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基礎廣泛的 CoinDesk 20 指數表現優於 BTC 和 ETH,其所有成分股全天上漲,SOL、AVAX 和 APT 上漲 10%-15%。
Crypto markets rallied on Thursday after the Federal Reserve's jumbo rate cut fueled risk appetite across asset classes, with bitcoin (BTC) nearing the key resistance of $64,000.
聯準會大幅降息刺激了各資產類別的風險偏好,比特幣 (BTC) 接近 64,000 美元的關鍵阻力位,加密貨幣市場週四上漲。
The apex cryptocurrency climbed nearly 6% over the past 24 hours from Wednesday's whipsaw below $60,000 as traders digested the Fed's decision to lower benchmark interest rates by 50 basis points. The move is seen by many observers as potentially marking the beginning of an easing cycle by the U.S. central bank.
隨著交易員消化了聯準會將基準利率降低 50 個基點的決定,這種頂級加密貨幣在過去 24 小時內從週三跌破 6 萬美元的震盪中上漲了近 6%。許多觀察家認為此舉可能標誌著聯準會寬鬆週期的開始。
Bitcoin hit its highest price this month at $63,800 during U.S. trading hours before stalling and retracing to just above $63,000.
比特幣在美國交易時段觸及本月最高價 63,800 美元,隨後停滯並回落至略高於 63,000 美元。
Ethereum's ether (ETH), the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, bounced off from its crucial 200-week simple moving average and was up over 7% during the same period.
以太幣 (ETH) 是市值第二大的加密貨幣,從其關鍵的 200 週簡單移動平均線反彈,同期上漲超過 7%。
The broad-based crypto benchmark CoinDesk 20 Index outperformed BTC and ETH with its 8% advance, indicating that altcoins led the market higher with native tokens of Solana (SOL), Avalanche (AVAX) and Aptos (APT) up 10%-15%. All the 20 assets of the index were up today, underscoring the breadth of the rally.
廣泛的加密貨幣基準 CoinDesk 20 指數上漲 8%,跑贏 BTC 和 ETH,顯示山寨幣引領市場走高,Solana (SOL)、Avalanche (AVAX) 和 Aptos (APT) 原生代幣上漲 10%-15% 。今天該指數所有 20 種資產均上漲,凸顯了漲勢的廣度。
Crypto-focused stocks and listed bitcoin miners also surged, with MicroStrategy (MSTR) and TeraWulf (WULF) leading the sector with 10% gains.
以加密貨幣為重點的股票和上市比特幣礦商也大幅上漲,其中 MicroStrategy (MSTR) 和 TeraWulf (WULF) 領漲該板塊,漲幅達 10%。
Crypto's rally over the past 24 hours outperformed most traditional financial asset classes. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq, two stock indexes that bitcoin recently has correlated with, traded 1.7% and 2.5% higher, respectively.
在過去 24 小時內,加密貨幣的漲幅超過了大多數傳統金融資產類別。最近與比特幣相關的兩個股指——標準普爾 500 指數和那斯達克指數分別上漲了 1.7% 和 2.5%。
That could be because non-yielding assets like bitcoin or gold are typically preferred investments when interest rates are lower, said Jim Iuorio, managing director of TJM Institutional Services and host of the Futures Edge podcast.
TJM 機構服務公司董事總經理兼 Futures Edge 播客主持人 Jim Iuorio 表示,這可能是因為,當利率較低時,比特幣或黃金等非收益資產通常是首選投資。
“These assets prefer rates that are lower than where they should be relative to the current economic condition,” he said. “They do well in an environment that could reignite inflation.”
他表示:“這些資產更喜歡低於當前經濟狀況的利率。” “他們在可能重新引發通膨的環境中表現良好。”
The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield moved higher after the Federal Reserve lowered interest rates on Wednesday which signals that inflation remains a worry. Similarly, bitcoin’s uptick in price could indicate that the Fed's decision to lower rates may be premature and could result in a weakening of the U.S. dollar, Iuorio added.
聯準會週三降息後,十年期美國公債殖利率走高,顯示通膨仍然令人擔憂。 Iuorio 補充道,類似地,比特幣價格上漲可能表明聯準會降低利率的決定可能為時過早,並可能導緻美元走軟。
Bitcoin's rally faces a key hurdle at the $64,000 level, which was the local peak last month, bouncing from the early August crash due to the strengthening Japanese yen carry trade. The leading crypto needs to make a higher high to break the bearish trend of making consecutive lower lows since the $73,000 peak in March.
比特幣的反彈面臨著 64,000 美元水平的關鍵障礙,這是上個月的局部峰值,由於日元套利交易走強,比特幣從 8 月初的崩盤中反彈。領先的加密貨幣需要創下更高的高點,才能打破自 3 月 73,000 美元高峰以來連續創下更低低點的看跌趨勢。
“The easy part of the cycle is almost done,” Bob Loukas, a well-followed trader and analyst, said, based on bitcoin's daily cycle pattern. Cycles theory argues that price movements happen in waves with roughly regular periodicity. “Soon bitcoin will have to work for the gains,” he added.
「週期中簡單的部分幾乎已經完成,」備受關注的交易員和分析師鮑勃·盧卡斯(Bob Loukas)根據比特幣的每日週期模式表示。週期理論認為,價格變動以大致規律的週期呈波浪狀發生。 「很快比特幣將不得不為收益而努力,」他補充道。
Even with a potential pullback in the cards, options traders are anticipating higher bitcoin prices for next month heading into the historically bullish period for the asset.
即使卡片可能出現回調,選擇權交易員預計下個月比特幣價格將會上漲,進入該資產的歷史看漲期。
Options data for the October 25, 2024 expiry on crypto derivatives exchange Deribit reveals a significant interest at the $70,000 strike, with $130 million in notional value, CoinDesk analyst James Van Stratten noted.
CoinDesk 分析師 James Van Stratten 指出,加密貨幣衍生性商品交易所 Deribit 2024 年 10 月 25 日到期的選擇權數據顯示,人們對 7 萬美元的罷工感興趣,名義價值為 1.3 億美元。
The total open interest stands at 34,199 BTC, with a put/call ratio of 0.55, reflecting a strong bullish sentiment in the market, he added.
他補充說,未平倉合約總量為 34,199 BTC,看跌/看漲比率為 0.55,反映出市場強勁的看漲情緒。
While September has been the worst performing month for BTC with an average loss of -4% since 2013, the year-end period starting with October usually brings the greatest returns for the asset, CoinGlass data shows. October's average monthly return is 23%, while Q4's tally is a 88% gain, per CoinGlass.
CoinGlass 數據顯示,儘管 9 月是 BTC 表現最差的月份,自 2013 年以來平均損失為 -4%,但從 10 月開始的年終時期通常會為該資產帶來最大的回報。根據 CoinGlass 的數據,10 月的平均月回報率為 23%,而第四季的平均月回報率為 88%。
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