預計將推動 BTC 進入目標區間。

When NUPL forms a cup and handle pattern, it implied that unrealized profits were consolidating with a slight dip suggesting a temporary slowdown in market sentiment before a strong continuation upward.

當 NUPL 形成杯柄形態時，這意味著未實現利潤正在盤整，小幅下跌表明市場情緒在強勁持續上漲之前暫時放緩。

Moreover, Bitcoin made a successful breakout through the NUPL index’s 365-day MA signaling a potential uptrend in both the medium and long term.

此外，比特幣成功突破了 NUPL 指數的 365 天均線，預示著中長期潛在的上升趨勢。

What BTC charts depicted

BTC 圖表描繪了什麼

While BTC struggled to maintain an upward momentum, long-term prospects were still in favor of a strong upswing.

儘管BTC難以維持上漲勢頭，但長期前景仍有利於強勁上漲。

For instance, Bitcoin’s MVRV ratio dropped over the past week to 2.42. Historically, an MVRV ratio between 2-3 is considered bullish and neutral.

例如，比特幣的 MVRV 比率在過去一周下降至 2.42。從歷史上看，MVRV 比率在 2-3 之間被認為是看漲和中性的。

Thus, the market was not overheated and buyers found a reasonable balance between risk and reward. This indicated market stabilization and potential price recovery.

因此，市場並未過熱，買家在風險和回報之間找到了合理的平衡。這表明市場穩定和價格潛在回升。

Furthermore, Bitcoin’s SOPR declined but it stabilized at 1.01. When SOPR stabilizes around 1, it suggested that BTC tested a break-even point where the market was neutral.

此外，比特幣的SOPR有所下降，但穩定在1.01。當 SOPR 穩定在 1 左右時，顯示 BTC 測試了市場中性的損益平衡點。

Thus, long-term holders saw it as an opportunity to accumulate BTC sold by weaker hands.

因此，長期持有者將其視為累積弱勢手賣出的比特幣的機會。

Finally, Bitcoin’s NVT Golden Cross declined to 0.98 indicating a bullish divergence where increasing transaction activity reflected growing confidence in the network activity.

最後，比特幣的 NVT Golden Cross 跌至 0.98，顯示看漲背離，交易活動的增加反映了對網路活動信心的增強。

Read Bitcoin’s [BTC] Price Prediction 2024-25

閱讀比特幣 [BTC] 2024-25 價格預測

In essence, even though BTC retraced over the past week, long-term fundamentals signaled a potential recovery after the correction.

從本質上講，儘管比特幣在過去一周出現回調，但長期基本面表明回調後可能會出現復甦。

Hence, these conditions pointed towards a potential trend reversal. If it occurs, BTC could reclaim the $99,790 resistance. However, if bears strengthen, Bitcoin would drop to $95,600.

因此，這些條件預示著潛在的趨勢逆轉。如果發生這種情況，BTC 可能會重回 99,790 美元的阻力位。然而，如果空頭加強，比特幣將跌至 95,600 美元。

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