比特幣重新成為頭條新聞，因為意外的美國 - 中國貿易新聞

在意外的美國 - 中國貿易新聞的驅動下，比特幣已經超過了86,000美元，這些新聞可能會大大改善投資者的情緒。

Bitcoin (BTC) prices surged past $86,000 on Monday, fueled by unexpected U.S.-China trade news that could be shaping investor sentiment in a big way. But while the bulls are already eyeing the $90K mark, some analysts warn this could also be a classic setup for a market reversal.

週一意外的美國 - 中國貿易新聞推動了比特幣（BTC）的價格在86,000美元以上飆升，這可能會大大塑造投資者的情緒。但是，儘管公牛隊已經在關注$ 90K的大關，但一些分析師警告說，這也可能是市場逆轉的經典設置。

What Happened: Over the weekend, Bitcoin rose 2.41% to reach $85,379 by 08:00 AM ET (12:00 GMT). The increase followed a late-Friday announcement from U.S. Customs and Border Patrol confirming tariff exemptions for major tech imports like smartphones, routers, and select computers. These exemptions fall outside the aggressive 125% tariffs that former President Donald Trump had imposed earlier this month.

發生了什麼：在周末，比特幣上漲了2.41％，達到85,379美元，到了美國東部時間上午08:00（格林尼治標準時間12:00）。在美國海關和邊境巡邏隊的周末公告之後，這一增加了，確認了智能手機，路由器和精選計算機等主要技術進口的關稅豁免。這些豁免不超出前總統唐納德·特朗普本月初對125％的侵略性125％的關稅。

As CN Wire reports, it’s still unclear whether all smartphones will escape other existing levies. But the move marks a softening tone in the trade war narrative, ultimately putting less inflationary pressure on the market and leading to more optimism around Federal Reserve rate cuts. And of course, with the focus on risk assets, the crypto sphere is also likely to see a build-up of cash flows.

正如CN Wire所報告的那樣，目前尚不清楚所有智能手機是否會逃脫其他現有稅款。但是此舉標誌著貿易戰爭敘事中的柔和語調，最終給市場帶來了較小的通貨膨脹壓力，並使對美聯儲削減速度的樂觀情緒更加樂觀。當然，在關注風險資產的情況下，加密貨幣領域也可能會看到現金流量的積累。

Market intelligence firm Santiment captured the moment in a post on X, formerly Twitter, over the weekend, stating:“Trump’s weekend tariff exemptions have led to an instant crypto market rise… Bitcoin has already hit a high of $85.9K.”

市場情報公司Santiment在周末的X帖子（以前為Twitter）的帖子中捕捉到：“特朗普的周末關稅豁免導致立即加密市場上升……比特幣已經達到了85.9萬美元的高價。”

However, despite the price rally, U.S.-based Bitcoin ETFs saw massive outflows leading into the weekend. According to data from Farside Investors, three major Bitcoin ETFs—iShares (NYSE:IVZ) Bitcoin Strategy ETF (NYSE:IBTC), Invesco (NYSE:IVR) Bitcoin Trust ETF (NYSE:BITO), and Coinshares Physical Bitcoin (BTC) -€” saw a collective outflow of $707.9 million over the past week.

然而，儘管有價格集會，但總部位於美國的比特幣ETF仍在周末出現大量流出。根據Farside Investors的數據，三個主要的比特幣ETF -Ishares（NYSE：IVZ）比特幣策略ETF（NYSE：IBTC），Invesco（NYSE：IVR）比特幣信任ETF（NYSE：BITO：BITO）和COINSHARES（Coinshares（BTC） - 企業比特幣（BTC） - 過去一周的collective Outsive Outsive Outsive Out flow of 70070707.707077.7077.707.707.707.707.707.707.707.707.707.707.707.707。

“In total, $707.9 million flowed out of U.S. BTC ETFs last week. Although outflows slowed to just $1 million by April 11, this divergence raises questions: Is this rally sustainable, or is smart money exiting early?” the firm added.

