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Is Bitcoin Shifting Gears as Outflows Ease?
隨著資金外流的緩解,比特幣是否會改變?
Amid recent developments, Bitcoin's momentum may be undergoing a subtle change, with signs of diminishing institutional outflows. Farside, a UK investment firm, reports a modest $170 million reduction in the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) on March 22.
在最近的發展中,比特幣的勢頭可能正在發生微妙的變化,機構資金外流有減少的跡象。英國投資公司 Farside 報告稱,3 月 22 日,灰階比特幣信託基金 (GBTC) 規模小幅減少 1.7 億美元。
A Tale of Outflows and ETFs
資金外流和 ETF 的故事
This outflow coincides with ongoing discussions about US Spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which have faced setbacks, including reduced inflows and record-high outflows from GBTC. These trends hint at a potential consolidation phase before Bitcoin challenges its all-time high once more.
這筆資金流出恰逢有關美國現貨比特幣交易所交易基金(ETF)的持續討論,該基金面臨挫折,包括 GBTC 資金流入減少和創紀錄的高流出。這些趨勢暗示,在比特幣再次挑戰其歷史高點之前,可能會出現盤整階段。
Genesis Unloads, Market Slows
Genesis 拋售,市場放緩
Notably, the GBTC outflows paralleled reports of the bankrupt crypto lender Genesis liquidating its GBTC holdings. Analyst Alistair Milne observes a significant slowdown in GBTC selling, resulting in a drop in net outflows from Bitcoin ETFs to -$51.6 million. Milne's insights suggest a possible shift in market momentum.
值得注意的是,GBTC 資金外流與破產的加密貨幣貸款機構 Genesis 清算其持有的 GBTC 的報告同時發生。分析師 Alistair Milne 觀察到 GBTC 拋售大幅放緩,導致比特幣 ETF 淨流出下降至 -5,160 萬美元。米爾恩的見解顯示市場動力可能會轉變。
Prices and Inflows Dance Together?
價格和資金流入齊舞?
Supporting this view, statistician Willy Woo introduces a model linking ETF inflows to Bitcoin's price movements, indicating that the most intense selling phase may have concluded. Woo anticipates market volatility leading up to the Bitcoin halving event, echoing the theme of potential consolidation.
支持這一觀點的是,統計學家 Willy Woo 引入了一個將 ETF 流入與比特幣價格走勢聯繫起來的模型,表明最激烈的拋售階段可能已經結束。 Woo 預計比特幣減半事件之前的市場波動,與潛在整合的主題相呼應。
All-Time Highs, Ahoy?
歷史新高,嘿?
Pseudonymous commentator WhalePanda exudes optimism, predicting a sideways market trend that could pave the way for Bitcoin's ascent to new record highs. The commentator emphasizes the need for significant Bitcoin inflows to match the coin's dwindling daily emission rate, which will soon be halved, further tightening supply.
匿名評論員 WhalePanda 流露出樂觀情緒,預測市場橫向趨勢可能為比特幣升至新紀錄高點鋪平道路。這位評論員強調,比特幣需要大量流入,以適應比特幣日益減少的每日發行量,該幣的日發行很快就會減半,從而進一步收緊供應。
GBTC Backlash and Future Prospects
GBTC 的強烈反對和未來前景
GBTC has faced criticism for its dwindling assets under management (AUM), currently holding only half of its AUM since its ETF conversion. Critics like Vijay Boyapati argue that GBTC's decline is beneficial for the Bitcoin ecosystem, blaming it for market instability and hindering Bitcoin's growth.
GBTC 因其管理資產 (AUM) 不斷減少而面臨批評,自 ETF 轉換以來,目前僅持有其 AUM 的一半。 Vijay Boyapati 等批評者認為,GBTC 的下跌對比特幣生態系統有利,並將其歸咎於市場不穩定並阻礙了比特幣的成長。
Spot ETFs Hold Firm
現貨 ETF 堅挺
Despite these challenges, spot Bitcoin ETFs have historically performed well, amassing $12.15 billion in cumulative flows. ARK Invest's Cathie Wood anticipates increased institutional involvement in the near term, signaling continued interest and investment in Bitcoin.
儘管面臨這些挑戰,現貨比特幣 ETF 歷來表現良好,累積流量達 121.5 億美元。 ARK Invest 的 Cathie Wood 預計短期內機構參與會增加,這表明對比特幣的持續興趣和投資。
Institutional Appetite: Here to Stay?
機構胃口:繼續存在嗎?
The convergence of easing outflows, ETF inflows, and bullish sentiment suggests that institutional appetite for Bitcoin may be on the rise. As the Bitcoin halving approaches, investors will be closely monitoring market dynamics to gauge whether this momentum shift will translate into sustained price gains.
資金流出放緩、ETF 流入和看漲情緒的結合表明,機構對比特幣的興趣可能正在上升。隨著比特幣減半的臨近,投資者將密切關注市場動態,以判斷這種勢頭的轉變是否會轉化為持續的價格上漲。
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