“總共7.079億美元從上週的美國BTC ETF中流出。儘管流出速度放慢到4月11日，但這種差異提出了問題：這種集會可持續性是可持續的嗎，還是聰明的錢早日退出？”公司補充說。

While futures markets saw inflows of $1.7 billion, suggesting some optimism, ETF flows remain one of the most reliable indicators of long-term market direction—and right now, they’re flashing a warning.

儘管期貨市場的流入為17億美元，這表明有些樂觀，但ETF流仍然是長期市場方向最可靠的指標之一，而目前，他們正在閃爍警告。

Where Next For Bitcoin?

比特幣的下一步？

Analysts are now keeping an eye on two key scenarios for Bitcoin. A bullish continuation could be triggered by further tariff easing, improving U.S. economic indicators like April’s Consumer Price Index and employment data, progress on the Bitcoin Act, and renewed ETF inflows. This scenario could push Bitcoin towards $90,000, setting the stage for a run at the $100K milestone.

分析師現在正在關注比特幣的兩個關鍵情況。可能會通過進一步的徵收稅率來觸發看漲的延續，從而改善了美國的經濟指標，例如April的消費者價格指數和就業數據，《比特幣法》的進展以及ETF的新ETF流入。這種情況可能會將比特幣推向90,000美元，這使得競選以10萬美元的里程碑為基礎。

But a bearish reversal could arise from renewed trade war tensions, disappointing macro data like March’s retail sales report and April’s CPI, or further ETF outflows. This scenario might send Bitcoin back towards $70,000, with crucial support levels at $80,000 and $76,660.

但是，看跌的逆轉可能是由於新的貿易戰爭緊張局勢，令人失望的宏觀數據，例如3月的零售報告和4月的CPI，或者進一步的ETF流出。這種情況可能會使比特幣回到70,000美元，關鍵支持水平為80,000美元和76,660美元。

From a technical perspective, Bitcoin remains below its 50-day and 200-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), typically bearish territory. A break above $86,263 would signal strength and open the door to $90,742, a crucial resistance level. But failure to hold $85,000 could quickly trigger a slide towards $80,000.

從技術的角度來看，比特幣仍低於其50天和200天的指數移動平均值（EMAS），通常是看跌領域。超過$ 86,263的休息時間將信號強度，並打開$ 90,742的門，這是一個關鍵的阻力水平。但是，如果不持有$ 85,000，可能會迅速觸發滑梯至80,000美元。

The sharp rally in Bitcoin on trade relief news has caught markets off guard, especially given the recent pessimistic outlooks from economists like Paul Krugman. While the excitement is real, the backdrop is anything but stable. With ETF outflows lingering, rate cut bets still uncertain, and regulatory oversights like the Bitcoin Act still in flux, this may not be the all-clear signal bulls are hoping for.

比特幣貿易救濟新聞的急劇集會使市場措手不及，尤其是考慮到保羅·克魯格曼（Paul Krugman）等經濟學家最近的悲觀前景。雖然興奮是真實的，但背景是什麼穩定的。隨著ETF流出揮之不去的揮之不去，降低賭注仍然不確定，並且像比特幣法案（Bitcoin Act）的調節監督仍處於不斷變化狀態，這可能並不是公牛所希望的全明確信號。

The next few days will be critical as traders keep an eye on the crucial $90,000 level. If Bitcoin manages to break through this resistance, the momentum could really take over. But if the price fails to sustain above $85,000, then the market may have just witnessed another bull trap disguised as a breakout.

接下來的幾天將至關重要，因為交易者關注至關重要的90,000美元。如果比特幣設法突破了這種阻力，那麼這種動力就可以真正接管。但是，如果價格無法維持85,000美元以上，那麼市場可能只是目睹了另一個偽裝成突破的牛陷阱。